Dreaming Against the Machine - August 18, 2026


Episode 19: Space Colonization, with Lucian Walkowicz and Erika Nesvold

Topics
Episode 18: Science Policy, with Alondra Nelson Episode 20: Resisting AI Data Centers, with Alli Finn and Matt Rodriguez

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Length

59 minutes

Words per minute

165.86

Word count

9,875

Sentence count

414

Harmful content

Toxicity

6

sentences flagged

Hate speech

7

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Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
00:00:00.000 Welcome back to Dreaming Against the Machine. I'm your host, Adam Becker. This week's guests
00:00:07.220 are Lucian Walkowicz and Erika Nesvold. They are the co-founders of the Just Space Alliance,
00:00:14.240 and both of them are astrophysicists of various stripes, as am I, I suppose. And we are going to
00:00:22.240 talk this week about space colonization and why all of us hate it, and also why it's not really
00:00:29.820 going to happen. Not in the way that various sci-fi franchises might have you believe and
00:00:36.520 certainly not in the way that certain trillionaires might have you believe. It's a fun one. Let's get
00:00:43.280 to it. Lucien, Erica, welcome to Dreaming Against the Machine. Thanks for having us. Hello. Let's
00:00:54.840 I met you, Lucien, back at, I think it was Dot Astronomy some disturbingly large amount of time
00:01:03.280 ago, like 10 years ago or something like that. Yeah, maybe even more like 12, I think. Maybe
00:01:09.680 2014. I know. The before times. I think that's true. That is terrifying. And Erica, we, well,
00:01:19.300 We've never met in person, but we met online when the CBC asked us both to comment on, what was it exactly that they were asking us to comment on?
00:01:29.760 Mars?
00:01:30.660 Probably Artemis.
00:01:31.780 That was around the time when I was getting a lot of interview requests for Artemis.
00:01:35.860 Artemis 2.
00:01:36.460 That sounds right.
00:01:37.440 You two founded the Just Space Alliance and both have backgrounds in space, as do I.
00:01:49.360 And I thought it would be good to bring you on here today to talk about the idea of colonizing space, something that none of us are fans of.
00:01:57.620 But the two of you have actually spent more time thinking about it than I have, I think.
00:02:02.840 And I've spent a fair amount of time thinking about it, so that's saying something.
00:02:06.720 Why don't we get started with a simple question?
00:02:10.640 What's the problem with the idea, or what are the problems with the idea of space colonization?
00:02:15.840 So many.
00:02:17.540 Erica, do you want to take that first?
00:02:19.060 Well, do we want to start with the optimist or the pessimist?
00:02:24.460 I'm less against people living in space as a blanket statement than many of my colleagues.
00:02:31.280 But there are a lot of problems with the current plans and rhetoric around expanding human civilization into space.
00:02:40.220 And especially the framing of space colonization, which usually comes down to repeating the methods we used for various colonization processes across the Earth and just copy pasting them into space as if that was a good thing.
00:02:55.760 Lots of problems with that.
00:02:56.800 Erica, I see what you did there, answering the question of people living in space. I'm going to be as literal as I often blame for being and say that the problem with space colonization is the problem with colonization in general, right?
00:03:12.700 That, you know, the ways that we think about people going to and living in space, whether you think that's a good idea, a bad idea, or you're in the middle somewhere, that the ways that we have of thinking and talking about that are all based in colonial models that are here on Earth.
00:03:30.840 And in fact, that space, you know, a lot of, in fact, most of the activities of space happen here on Earth and also repeat those colonial patterns, you know, actively like right now in the places that are proximate to, you know, launch centers, for example.
00:03:48.340 Um, so, you know, space has, even though people have had a relationship to space as something that, you know, we can enjoy through looking at the night sky, um, a lot of the processes around sending humans or human infrastructure into space are fundamentally based in coloniality.
00:04:06.080 um and so if we want to do those things we have to think about you know is that actually something
00:04:12.900 that people want to continue doing um i think for a lot of people but especially you know like some
00:04:18.560 of the people who are shaping every way that space gets talked about right now the answer is yes
00:04:24.160 actually when they say colonization they do mean colonization um but i think there are a lot of
00:04:28.840 other people who are interested in the ideas of people going to living in working in space
00:04:35.640 that don't necessarily want it to be space colonization.
00:04:39.880 And to be clear, the problem isn't the word colonization.
00:04:43.560 You know, you can't just solve this by saying,
00:04:45.200 okay, we'll call it space settlement or something else.
00:04:46.960 It's the processes, again, that we're repeating from history
00:04:49.920 of treating space as a big pile of valuable resources
00:04:54.160 that we have a duty or a destiny or a divine right
00:04:58.240 to go and gobble up to use for unending expansion
00:05:01.300 at the cost of labor, at the cost of environment,
00:05:03.720 et cetera, et cetera.
00:05:04.280 that's an attitude, but also an economic structure and a political structure and a philosophy about
00:05:11.640 how humans should build communities together that all falls under colonization, the history
00:05:17.180 of colonization, coloniality. And a social structure too. Even though I agree with everything
00:05:21.940 that you just said, I'm going to play devil's advocate for a moment and then I will probably
00:05:26.480 jump in. Adam, don't you think the devil has plenty of advocates? That is certainly true.
00:05:34.280 Okay, how about this? I'm going to give you a question that people ask me and that I'm sure they ask you too. And then all three of us can argue against that, that position.
00:05:46.580 sounds great because none of us agree with it um uh something that people ask me when i say things
00:05:55.640 similar to the stuff that the two of you have just said is well but you know the problem with
00:06:00.700 colonization here on earth is that you know there were already people in the places that
00:06:05.880 people colonized there are no people already out there in space who you know will uh get
00:06:13.540 genocided if we colonize Mars. There are no Martians to wipe out if we colonize the outer
00:06:21.800 solar system. Same thing there. So, you know, isn't this just, you know, taking the word a 0.96
00:06:27.020 little bit too literally? I used to wonder that too. And then I actually went and talked to some
00:06:31.360 experts in the history of colonization. And they pointed out to me that while colonization as a
00:06:37.560 process is by far the hardest on colonized people, and that's continuing through today,
00:06:42.580 it carries a lot of potential harms to a lot of people. So as I was saying before,
00:06:48.720 the colonization approach to resources can be extremely damaging for an environment.
00:06:54.060 If you end up just strip mining all of the finite resources out of a place,
00:06:58.920 dumping all your waste and moving on to colonize the next place, that doesn't really matter who's
00:07:02.820 living there. You're damaging an environment that's worth preserving in itself and you're
00:07:07.500 not leaving resources for future generations, et cetera. So all the problems we're dealing with
00:07:11.880 here on Earth with climate change and resource extraction. Colonization often also goes hand
00:07:17.160 in hand with labor exploitation, whether you're exploiting the labor of the colonized people who
00:07:21.420 are there or the labor of the people that you bring along or the labor of the people that you
00:07:26.000 leave behind, but they built your ships for you. And so all of that mindset expands out and causes
00:07:32.760 a lot of exploitation of a lot of groups of people and the environment. And so that was pointed out
00:07:40.700 to me by scholars of colonization. It's also been pointed out to me by an indigenous sci-fi writer
00:07:47.360 that I interviewed on my podcast named Darcy Little Badger. She hates this sort of dismissiveness
00:07:52.820 towards the problems with colonization by saying, oh, well, there's no people living there because
00:07:57.320 she feels like that erases the history of her people and the colonization that they experienced
00:08:01.920 as part of the history on earth from the whole conversation. So to those people who ask all of
00:08:08.720 us those questions, I would say, let's not just dismiss the question. Let's go ask people who
00:08:13.900 actually know what the problems of colonization are on earth. Yeah, I very much agree with
00:08:20.360 everything that you just said, Erica. You know, I think to bring it back to, you know,
00:08:25.760 coloniality is a mindset and a philosophy and approach to how you interact, not just with
00:08:31.660 people but with you know environments um natural objects like other forms of life and you know i
00:08:38.940 think um a lot of times uh we as human beings will often um sort of reduce a place to whether it has
00:08:48.180 human life in it or um whether it has life at all and you know like as a person who works in
00:08:55.400 astrobiology and the search for life of course eventually like if people are you know going out
00:09:01.300 and interacting with space like it is it is my opinion that eventually we will hopefully find
00:09:06.840 life in the universe um and that there is a lot to be said looking at um colonization colonial
00:09:14.760 practices here on this planet of the ways that that impacts not only other human beings but also
00:09:22.220 of course like other non-human forms of life um some of which you know to to even group like
00:09:27.920 the environment into being a separate thing from the web of life is also like rooted in like
00:09:33.220 Western intellectual practices. Right. Um, so, you know, the fact that there doesn't happen to
00:09:39.820 be humans, I mean, also the, the entire like colonial process that happened to people who
00:09:47.240 are human also revolved around declaring that they were not human or that they were subhuman.
00:09:52.780 Right. So, you know, they're not being humans didn't stop anybody in the past either. And that's, you know, in large part why a lot of genocides were committed, why, you know, we are in many of the situations that we're in now.
00:10:07.620 Um, but yeah, I think fundamentally a colonial approach to, you know, interacting with the world around you is not the correct approach and it goes far, far beyond whether there's something else in the environment that you would recognize as a person.
00:10:24.420 So this is something that I find so striking about so much of the rhetoric around space colonization from the people who advocate for it, especially like the sort of people who I wrote about in my book, More Everything Forever, that they, you know, these people who say, oh, we need to colonize not just, you know, Mars, but we need to colonize the, the, not just the solar system, we need to colonize the galaxy.
00:10:49.720 We need to colonize other galaxies.
00:10:51.520 We need to colonize the entire universe.
00:10:53.900 And these same people very frequently have arguments that they make that there cannot possibly be any other intelligent life in the universe.
00:11:05.700 And the argument tends to take the form that if there were other intelligent life in the universe, they would have colonized us already.
00:11:13.860 And so because we don't see that and because this sort of colonialist logic must be universal, therefore the entire universe is just ours for the taking.
00:11:27.160 And these assumptions of like the universality of the desirability of these various schemes for universal dominion are just so, so striking to me.
00:11:41.200 Uh, I think it's, it's so weird, uh, that, that they believe that these things are universal in one, in one sense, but in another sense, it's not weird at all because it's just like re-inscribing this same colonialist logic that, you know, that it's just this sort of objective universal thing rather than something that's rooted in a particular culture of a particular time and place.
00:12:07.860 it's it's not even universal across human yeah exactly right and uh right but but this that's
00:12:13.880 that's the how they narrativize history they're they're the that colonialist mindset looking at
00:12:20.340 the history of humans as as we moved across the surface of this planet if you see it through the
00:12:25.480 lens of colonization is how you win um then then they think that i'll see your your book drop and
00:12:32.980 I'll mention my book, which is called Off Earth. I have a whole chapter writing on what are all
00:12:38.920 the arguments people have for space colonization. And a big one is this argument that it's not just
00:12:44.580 good for us and we'll make a lot of money, but that it is our destiny. And that's very much tied
00:12:49.560 to the idea that it's our genetic destiny almost, that we have just a natural tendency. They can
00:12:55.760 point to genes that they think cause it. That means that we have to, we have this biological
00:13:00.560 compunction to expand as much as possible. And they point to the fact that we've expanded across
00:13:05.440 the surface of the earth. But not every human that is born picks up and moves to a new place
00:13:11.980 and starts extracting resources from that new place. That's very much certain cultures did that
00:13:16.420 and other cultures did not, or they migrated in different ways. And so to me, rather than being
00:13:21.840 a universal view, it's a very narrow reading of our own history. Yeah. And I absolutely hate it
00:13:29.020 When I hear people make these arguments because it, you know, it just strikes me as a real like intellectual impoverishment of, you know, it's like, wow, I'm sorry your imagination is so broke that this is the only thing you can you can come up with.
00:13:47.280 And rather than, you know, one of the things that I think makes like the earth very beautiful is that, you know, like not only are there lots of different kinds of human beings doing lots of different kinds of things throughout human history, there's also lots of different life forms that live in different ways that we could learn lessons from as well.
00:14:06.520 And, you know, I think one of the things that I spend a lot of time sort of just, I guess, marinating on is that I think this is in part an outgrowth of the extreme inequities in access to science and engineering, like education and jobs.
00:14:28.620 You know, because the people making these arguments are almost universally the beneficiaries of the colonial process. Right. I've literally heard people say, oh, well, if, you know, colonization didn't happen, then we wouldn't have the Internet, which is one of the stupider things that I've ever heard someone say. And there are many, many competitors for that award.
00:14:53.200 This is not a video podcast, so listeners cannot see the face that I made when you said that.
00:15:00.560 What?
00:15:02.820 You know, actually, and I'll say it's a paraphrase, but you know who said that is Bob Zuberin, who wrote The Case for Mars, a wildly popular book.
00:15:10.620 Oh, God.
00:15:12.300 Amongst a lot of the folks that, you know, see this as our destiny.
00:15:16.980 You know, I'm making little bunny quotes with my hands.
00:15:19.940 But I really think it's important that people realize that all of these, what we're describing, right, is an ideology. It is a bundle of ideologies called TESCREAL. We as astronomers know a tortured acronym when we see one.
00:15:37.960 Um, it's not even an acronym, but you know, those, those alphabet soup letters stand for
00:15:44.840 transhumanism, effective altruism, cosmism, long-termism. Um, you know, these are
00:15:50.920 an actual worldview that in all of these different ways that we see them playing out,
00:15:57.320 whether it's somebody talking about, um, you know, uh, well, whether it's Elon Musk having,
00:16:04.100 telling us all that we have to move to Mars, or it's Elon Musk's, like, what I think is pretty
00:16:09.360 clearly a breeding fetish based on the number of, like, children he is leaving across the world.
00:16:16.860 You know, I think we have to recognize that these have a fundamental philosophical underpinning at
00:16:22.360 their core, and they're not just a collection of disconnected ideas. I mean, this podcast is not
00:16:29.500 just a way for me and my guests to plug our books, but you know, uh, that's, yeah, that's,
00:16:36.260 uh, uh, certainly something that's very welcome here. Uh, and yeah, no, I mean, I, I talk about
00:16:42.500 that and more everything forever and I agree it's a tortured acronym, but it's, it's definitely
00:16:47.660 pointing at something real. Um, uh, and I, I don't know. I, I, in my book, I call it the, uh,
00:16:55.340 the ideology of technological salvation,
00:16:57.460 because I wanted it to be a little bit more legible.
00:17:00.220 Um,
00:17:00.660 and also because I was working on it before the test grill paper came out and
00:17:05.460 yeah,
00:17:05.780 now we're going to have Timnit and,
00:17:07.780 and,
00:17:08.200 uh,
00:17:08.540 Emil on this,
00:17:09.500 on this show at some point.
00:17:10.540 But the idea that there is this sort of manifest destiny of us going to the
00:17:17.780 stars,
00:17:18.220 it,
00:17:19.360 it comes out of this set of ideologies and,
00:17:24.380 you know,
00:17:25.080 ties into or i think for a lot of these people comes from science fiction that was itself like
00:17:32.820 very enamored of ideas like colonialism and manifest destiny and and very you know uh various
00:17:40.280 kinds of racism uh as well or a misreading of science fiction that very much does not support
00:17:45.880 that's also true yes there's plenty of that yeah
00:17:48.820 No, absolutely. But I want to go back to something that you said earlier, Lucien. You pointed out that the space industry is already sort of recapitulating some of the colonial practices here on Earth, like in the places where the industry is centered. Can you say a little more about that?
00:18:16.200 It's important that people realize that, you know, in the Rio Grande Valley, so not just Boca Chica, Texas, but also the nearby city of Brownsville, that there has been a longstanding grassroots campaign against what is happening there.
00:18:33.740 And that campaign has taken on, you know, colonial destruction on multiple fronts. So number one, and the thing that I think has received the most media attention is the way that the launches impact the immediate surrounding environments, and particularly the coastline, which is, you know, home to a number of like fragile or endangered species.
00:18:58.140 And then also what has received, I think, relatively less attention is that there has literally been a physical takeover of the town of Boca Chica where, you know, this is now several years ago, but SpaceX's launches are, you know, Audible doesn't really like capture what is happening if you live in a town where suddenly there are these like incredibly loud launches that, you know,
00:19:27.180 because they do a lot of launches and they're relatively like not so regulated.
00:19:31.920 There's a lot of stuff flying various places in addition to the sonic noise, the sonic pollution.
00:19:39.740 So you have residents that, you know, have either been bought out of their homes
00:19:46.220 and forced to leave in that sense or forced to leave in other ways.
00:19:50.920 And then you also have gentrification to the surrounding area.
00:19:55.020 So that longtime residents in Brownsville, for example, can really no longer afford to live in the communities that they have been from for, you know, even many generations.
00:20:05.320 On top of that, I recently learned from some of the organizers there that, you know, the Rio Grande, which is a border as far as like the United States considers it, is not a border that divides anything from the indigenous point of view.
00:20:22.600 And so the efforts to police near the border there that are happening, obviously, on multiple fronts and the presence of Starbase are also, you know, dividing up land.
00:20:35.940 There is obviously now increased focus on the border, increased, you know, like efforts to create physical barriers, et cetera.
00:20:44.420 And SpaceX is all part of these multiple colonial processes.
00:20:49.140 But they're certainly not the first.
00:20:52.600 You could look at other examples of launch centers, particularly towards the equator.
00:20:56.900 So the Alcantara launch center, which is in Brazil, your listeners may or may not know
00:21:04.300 that if you are launching from close to the equator, it costs you slightly less fuel
00:21:09.520 because you get a little boost from the rotation of the earth that makes it just slightly easier
00:21:13.840 to launch.
00:21:14.920 So those launch sites are particularly desirable.
00:21:17.760 And, you know, in Brazil, like a lot of the community that is near where the Alcantara Launch Center is currently were quilombola families, which are folks who were either escaped formerly enslaved Africans or indigenous people or melding of families of the two.
00:21:38.940 A lot of the people there used fishing as part of the mainstays of their existence and in a process as old as time, they were told that they were going to be given arable land and housing and then moved away from their historic lands, away from their access to the coast.
00:21:58.000 again, very much with a parallel to the processes in Boca Chica at Starbase. And, you know, then
00:22:05.840 were put in places that they couldn't live, essentially, and forced not only physically out
00:22:11.500 of their homes, but also out of their traditional life ways, out of their ability to meet their own
00:22:18.620 needs with no recourse to go back again. So these are very literal, like these are colonial
00:22:26.160 colonization in action because of space here on Earth. Like, we don't even have to wait
00:22:32.360 for, you know, some apartheid profiteer to send us all to Mars.
00:22:37.960 Sorry, I'm not laughing at how horrible all of that is. I'm just laughing at calling
00:22:43.400 Musk an apartheid profiteer because that's exactly what he is. But we don't say that enough. 0.90
00:22:50.000 um yeah well speaking of musk let's talk a little bit about mars the two of you ran
00:23:00.860 a workshop a while back called decolonizing mars yes i just attended that was all okay
00:23:07.200 nonetheless i want to talk about both mars like the role that mars plays in the imagination of
00:23:13.760 these people and i also want to talk about what mars is actually like um let's start with the
00:23:19.480 first one why why mars why are they so obsessed with mars in particular because the moon was
00:23:25.400 boring when we got there i think is part of the answer and no offense to my lunar scientist
00:23:31.140 colleagues the moon is very interesting for a number of reasons but for the people who are
00:23:34.420 imagining this again from science fiction and from the science fiction art of the 50s 60s and 70s
00:23:40.280 they are imagining these big glittering domes uh that we could put cities of the future inside
00:23:47.240 and the moon is small and kind of still close to earth and not that rich in resources at the time
00:23:54.160 we thought like water that we could uh we could really make use of for said glittering cities
00:23:58.760 mars is still far away a human hasn't landed on it and so we can still imagine uh these these
00:24:05.140 glittering cities especially since mars is bigger the uh gravity is a little more like earth's so
00:24:11.920 maybe there won't be as many health effects. We, we think some people think from, uh, from the,
00:24:17.000 the lower gravity compared to the moon. Um, and so the, the hopes have been sort of moved out from
00:24:24.180 the moon towards, towards Mars. That's, that's my, my semi-informed theory on, on why the
00:24:30.360 imagination has really moved from the moon and from, uh, free, free floating space stations to,
00:24:37.700 to mars itself yeah i um i'm gonna answer you with sort of two through two lenses i'll give
00:24:45.000 you the the punchline first which is that i don't actually think elon musk cares about mars
00:24:49.720 but first you know let's think about like what we also have you know i i agree with erica that
00:24:56.000 you know the moon is sort of like oh we already we already went there and i i do think that there
00:25:01.980 are reasons, like political, philosophical, world-shaping reasons why the moon is back in
00:25:08.280 focus now. But when you think about Mars, so no human has landed there, but we have landed a
00:25:14.780 substantial number of things on the surface at this point. And when you look at landscapes of
00:25:22.320 Mars, it is the only other world where we really have a large amount of very crisp, beautiful,
00:25:31.980 evocative landscape photography. You know, I guess I see this a little bit through sort of
00:25:38.060 like the lens with my like arts hat on, which is that it invites people to imagine themselves
00:25:45.440 standing on the surface in a way that the moon does not, because the moon does not have an
00:25:51.440 atmosphere. It doesn't have things like sunrises and sunsets, or it does, but they just look
00:25:56.980 very, very different than Earth. And if you look at the history of space exploration, one of the
00:26:02.600 things that was really powerful in building popular support for the Apollo program was
00:26:08.440 space painting, paintings of people living and working on the surface of the moon.
00:26:14.440 And so, you know, I guess I see these things as being kind of sequential in that people first,
00:26:19.800 in order to support the idea that you could go to this place and that human beings could be on its
00:26:24.240 surface, you had to give them a way to picture themselves there. And the way of doing that in
00:26:28.980 the 50s and 60s was paintings and illustration. Once people had actually been on the surface of
00:26:36.620 the moon, you had those images already. But the next thing that came along in the form of, you
00:26:42.620 know, photographs from landers and rovers on the surface of Mars were these robotic avatars that
00:26:49.320 we're essentially allowing us to see the surface like we would if we were standing there ourselves.
00:26:55.620 And because it so strongly resembles things like, you know, the American Southwest,
00:27:01.500 it is reminiscent of many places that we are familiar with, even though by comparison,
00:27:08.620 it is way worse than all of those places. But fundamentally, I don't think Elon Musk actually
00:27:17.200 cares about Mars. I think what we, you know, like, first of all, I kind of don't think that
00:27:23.500 Elon Musk has a core philosophy that is beyond Elon Musk. And he sort of is a, an agglomerator
00:27:31.220 of, of things that will work for him, which is why it was so easy for him to make like the far
00:27:36.580 right pivot. Um, because it wasn't, you know, everything's a pivot if you're just sort of
00:27:41.780 standing in the middle of nowhere. But I think the way that Mars has functioned in sort of his
00:27:47.240 narrative shaping and worldview is as this place that seems just far flung enough that we're never
00:27:55.520 really going to have to go there because it's so difficult to get to there, that it can be far
00:28:02.200 enough ever, ever further pushed into the future, and also serves as a justification for the
00:28:08.660 development of many of the things that he wants to do in the meantime, while being cloaked in all 0.78
00:28:16.000 of this bullshit about how it is going to save humanity. Because you can't say like, oh, we're 0.73
00:28:22.280 going to go to the moon to save humanity because the moon is, you know, has so much less compared
00:28:28.520 to Mars and the Earth, and then also is essentially in the Earth's backyard. So he, you know, early on
00:28:34.460 in SpaceX history, he was invoking all of these things like, oh, the sun is going to expand in a
00:28:40.180 billion years. Well, the sun is going to expand in a billion years and take the moon too. So you
00:28:43.640 can't say the moon. So, you know, I think this like vision of Mars is fundamentally a tool of
00:28:50.620 propaganda and not something that he actually cares all that much about. Yeah. Huh. I'm not
00:28:58.600 sure that i agree also in in the same nitpicking spirit of of texas versus florida sun's gonna
00:29:05.560 expand in in more like five billion years i believe um but but it's not important he definitely said
00:29:12.160 this stuff and and yeah the sun's lifetime will be over in five billion years really but their
00:29:18.740 earth gets engulfed earlier in the process as the sun expands yeah there's different estimates in
00:29:23.820 different papers yeah i didn't think that the earth gets also we should be so lucky but yeah
00:29:27.720 exactly that's the point it doesn't matter it doesn't billion years yeah exactly i mean there
00:29:33.180 like half a billion years ago was the beginning of complex you know multicellular life on earth
00:29:38.580 there's not i mean and another half billion years from now there's gonna be you know the oceans are
00:29:43.720 gonna boil off but um but but yeah uh that that doesn't matter and we'll probably just cut it um
00:29:51.040 but the point is i don't know that i agree that musk doesn't care about mars i do agree that he's
00:29:56.920 sort of sits in the middle of nowhere in terms of his ideology.
00:30:00.860 Like, he doesn't have core beliefs beyond his own self-interest.
00:30:06.820 But I do think that because Mars provides such a convenient excuse,
00:30:13.040 it makes it easier for him to genuinely think that Mars is, like, a good goal.
00:30:20.700 But I suppose on some level, it doesn't really matter whether he genuinely believes in it or not,
00:30:25.980 Because the point is that people believe him when he says this stuff.
00:30:30.240 Yeah.
00:30:31.120 And that, I guess, gets us to the next thing that I wanted to talk about, which is what's so terrible about Mars?
00:30:41.300 Which is something that I think all of us have written and spoken about.
00:30:45.480 I know what I usually say about this, and I can get into that, I suppose.
00:30:50.160 but I'm very curious to hear how the two of you handle this question of like,
00:30:55.640 well, why can't we live on Mars?
00:30:57.440 I think it was Shannon Styron who wrote the article that had the title,
00:31:01.700 Mars is a hellhole.
00:31:04.400 Yeah, Mars is a hellhole.
00:31:06.600 So number one, a lot of my objections to some of the ideas that are out there
00:31:11.560 about like people going to Mars is that there's this idea that planets are just like machines
00:31:18.640 that can be turned on and off and not, in fact, like a series of complex, you know, inter-networked
00:31:25.480 systems. So Mars is a place that, you know, could have been habitable in the past. Certainly,
00:31:32.540 we have lots of evidence for there having been a history of long-standing water on the surface.
00:31:38.840 We have lots and lots of interesting geology. Like, to be clear, Mars is a really cool place
00:31:44.440 if you're not a person trying to survive on it. It has a beautiful and fascinating history that
00:31:52.420 we're only really starting to learn now. And we're looking at Mars also today as a planet
00:32:01.500 that has lost that habitability. So Mars being a lot less massive than the Earth cooled off pretty
00:32:08.680 quickly. It doesn't have a magnetic field. It's lost a lot of its atmosphere to erosion from the
00:32:13.800 sun. So now today it has this very, very thin, mostly carbon dioxide atmosphere. You can see
00:32:19.780 the surface of Mars traps all its oxygen in the form of iron oxide, which is why it looks,
00:32:26.000 which is rust. It's why it looks rusty, right? And Mars is also rich in lots of things that on
00:32:32.580 earth we consider to be environmental pollutants like perchlorates, which are chemical compounds
00:32:37.600 that are not very good for humans to interact with. So you have this world that, you know,
00:32:43.060 whatever its history may have been is currently extremely inhospitable to life clearly or at least
00:32:49.960 human beings um you know it it clearly it doesn't have any way of shielding us from magnetic activity
00:32:56.020 from the sun it does not have a breathable atmosphere it does not have things like plate
00:33:01.040 tectonics that are really really important for the carbon cycle here on this planet and all of
00:33:06.240 the different things that lead to earth being habitable which a process which we are trying
00:33:12.400 to understand still, by the way, um, you know, if we weren't so good at making the earth less
00:33:18.960 habitable, uh, maybe, maybe if we understood more about habitability, we would, we would be better
00:33:24.660 at, uh, keeping our own climate in check. And so to look at Mars and see this place that is barren,
00:33:32.360 cold, that many of the things that we expect, um, you know, earth based life to need, um,
00:33:39.600 at least human life, either don't exist or the systems are broken. It's not just a thing where
00:33:46.160 you can refill it with a hose or do something preposterous like set off a nuclear bomb on its
00:33:53.640 polar cap, like Elon has said in the past, and just restart it again. It's not a car,
00:34:01.380 it's a system. If we wanted to build habitats on Mars that humans could survive in,
00:34:06.580 they would not be glaring glass dome cities that would let us look at the night sky or the
00:34:12.060 beautiful landscapes or build cities in the shape that we think that they would need to be.
00:34:16.940 The radiation problem is one of the biggest issues. And because Mars' atmosphere and lack
00:34:22.540 of magnetic field means that there's no natural shielding to that, that means the best way to
00:34:27.680 shield yourself is to go underground. And at that point, you're just living in a bunch of tunnels.
00:34:31.260 and to me that doesn't feel like living in space uh you might as well be living in a spaceship and
00:34:36.900 and have a better view and maybe living in tunnels under mars and making the occasional
00:34:43.340 pop up onto the surface is marginally better than living in a spaceship but living in antarctica
00:34:50.660 is tens of times better hundred well i don't know how you would even quantify that living in
00:34:55.700 Antarctica is so much better psychologically, physically, for the human body and the human psyche
00:35:01.800 than trying to live on Mars. And we think of Antarctica as being the least habitable place
00:35:07.460 on our planet. We're just really spoiled. We take even scientists who can list off all of
00:35:12.600 these terrible conditions of Mars. It's so easy to take for granted the Earth that we live on,
00:35:17.500 and especially the protection from radiation, which is something we can't really see or
00:35:21.140 appreciate. It's like we're fish living in an aquarium or a pond going, oh, I could totally
00:35:25.960 go walk around on land and survive there. We'll just like bring a bucket of water with us. It'll
00:35:29.680 be fine. And we have no idea what we're getting ourselves into. It's like, yeah, you know what
00:35:35.080 looks great? The carpet. I want to sit on that couch. It'll be fine. I'm hearty. It's my destiny.
00:35:44.720 You're reminding me of someone who dinged my book online because at one point in my book,
00:35:50.300 I said that like Mars would make Antarctica look like Tahiti and they were like, it wouldn't make
00:35:54.960 Antarctica look like Tahiti. It's much, much worse than that. And I was like, yeah, no, that's,
00:36:01.080 that's true. I just, you know, uh, Mars is worse than that. I just didn't have a better comparison
00:36:07.780 to hand. Because we don't have that long, that huge of a spectrum on earth to even compare.
00:36:12.740 Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. We can step outside on earth anywhere above the surface of the water
00:36:17.200 and breathe and not instantly depressurize ourselves.
00:36:21.800 Yeah.
00:36:22.400 And our band of what we consider to be hospitable,
00:36:25.740 like lots of things are habitable,
00:36:28.100 but hospitable, like I live in Chicago.
00:36:32.280 There are times when I walk out in the winter
00:36:34.660 and I'm like, am I breathing?
00:36:38.840 It's so striking to me that people say,
00:36:41.400 oh, well, but you know,
00:36:42.300 lots of people would want to live on Mars anyway,
00:36:44.200 even if it's tunnels underground.
00:36:45.340 Like, you don't have people lining up to live in the middle of the polar night in Antarctica.
00:36:54.780 You don't have people lining up to live under the ocean.
00:37:00.060 You don't have people lining up to live on uninhabited, tiny postage stamp size like coral atolls.
00:37:07.920 And all of those are just way, way, way, way, way easier places to live than Mars.
00:37:12.300 At least coral atolls have like fish and water and oxygen.
00:37:18.900 Yeah.
00:37:19.600 Some very smart thinker that I keep failing to look up what his name was because I'm constantly quoting him said that the earth is the only place that we know of in the universe, especially in the solar system, that a man can stand naked in the light of our sun, which is true.
00:37:36.180 I don't advise that people take full advantage of that in public, but it's something we don't.
00:37:40.800 Even when the weather is really beautiful, I've been stuck inside or the weather's been awful, the wildfire smoke, whatever, you step out on a beautiful day and you can feel your whole body just inhale and appreciate the weather.
00:37:51.760 We still don't fully appreciate that our lungs aren't imploding in that moment, that we don't need a pressure suit constantly separating us from a poisonous chemical environment.
00:38:02.240 I mean, yeah, okay, we need sunscreen, but we don't need massive radiation shielding at all times.
00:38:09.340 We don't need to worry about the effects of lower or higher gravity on our physiology and, you know, development of our children.
00:38:19.140 It's so bizarre when you look at what it's actually like out there that someone would want to leave Earth given how inhospitable Mars and the rest of the solar system is.
00:38:34.480 But I think that this narrative of, you know, this inevitable future of, you know, glorious expansion is something that's burrowed pretty deep into at least certain parts of the American psyche.
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00:41:49.580 And I suppose that brings me to another question, which is, again, sort of me asking the two
00:41:56.460 of you how you would deal with questions that people ask me all the time.
00:42:01.320 I sometimes get the question like, okay, but, you know, Adam, you're being a real bummer.
00:42:06.440 Like, this sounded like a cool future and you were making it seem like it's not.
00:42:12.860 And if you're going to take away my cool sci-fi future that I believed in, you have to give me something in return because otherwise you're just standing up there, you know, shooting down dream after dream that I've had.
00:42:27.080 And like my usual response to that is, yeah, but, you know, there's a difference between a dream and a delusion.
00:42:31.620 But I do think that it would be easier for us to get this across to people if we could find a way of proposing an alternative, which I suppose is a good chunk of what this podcast is about, right?
00:42:52.860 I remember going on a podcast where somebody asked me, you know, like, how could you possibly like say that we're not going to do this? And that, you know, like, isn't it still important for us to go to Mars? Because someday, you know, we're going to find with some telescope, some blue green likely looking world orbiting a distant star in a distant galaxy, and we'll be able to go there. And I was like, distant galaxy? No.
00:43:22.860 But the point that that guy was trying to make to me was, you know, he, I remember he said, like, he went out and interviewed people on the steps of the Smithsonian Air and Space Museum and asked them if they'd like to go to Mars.
00:43:36.220 And a lot of them said yes.
00:43:38.140 And my response was, yeah, well, but they don't know what Mars is like.
00:43:41.960 What did the two of you think?
00:43:43.840 I think the people who accuse you of being a bummer are right. 0.99
00:43:47.340 But here's why I think that.
00:43:49.340 That's brutal.
00:43:51.120 One thing that I have learned a lot in my, especially in the early days as I was starting to talk to the public about this stuff,
00:43:56.540 is I learned a lot from climate change activists and the people who study how the public responds to the doom and gloom of climate change science.
00:44:07.640 And what they have found is that being a bummer can be informative, and it certainly gets clicks, right?
00:44:16.100 If you see that in politics a lot, I'm not accusing you of doing it for the clicks.
00:44:19.420 But especially when you start thinking about these things and thinking of all the cautionary tales from history and the possible dystopian futures, you want to warn people about it.
00:44:29.620 What the climate change activists and psychologists have found is that that does not motivate people to action.
00:44:35.020 It shuts them down.
00:44:37.020 Fear of the future shuts them down.
00:44:38.160 So you have to warn them about the consequences of the current path that we're on.
00:44:42.320 And then you have to give them a better vision of the future to work towards.
00:44:47.360 And that motivates people to both stop doing the things they shouldn't and start doing the things they should.
00:44:52.480 Obviously, this hasn't solved climate change, but that does, you know, there's studies on it and it rings true to me.
00:44:58.060 And so that's something I try to do as part of my work.
00:45:00.760 On the other hand, I don't think it's on you and me and Lucienne to come up with that vision of the future.
00:45:04.900 People already have them. 0.77
00:45:06.080 There are already people all over the planet with really beautiful visions of the future that both set here on Earth and potentially involving humans being in space that are about using technology equitably and in a deliberate, thoughtful way to make life better for humans and for the non-human animals we live with.
00:45:26.680 And it's just we have to find those and amplify those and point to what the difference is between those visions of the future and this ideology that we fear would take us down a very bad path.
00:45:39.760 I think anybody that calls you a bummer for saying that we're not, you know, going to Mars under the, you know, or space under the visions of folks like Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos or any of these, like, very, you know, outspoken tech billionaires needs their bummer meter recalibrated.
00:46:01.380 like you you know what's a bummer um the planet is being destroyed by emissions from amazon
00:46:12.820 and none of these guys pay hardly anything in taxes like you know what's a bummer not being 0.98
00:46:21.220 able to eat a fucking salad all summer because we're all getting diarrhea lettuce i'm so angry 0.98
00:46:27.700 about that one. I'm so angry. Yeah. We can't go outside because there are wildfires across the 0.99
00:46:35.060 continent that are creating the hazardous for everyone's conditions here in Chicago and all
00:46:42.420 across the Midwest and East coast. Um, so, you know, what if I told you that there was a future
00:46:49.780 In which people didn't hoard resources where you could go and buy lettuce that didn't make you sick because the oversight on our food systems hadn't been completely gutted by, in some cases, literally the same tech billionaire who acquired a lot of his power to do what he did in the governance of the United States.
00:47:15.020 which this is, you know, this is a crazy making time because I don't usually have nice things to
00:47:21.000 say about the governance of the United States under the best of circumstances. But there were
00:47:26.820 things that were working better before. And a lot of the social capital and literal capital that
00:47:34.220 Elon Musk has gotten because of all of these bullshit yarns about Mars are what opened the
00:47:41.680 door for him to actually start knocking out foundational pillars so you want to think 0.62
00:47:48.780 somebody's a bummer please like refocus first of all i need everybody to dial down the aperture
00:47:58.260 until your rage is focused and then go point it in the right direction this is another example of us
00:48:06.260 being fish in a fish tank and not realizing the water exists which is that here's my optimism
00:48:11.240 and coming out again. We live in a great time in human history, both in terms of technology,
00:48:16.040 but also the technology of social structures and governance and things like that compared to a lot
00:48:19.980 of other times in human history. But we don't appreciate it. And so when someone comes along
00:48:24.920 and says, don't you hate taxes? What if we made a city on Mars where there's no laws about labor
00:48:32.280 exploitation? That'd be great, right? And we go, yeah, sure, that sounds nice because we don't
00:48:36.580 appreciate the hard work of labor unions' generations before us who have put protections
00:48:41.000 into place that we take advantage of and you can just extrapolate that to food protections and lots
00:48:45.640 of things that you you don't appreciate the work of previous generations to put these things into
00:48:50.400 place and you get lured by the promise of freedom and uh and infinite wealth in space um and then
00:49:01.540 adam comes along and says yeah but you can't breathe there and you're like what a bummer
00:49:04.940 yeah people died to give you the weekend yeah like there is an emotional piece of this too
00:49:15.180 that you know the the ways that i first started thinking about these topics i you know was just
00:49:21.240 like a regular old astronomer for most of my career and the more outreach and like informal
00:49:27.740 communication like particularly like dialogue based communication um that i did about science
00:49:33.500 the more I started to hear these ideas about my research, which, you know, like at the time I
00:49:39.380 worked on the Kepler mission, which found planets around other stars and a lot of the PR coming out
00:49:45.120 of Kepler because it was designed to find planets that were sort of similar to Earth and figure out
00:49:51.900 how common they were in the universe. You know, a lot of the PR that we released about our
00:49:56.760 discoveries, focused on comparing various planets to Earth, you know, like, oh, this is Earth size,
00:50:03.480 or it might be Earth-like, or it's a, you know, a super Earth. And this comparison was sort of
00:50:09.680 naturally built into that communication as a way of trying to convey to people what we were doing.
00:50:17.100 And then at the same time, that was right around when SpaceX started really pumping out a lot of
00:50:22.560 stuff about going to mars and it was not just you know elon musk giving talks it was also like
00:50:27.860 actual like marketing videos and and like propaganda coming out of spacex itself and i
00:50:34.240 encountered all of these people who were like oh we're going to be able to move to that planet
00:50:40.440 that kepler just found um and oh it's it's like it's a super earth so that means it's like the
00:50:47.360 Earth, but better, which is not what it means.
00:50:49.640 Wait, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait, time out.
00:50:51.760 Hold on a second.
00:50:52.540 Someone said that a super Earth is like the Earth, but better?
00:50:55.580 A lot of people think that.
00:50:56.720 No, no.
00:50:58.460 If that's the term you hear and you haven't heard the definition, you go, oh, it's an
00:51:02.040 Earth, but super.
00:51:03.300 Just means bigger than an Earth and smaller than Neptune.
00:51:06.220 That's all it means.
00:51:06.960 Yeah, and usually that means it's less good of a place to be.
00:51:11.760 Okay, I'm sorry.
00:51:12.940 And this is why words are important.
00:51:14.840 Oh, God.
00:51:17.360 Um, so, you know, people hear these things and like, you know, for, for your average person who isn't thinking about this stuff on a day-to-day basis, like all of these different like threads in the news and the zeitgeist in, you know, like what is happening, um, around them kind of weave together in ways that, you know, scientists often don't anticipate.
00:51:38.660 um and so you know i started to run into more and more people who thought that the goal of finding
00:51:45.560 these small you know potentially earth-like planets was actually for us to leave yeah and
00:51:50.900 i think that there's something you know at its emotional core that i can really understand which
00:51:55.880 is that like it is really upsetting like if you do you know erica you've made all these points
00:52:00.780 about like we don't appreciate we don't appreciate i think at some level people do appreciate it and
00:52:06.580 And facing the fact that we are damaging the place that we live that is so beautiful, I agree with you that most of the time we don't appreciate, but also sometimes it's equally as painful to have to grapple with the fact that it is a beautiful planet that supports such an abundance of life and supports us so well.
00:52:29.180 And when we look at the reasons that people's needs are not met or the reasons why our environment might not meet our needs into the future, those reasons are other people, right?
00:52:41.400 Like the distribution of resources is why people's needs are not met, not a lack of abundance of those resources in most cases.
00:52:48.720 And when those resources do lack in abundance, it's because of things like overfishing, for example, or, you know, impacts to the climate or just the local environment that come out of the exploitation of this planet.
00:53:02.620 and realizing that, A, we have, you know, that we have to deal with other people if we want to
00:53:09.380 do anything about those things. And then in many cases, those, the people that are in question
00:53:15.200 have a lot of power, have a much larger voice than they should have. It is enough to make anyone feel
00:53:22.120 like they can't do it or like they, you know, couldn't possibly make a change. And in fact,
00:53:29.580 like no, no giant change in any society for better or worse has ever happened from whoever
00:53:37.640 is like in power and doing the wrong thing. Like being like, you know what? I think I'm done.
00:53:45.240 Right. It's always been collections of people who didn't think that they could do it and were
00:53:49.760 correct. They could not have done it by themselves. And that's the other thing too.
00:53:54.300 And so I think it's really easy to give in to despair. And then for the outlet of that despair,
00:53:59.260 to be well maybe we just could get a do-over maybe we could get a do-over maybe like maybe 0.56
00:54:05.620 i don't have to challenge this apartheid profiteer if i could get a seat on the spaceship that takes
00:54:11.260 me to the do-over it's a fantasy but like fantasies are powerful and people are seeking
00:54:16.800 comfort around these very difficult truths by the way worst case scenario of climate change the one
00:54:22.800 where humans all die off from starvation and war and such still a more habitable earth the earth
00:54:28.480 would still be a more habitable planet in that scenario
00:54:30.920 than Mars would be now.
00:54:31.980 No, I mean, this is one of the things
00:54:33.740 that drives me up a wall is like Musk and others
00:54:36.320 will also say, well, what about the asteroid
00:54:37.860 that killed off the dinosaurs?
00:54:39.220 Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
00:54:39.900 I'm like, okay, first of all,
00:54:41.520 and this is not just me being nitpicky yet again,
00:54:43.940 it didn't kill all the dinosaurs.
00:54:45.460 The birds are still here and we're still here.
00:54:48.040 And that's proof that that day was not nearly as bad
00:54:51.000 as being on Mars because there's no bird or mammal
00:54:54.040 that you could put unprotected on the surface of Mars.
00:54:57.200 Chickens also cannot stand naked in the light of the sun on Mars.
00:55:00.700 That's exactly right.
00:55:03.740 And with that, I do think we have to wrap up, but I'm not going to leave it just on chickens.
00:55:10.520 There's one more question.
00:55:12.100 I thought that was a perfect tagline.
00:55:13.360 Yeah, now I'm just thinking about whether chickens count as naked.
00:55:21.140 But go ahead, ask your more questions.
00:55:23.080 I mean, go on, Adam, whatever you want to close with, I guess.
00:55:26.780 Yeah, we're going to do a Patreon extra, our chickens naked.
00:55:32.040 Anyway, no, I want to close with a question sort of in the spirit of what you were saying
00:55:38.780 about, you know, the dreams that we have about the future being important.
00:55:42.660 What's a piece of science fiction in whatever medium you want that the two of you have been
00:55:50.440 enjoying lately or like to think about a lot?
00:55:52.800 Well, I'm a Hugo voter this year, and I've just finished reading the entire Hugo ballot, and I can't. It's too many. I can't think of a single one off the top of my head.
00:56:02.780 Gosh, what's a piece of science fiction? I'm not a very big sci-fi person. I know that is surprising for my chosen career. I'm a big horror person.
00:56:15.100 Okay, no, I mean, it can be horror.
00:56:16.480 Well, I mean, I think the sci-fi property that I return to most frequently is Arrival, just because it, you know, it intersects. So, you know, I don't have a book to plug, but I'll say that I am co-directing something called the Discovery and Futures Lab at the SETI Institute with my colleague, philosopher Chelsea Haramia.
00:56:41.360 and the whole thing is a research initiative to respond to like what happens if we find life
00:56:48.840 beyond earth you know how will people understand it how should scientists communicate it what are
00:56:53.280 its implications etc so i think a lot about arrival just because i think arrival does such
00:56:58.860 a great job of um depicting a very clear discovery of alien life that also has a great deal of
00:57:09.380 complexity like i think the the way it deals with linguistics um the way it shows the wide variety
00:57:16.080 in how people would react i think is really quite beautiful um and it's just it's one of my favorite
00:57:22.800 of like sort of the the aliens come to earth genre of sci-fi um so yeah i i think that's always a
00:57:30.020 favorite for me i've just mentally reviewed the hugo ballot and i'm remembering that
00:57:34.620 Andor Season 2 was on the Hugo Bell.
00:57:36.540 Ah, yes, it was.
00:57:37.140 And Andor is one of my favorite recent science fiction television shows.
00:57:42.820 It's especially good for our time.
00:57:44.680 Yeah.
00:57:45.260 I don't think it's – it doesn't come up in these conversations a lot because Star Wars is such an advanced past the point of every planet you can walk around and breathe on if you want.
00:57:54.440 It's not like The Expanse, for example, that really digs into the questions of colonization with the technology we have today.
00:57:59.740 Um, but Andor is excellent science fiction and also just excellent fiction about oppression and rebellion. So highly recommend it.
00:58:08.480 I love Andor. I also love Arrival, um, and the short story that Arrival was based on. Um, so I think these are both excellent answers. Um, and I am sad that Andor has so much resonance for our current political situation, but it is good to have art like that in these times.
00:58:28.500 So I think with that, we're going to close it out.
00:58:32.320 And thank you both for making the time to be here today.
00:58:35.780 Thanks for having us.
00:58:36.580 Thank you. This is great.
00:58:38.340 Thanks again to this week's guests, Lucien Walkowich and Erica Nesvold.
00:58:42.640 Next week, we've got Ali Finn and Matt Rodriguez,
00:58:46.480 and we're going to be talking about resisting AI data centers.
00:58:51.160 To submit questions for future guests and to suggest other guests
00:58:55.740 and to see more pictures of Babka,
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