00:12:37.740So that's the most important thing that can come out of our discussion, our conversation
00:12:42.580today is that entomologists, biologists, conservation biologists, policymakers don't
00:12:48.060really have the data on insects that we want and we need so we can identify what these
00:12:54.320causal factors are that you asked me about.
00:12:56.740We don't know to what extent it's agriculture, agriculture intensification, or maybe a new
00:13:03.020pesticide such as neonicotinoids, to what extent it is drought, and what have you.
00:13:08.960So we need more data and more long-term studies.
00:13:12.580Mm hmm. This question around data is something that I've thought with for a while, because on one hand, I understand that scientific data is extremely important so that we can take those reports to policymakers, government officials, large, you know, farm owners, corporations, etc., and be able to point directly to scientific reports.
00:13:40.820On the other hand, you know, I've spoken to many indigenous leaders and indigenous ecologists, and there's also this part of me that says, don't we know things? Can't we see things without having to spend more and more time collecting data just to prove that toxins, light pollution, insecticides, I mean, of course, it seems obvious that insecticides would be having a major impact on insects.
00:14:08.100You know, we're spraying something that's killing insects over thousands, if not millions
00:14:32.740I especially think about this in terms of climate change.
00:14:35.740do we need to take out our thermometers and measure that the mean temperature of where I live
00:14:41.640or California is one degree or one and a half degree centigrade warmer. I think we all have
00:14:47.840enough data about climate change to know we have to keep fossil fuels in the ground. So I think
00:14:52.200that's an urgent message. And I think scientists should be more actively involved in activism
00:14:57.840and bringing about change. And we don't need necessarily to measure that or to predict.
00:15:04.420We know from our models, we know what happens when we put gigatons of carbon that was in the
00:15:10.580ground and put it into the atmosphere. Just based on first principles, that's going to have an
00:15:15.400impact. There are other things, though, for example, this insect decline phenomenon, we don't
00:15:20.360really know what the causal factors are. And I think it's very important there that we
00:15:24.700disambiguate between pesticides. I mean, you talk about pesticides, but we don't really know it's
00:15:31.820pesticides in the sense that pesticides are a proxy for this agricultural intensification we're
00:15:38.760talking about. When we go from small farms to large mega farms, there's a lot of things that
00:15:44.840change and not just pesticide or at least not just insecticide usage. There's also these
00:15:50.520roundup ready crops. There's cosmetic changes where we want large tracts of land to look clean
00:15:57.420and free of weeds, I mean, that could be the insect decline problem. We have a single monoculture,
00:16:03.180whereas before we had many different weeds and other plants and nectar sources growing along
00:16:08.900these fields. But I think in the case of insecticides in particular, I think it is important
00:16:13.940that we identify what it is about agricultural intensification. Is it the scale? Is it the
00:16:21.100herbicides that we're spraying on these crops to remove weeds? Is it the insecticides like
00:16:26.480neonicotinoids? Is it the fact that it's just a giant, huge monoculture, that farming is on a
00:16:33.120different scale? I think it's really important that we tease that apart, disambiguate what the
00:16:39.340causal factor is, because there are a lot of things that are correlated with pesticide usage
00:16:44.680that may not be pesticides. And sometimes the alternatives, let's say we legislate against
00:16:51.040neonicotinoids, because we think there's a correlation, and that's not necessarily causative,
00:16:57.260then we might have to use another kind of pesticide that causes more human cancers. So I think science
00:17:04.040and truth and knowledge is imperative. And that's our responsibility and our charge as scientists.
00:17:09.840But I fully agree with you. When we have a clear problem, like climate change, that it's incumbent
00:17:15.680on scientists to do more, to spread that message, and maybe not try to measure so much with their
00:17:21.840thermometer, but to get out there and do something. In terms of the neonicotinoids that you've been
00:17:28.320speaking about, I've read that they're referred to as our generation's iteration of DDT. And they
00:17:34.760have been banned and people have been doing things about them. They've been banned in Italy, Germany,
00:17:39.500France and Slovenia and are largely held responsible for declining bee populations
00:17:44.660and it's incredible because they're still somehow one of the most popular insecticides on the market
00:17:49.820especially in this country. I'd also read a scientific review on insect decline and the
00:17:56.680scientists wrote that a comprehensive reduction in pesticide use could prevent the extinction of
00:18:00.820over 40 percent of the world's insect population. So I'm wondering let's say so much of this
00:18:08.800agricultural farmland was converted back to small scale, diverse family farms and really
00:18:16.560taken a whole different approach to the way in which we produce the world's or the country's
00:18:23.420food. Do you think that that would create a change? And of course, I do believe it would,
00:18:30.420but how long do you think it would take for surrounding ecosystems and insects to emerge
00:18:34.460again? Well, there's a lot in your question. First off, I think the data on neonicotinoids
00:18:41.420is quite contentious. And so we're not certain that the legislation didn't get out in front of
00:18:47.560the science. There hasn't been enough replicated studies to understand what the effects of
00:18:53.900neonicotinoids are to insects at this point, especially sublethal effects. So when we spray
00:19:00.680a pesticide, everybody thinks about that bugs die. But in many cases, at low doses, the bugs
00:19:07.920don't necessarily die, but these could have immune consequences, orientation consequences,
00:19:14.580what we call sublethal effects. And those kinds of effects are very hard to study because they may
00:19:21.220only slightly compromise an individual. But that's how evolution works, that over time,
00:19:26.920those slightly compromised individuals leave less offspring, and so there could be a great
00:19:31.600consequence. But in any case, when we don't use neonicotinoids, agriculture is likely to use
00:19:38.820other pesticides, and that's really the problem. It's an area of research that it's not my
00:19:45.260expertise. I do know that there is quite a bit of literature that's having trouble disambiguating
00:19:52.660the role of neonicotinoids, again, because most of these studies have been done in the laboratory
00:19:58.120or they've been correlative, and they haven't shown direct causes of some of these pesticides
00:20:03.700in nature. So that's a frontier where we need more funding and especially more field studies
00:20:09.900and experimental work, but in situ, out in the fields, especially what their impacts are
00:20:15.660in low doses away from the agricultural fields. That's, I think, where we need it.
00:20:19.940I can tell you that there are places in Europe and elsewhere where neonicotinoids are used and where they've had restoration programs for a special butterfly or rare species.
00:20:30.360The butterflies recovered fine once they brought about habitat changes.
00:20:34.520So it's not an easy – it's not as easy as we would like it to be in terms of knowing what to do.
00:20:41.800in terms of agriculture, you know, we have a growing human population and we have to feed
00:20:47.660all the people of the world. As much as I believe agriculture and agriculture intensification is the
00:20:54.480problem, I also recognize that it's necessary. And so I just think we need to figure out ways
00:21:00.380to make it more nature friendly. And I don't know that we could ever go back to small scale farms.
00:21:05.760I hope we go back to some organic farms and some smaller farms that this becomes
00:21:10.520living closer to the land and having some of our produce come from smaller farms, I think that
00:21:17.060would be awesome. But on the other hand, I think we also have to be realistic and just find ways
00:21:23.320to make these larger farms more nature-friendly. Leave some water bodies, some wetlands that are
00:21:30.540unmanaged, allow more weeds, hedgerows, some small wetland areas that serve as wet meadows that
00:21:37.420you know, could be nectaring stations for migratory species like the monarch when they
00:21:41.700move, you know, from Mexico all the way north into the Great Lakes states or something like
00:23:55.360For example, a study last year showed a 76% decrease in flying insects over the past few
00:24:01.880decades in German preserves. It's especially frightening to think that we're seeing such
00:24:07.160extreme insect loss, not in urban infrastructure-heavy areas, but in preserves that should
00:24:14.040ideally be a safe haven for many species. So I'm wondering what exactly does this signify
00:24:19.840if we're seeing a loss of insect populations in areas where there is little pesticide use
00:24:24.940or habitat loss, does that mean that climate change is the driving force? Or is it possible
00:24:30.220that insects are showing global susceptibility to an accumulation of toxins? I think we can
00:24:36.260eliminate the last. We're not seeing a signal of global insect decline at this point. There's
00:24:42.120nothing that I've read or found. I'm reviewing this now for the interview of entomology. So
00:24:49.080we are seeing insect decline. It's usually in areas of high human occupation, urbanization,
00:24:53.820residential areas and we're also seeing in areas of agriculture intensification. I am quite worried
00:25:01.880about the phenomenon that you mentioned though where we're getting decline inside reserves. I
00:25:06.760think the Germans have the best data. Their Krefeld Entomological Society looked at 63 sites
00:25:13.380and they've been looking at them for over 100 years in certain places. So they have a tremendous
00:25:17.980amount of data that can be brought to bear on this issue. And I've been in contact with one of
00:25:23.560their lead scientist, Martin Sorg. And he tells me that in at least 61 or 62 of those reserves,
00:25:31.300they're adjacent to agricultural land. And in certain cases, actually surrounded by agricultural
00:25:36.980land. They have one site that I believe is situated more towards the mountains or in
00:25:44.120the foothills of the mountains. And that site has not shown much insect decline.
00:25:49.380So this is still unpublished work. But it does suggest that these declines are not global. They're not ubiquitous. We don't necessarily know what all the causal factors are. But again, I think we're seeing them primarily in areas of high human occupation or high human activity.
00:26:09.360You did bring up the tropics, and that probably is directly linked to climate change, and I'm quite worried about that, especially when you have wet tropical forests that were bathed in clouds or receiving rains almost every day.
00:26:24.260Now, with these warmer temperatures, the clouds are being driven up the mountains or off the top of volcanoes, and we are starting to see some very serious consequences from those kinds of changes where we have a wet forest or one that was historically wet and now is drying out.
00:26:41.200And there's a new paper that will be out, I imagine, in the next issue or very, very soon in Biological Conservation by Dan Jansen, talking about just this, what you brought up, the drying out and climate changes that are happening in some of the tropical forests.
00:26:58.940His report is going to be what he's seen in Costa Rica over the last 40 years, and it won't make you happy.
00:31:48.540And perhaps that's why it was really recognized there first,
00:31:52.400because there's so many people collecting data,
00:31:54.600so many citizen scientists that appreciate these animals and photograph them
00:31:59.680and are interested in their life histories and what makes them tick
00:32:03.320and how we can serve them in the like.
00:32:05.520And you brought up one point that's really important,
00:32:08.260and that is that the decline is slow but fast,
00:32:11.040and it depends on what time scale we're talking about in the human lifespan.
00:32:16.120But you're talking about a decline, and it's only 1% or 2% a year,
00:32:21.900and that doesn't seem like very much, 1% or 2% loss of abundance per year,
00:32:26.180but that's a loss of 10% of biomass in a single decade.
00:32:30.160And so you can't run that forward very many decades before you have ecosystem collapse and you have birds going extinct, wildflowers without pollinators.
00:32:40.360In an evolutionary sense, that's an exceptionally fast rate and very frightening and why a lot of scientists and policymakers and people are paying attention to what's going on.
00:32:50.800But over the course of a human lifetime, what you've seen, the number of splats, bug splats on your windshield, it's barely detectable, but it's very serious rate.
00:33:01.980Well, it's interesting because I was just thinking about the whole windshield phenomenon because I do remember seeing a lot more bugs when I would drive through places with my family growing up.
00:33:15.800You know, we get out of the car from a road trip and our car would just be smashed with so many different varieties.
00:33:23.780And I've heard from many people that they are feeling a decline in insects, even whether it's in their backyard, like I said, on this windshield phenomenon.
00:33:35.840So, yeah, I feel both and I feel this kind of invisibility around insect extinction.
00:33:43.400but then when I really think about it I do notice a lot less even of things that we may consider to
00:33:49.600be more common in sex. Oh for sure and so we don't have much data but just about any old timer
00:33:56.740anybody who's lived for 30 years, three decades or four decades they've seen a change or they feel
00:34:02.780like they've seen a change and I think most have but part of that is also it's a difficult situation
00:34:08.840because a lot of that sort of wrapped up in urbanization and more people. So a really,
00:34:13.880really important piece of that would be to find out how the land around where you used to take
00:34:18.460those drives has changed in four decades. Has it reverted from open meadows and pastures and
00:34:24.020small farms to forest, which would have perhaps fewer bugs? Or have there been more residential
00:34:31.520developments and houses in that general area? Because if that's the case, those each have an
00:34:37.480effect. I mean, many people use pesticides on their lawns. Anyone who leaves a porch light on
00:34:42.300or a street light becomes a feeding station for bats at night. Every single light left on at night
00:34:47.360becomes a feeding station for bats at night and for birds in the morning. So it's not an easy
00:34:52.660problem and we really need data. In the past couple of years, we've seen more and more information
00:34:59.220disseminate around the fate of monarch butterflies. Over the last two decades, monarch populations in
00:35:05.180the western part of the country have declined by over 90%, and in March 2018, Mexican officials
00:35:11.940concluded populations had declined for the second consecutive year. Yet the monarch is not considered
00:35:18.240an endangered species, and as I understand it, it's thriving in some areas. What is however
00:35:24.640endangered is the biological phenomenon of their North American migration? Can you talk about the
00:35:30.060significance of losing biological phenomena, a topic when it seems to be completely left out
00:35:35.760of conversations around extinction. Well, I think that's right. We don't have that many things that
00:35:41.460we really consider a biological phenomenon, but the monarch is certainly one. And apparently,
00:35:46.440for anybody that's ever been to these overwintering aggregations in Mexico, it's life-changing. It's
00:35:53.300just impossible to imagine billions and billions of butterflies and how beautiful and magic that
00:36:01.640experience can be for anyone from five years old to 85. It's truly extraordinary. And not all
00:36:11.300monarchs are migratory. So we have monarchs that stay year round in California. And so that's a
00:36:16.540very short migration. And we have monarchs in Costa Rica that might just move between dry and
00:36:21.060wet forest or farther up and farther down a mountain. And that happens throughout South
00:36:25.060America. What's really special about what's going on in North America is these huge migrations of
00:36:32.220millions and millions, in some cases, billions of butterflies that are coming down to these
00:36:37.760furs in central Mexico. And it's truly extraordinary. And we want to protect
00:36:43.740things like this that are really unusual on the planet. So the butterfly itself is not
00:36:49.940endangered. It actually has non-migratory populations in many parts of Central America
00:36:54.880and South America and actually elsewhere on the globe. So what's really special is the fact that
00:37:00.360these butterflies are able to migrate 2,000 miles. We don't have anything else like it. So I don't
00:37:07.060know how many species of insects are in the new world, but let's just say there's 7 million species
00:37:12.980of insects on the planet and at least half of those maybe four million are in the new world
00:37:19.960because of the amazon and that's the most biodiverse place on the planet that's where
00:37:24.480we have the most monkeys and the most most insects and the most plants and orchids and what have you
00:37:29.640so of all of those i mean there's nothing comparable so out of out of four million the
00:37:34.720monarch is is really special and worth preserving and it's going to need our help this is a they're
00:37:42.000very susceptible to practices, both in and around the overwintering furs. They have these special
00:37:50.820furs that are in the high mountains, not that far from Mexico City, actually, and they serve
00:37:56.340as giant refrigerators. So basically, these millions and millions and millions of monarchs
00:38:02.160come together, they find these fir trees, and they all huddle up together in unimaginable numbers.
00:38:09.480and they they have this biological refrigerator it can't get too warm or they end up getting too
00:38:15.980thirsty and starving to death and it can't get too cold or they freeze and we've probably all
00:38:20.360seen pictures of tens of thousands of frozen monarchs and and again this is where climate
00:38:25.820change is going to perhaps threaten that phenomenon but they also need help on their way north and
00:38:32.720their their giant migration on the way south but it's it's a it's a fabulous story and i can't tell
00:38:38.600you how many people enjoy having monarchs and how many kids go out and look for monarch caterpillars
00:38:43.500in their yard and how many children learn about metamorphosis and development and maybe use that
00:38:49.840as an allegory or a metaphor of their their own development and how as a child are gonna you know
00:38:56.160it's going to be cinderella it's a phoenix from the flame it's going to be a second opportunity
00:39:00.460it's going to be about maturation and flying off so we we really want to keep this butterfly around
00:39:06.360There's nothing else like it. And it's certainly a magnificent animal and really is sort of an ambassador, a poster child for for all invertebrates or for all insects.
00:39:16.140And and so it's a good banner. It's a good cause. And indeed, really special.
00:39:21.940Absolutely. I couldn't agree more that the monarch is this ambassador.
00:39:26.820And it's it really brings people into interest and engagement with insect populations.
00:39:33.900And so thank you for speaking about that. Now on the topic of extinction and what does and does not
00:39:41.960get recognized, it's been brought to my attention in doing the research for this interview just how
00:39:47.520much we have become reliant on extinction as a metric. So do you see any problems with this sort
00:39:54.640of hyper attention around extinction? Are we falling into this trap of only caring about
00:40:00.020one set of species at a time once they tip towards extinction rather than focusing our energy and
00:40:05.800acknowledging the tremendous value of our more common kin that we're upholding ecosystems without
00:40:12.580any recognition and if this is something that you spoke to at the beginning of the interview
00:40:16.720just around people focusing just solely on the kind of charismatic large extinct mammals
00:40:23.900Yeah, so by the time an insect gets very, very rare and might be put on one of our lists as a threatened or an endangered species, or even by the time it's on just a watch list, it's probably so ecologically diminished that it's not likely to be important in terms of the fates of other animals.
00:40:44.380There's probably not going to be too many other species that would go extinct.
00:40:49.440You could call it co-extinction once we have an organism that's really rare.
00:40:54.460Again, this phenomenon, this insect loss, insect decline phenomenon, I think we're worried about it because it's actually the decline of the common species and the ones that are providing the ecosystem services.
00:41:06.140Things like a honeybee, it would be an extraordinary example in the sense that it's hyper abundant and we can see it on any walk.
00:41:15.260We can plant a butterfly garden and plan to see honeybees in our yard, but we absolutely depend on them for billions of dollars worth of pollination services.
00:41:26.220It's these common things that we see on a day-to-day basis and maybe end up as a splat on our windshield that are doing our recycling.
00:41:34.340They're the ones feeding wildlife. They're the ones providing the pollination services.
00:41:39.440And so we're having to rethink about what we want to preserve. And I think with invertebrates,
00:41:46.100first and foremost, we want to understand what the causal factors are. We have to understand
00:41:51.100if this is climate change or is it an insecticide? Is it light pollution? Is it just carving up the
00:41:58.100landscape with residences and living with 300 people per square kilometer, we need to know the
00:42:05.220answer to that in order to protect these things. But I think with invertebrates, there's so many
00:42:11.060different species. I would think the average eastern state might have 25,000 species of
00:42:18.220insects. We can't protect every single one of those. I mean, there's not enough knowledge or
00:42:23.620conservation dollars to do it. So we have to start thinking about habitat preservation
00:42:28.060and trying to eliminate what might be the primary causal factors. And for example,
00:42:34.540you've brought up climate change and other guests on your show have brought up climate change. We
00:42:40.060need to know how important that is in the temperate zone. And is it different in the temperate zone
00:42:45.380than the tropics? And is it different in the Arctic? We expect to see really big changes
00:42:52.060in Arctic ecosystems with climate change.