00:07:01.420To illustrate the idea of marginal gains, he includes this chart, which I am going to send to you.0.90
00:07:07.940Now, one of the problems with trying to convey what this book is like to you is that it's very hard to explain to a listener how dumb these charts are.0.74
00:07:20.220Do your best to explain what you're seeing here.0.94
00:07:22.720So the up and down axis is results and the left and right axis is time.
00:07:29.500So we're talking about getting good results over time, and then he's got a dotted line, and above the line is 1% improvement, and below the line is 1% decline.0.96
00:07:41.700And so, oh my fucking God, okay, it's becoming clear to me.
00:07:46.200So it says, figure one, the effects of small habits compound over time.0.99
00:07:53.540For example, if you can get just 1% better each day, you'll end up with results that are nearly 37 times better after one year.
00:08:03.140So the chart is basically just like two arrows.
00:08:08.660One of them goes up and like one of them goes down.
00:08:11.540This is just a chart of results over time where the arrow goes up.
00:08:16.880Yeah, it's not like it doesn't quantify results or time.
00:08:20.380it's just like if you get better at something every day yeah you'll be much better at it at
00:08:26.380the end of the year which again he could have just said like in a sentence right it's not this is not
00:08:31.040difficult like to understand at all so what he's saying here is that if you get one percent better
00:08:36.800each day for one year you will due to math yeah end up 37 times better by the time you're done
00:08:46.420but like there's no skill that you can improve one percent every single day for 365 days it's
00:08:55.640ridiculous concept this is just taking the idea of compound interest and pretending that it applies
00:09:01.320to skills and applying it to something qualitative right yeah applying it to like personal habits
00:09:05.900doesn't just doesn't make any sense like i'm trying to cook at home more rather than eating
00:09:10.020out. And at the end of the year, I'm cooking at home 37 times more. 37 times better. So by the
00:09:17.760end of the year, you are a three star Michelin chef. By the end of the next year, you are the
00:09:22.220greatest chef in human history by a wide margin. You're going to be the best procrastination
00:09:27.000avoider. And then, yeah, to prove his point, he throws in a chart so stupid. It looks like it's1.00
00:09:31.980ripped from like a multi-level marketing pitch or something. It's just arrow goes up. And then I
00:09:37.340guess the takeaway from the chart because the whole point of infographics like this is like
00:09:41.040at a glance to tell a story yeah the takeaway from this is like improving is better than declining
00:09:46.680yeah this is like a big complaint i have about this book which is like there's a fine line1.00
00:09:51.180between simplifying things for a general audience and treating me like i'm a fucking asshole you0.98
00:09:56.900know so it's also worth noting that this idea of getting one percent better every day is a0.98
00:10:03.540bastardization of the original concept the cycling team's idea was that small improvements in various
00:10:10.100different areas will result in noticeable change in the aggregate so like you improve your bikes a
00:10:16.600little bit you improve your sleep a little you improve the hygiene a little bit right but clear
00:10:21.200is talking about a one percent improvement of the same skill every day which is not the same thing
00:10:25.860nor is it realistic right so i actually think there was like this more useful and interesting
00:10:30.360idea that he just turns into something silly is the story about the british cyclists correct0.68
00:10:35.520huh interesting instinct you have there okay okay no no it's not i'm too fucking pilled from0.61
00:10:44.020reading these books as soon as you hear a cute little story you're like yeah no sorry off to0.72
00:10:48.480wikipedia i go exactly as as soon as i heard that story i was like a cycling a cycling team with no
00:10:58.060history of success implements a bunch of small improvements and then becomes the most dominant
00:11:02.760team in the world by a wide margin yeah and they're kind of obvious improvements too like
00:11:07.140let's do a little bit of everything that's probably something all coaches are saying all the time
00:11:10.120again the story that clear tells is that this guy dave brailsford is made the performance
00:11:14.540director for british cycling in 2003 he promotes this marginal gains concept and they start winning
00:11:20.100a huge amount what actually happened is that in the late 1990s the government massively increased
00:11:26.260their funding in 1994 the uk institutes the national lottery state-sponsored lottery and
00:11:32.560in the following years they start to apportion out proceeds across british sports in the mid
00:11:37.80090s the cycling team has barely any funding by 1999 they're receiving 2.5 million pounds annually
00:11:44.760clear mentions that when brailsford arrived in 2003 british cycling had only won one gold medal
00:11:52.100since 1908. What he doesn't mention is that that gold medal was in the year 2000,
00:11:58.520right after the funding started pouring in. So Brailsford is a widely respected cycling coach.
00:12:05.480And I think his methods are widely respected within the sport. From what I can gather,
00:12:09.580the team was very, very successful under him. So I'm not saying that this is total bullshit,0.98
00:12:14.440that there's nothing to this or anything like that. But if you look at the marginal improvements0.95
00:12:18.720he made, it's like better bikes, better mattresses, physician consultants, like those aren't
00:12:24.420philosophical changes as much as they're just costly resources that they could now afford.
00:12:29.120I also I love that we're now so sick of the one weird trick books that we're getting like
00:12:34.360every weird trick at once books do it all. And it's like, I just don't know that like
00:12:40.780weird tricks are really the way to solve problems. It's probably just like bread and
00:12:44.960butter stuff of like dedicate resources and hire staff right right although to be fair this does
00:12:50.020explain why britain is so good at transphobia just like a bunch of little little people saying
00:12:54.400little things at every level little tweaks make everything a little more transphobic you get that
00:12:58.900guys in america we're trying to increase our transphobia by one percent every day but in
00:13:03.600britain they know the real trick is to improve across a broad array of phobias
00:13:09.000all right so he starts to talk about how changing your identity is fundamental to seeing lasting
00:13:20.620change he says research has shown that once a person believes in a particular aspect of their
00:13:26.380identity they are more likely to act in alignment with that belief identity change is therefore the
00:13:32.860north star of habit change okay now this does have some support in the scientific literature
00:13:38.520there's research showing that people who use language that identifies themselves as like a
00:13:44.980healthy eater, for example, are more likely to make healthy eating choices than people who say
00:13:49.620they want to make healthy eating choices. People who say that they are voters are more likely to
00:13:56.420vote than people who just say that voting is good. But then the obvious question becomes,
00:14:00.760well, how do you change your identity, right? How do you change your identity in a way that
00:14:04.300makes you more likely to engage in certain habits. What Clear says is that regularly engaging in a
00:14:10.840certain behavior will make you identify with it. Okay. Quote, the more you repeat a behavior,
00:14:16.580the more you reinforce the identity associated with that behavior. So you need to become a
00:14:20.900shelf putter upper to identify as a shelver. I'm just going to keep doing this all episodes. So
00:14:26.140if you're following along with his formulation, the key to developing habits you want is to change
00:14:32.280your identity around those habits and you change your identity by developing the habits you want
00:14:38.340right it's circular right he's saying if you want to like eat more fiber you need to identify as
00:14:44.640somebody who eats a lot of fiber but then how do you identify that way you need to start eating
00:14:50.640more fiber yeah so basically once you like reduce the fraction it's just if you want to eat more
00:14:56.080fiber you should eat more fiber it seems like he's implying that what you want to do is just
00:15:00.640start actively identifying as a person who does the stuff that you want to do. But he doesn't
00:15:06.500cite any research showing that that works. So it seems like he's just fucking up the correlation
00:15:11.140and causation, right? Like, yeah, the people who identify as voters are more likely to vote.
00:15:16.840Sure. But that's not necessarily because they're identifying as voters. It's the other way around,
00:15:21.600right? Right. It could be I identify as a voter because I vote every time. Exactly.
00:15:25.480it's just an accurate description of me right it's just a feedback loop and i'm trying to
00:15:31.500learn how to hop in there right let me double dutch into that loop but he's not really telling
00:15:35.440me how yeah so there there are some useful formulations in this book and i will talk
00:15:40.300about them but first i want to talk about how much noise there is this is another book where
00:15:46.440there are a couple of useful concepts but you could pack them into a few pages to give you a
00:15:52.580general sense of how convoluted it is, I'm going to send you just a few of the ways that he describes
00:15:59.300habits throughout the book. He says, habits are how you embody your identity. Habits are the path
00:16:06.460to changing your identity. Habits are just a series of automatic solutions that solve the
00:16:11.780problems and stresses you face regularly. Habits are mental shortcuts learned from experience.
00:16:17.400Habits are a dopamine-driven feedback loop.
00:16:20.600Habits are modern-day solutions to ancient desires.
00:16:24.300Habits are automatic choices that influence the conscious decisions that follow.
00:41:12.440And by the way, I'm sending you the best charts because there are multiple charts, again, where you'll look at them and have even having read the chapter, be like, what is he saying?
00:41:23.000I can send you some of those two just for fun.
00:41:24.640But this is I'm trying to send you the charts that that are legible in some way.