If Books Could Kill - August 08, 2024


The Anxious Generation

Topics
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Episode Stats


Length

2 hours

Words per minute

197.11

Word count

23,664

Sentence count

1,239

Harmful content

Misogyny

2

sentences flagged

Toxicity

169

sentences flagged

Hate speech

64

sentences flagged


Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
00:00:00.000 do you have a zinger is your is your brain too addled from being on instagram i like how we're 0.99
00:00:05.000 gonna be making jokes about that like it's not true oh i guess i'm stupid now because i can only 0.97
00:00:09.960 think in dumb memes isn't that right jonathan hey i'm literally scrolling on tiktok right now 0.73
00:00:15.080 i'm not listening i'm just responding to a picture of the hawk to a girl with the word mother 0.80
00:00:21.120 as we speak we did do a whole episode where you describe what you think my internet activity is
00:00:27.640 I think that's what you think I do.
00:00:30.380 You just have some like burner account with the avi of some like AI generated twink. 0.99
00:00:37.580 And you're just like going around commenting slutty bullshit all over the place. 0.99
00:00:42.780 We should have never taught you what twink means. 1.00
00:00:46.800 What do you what do you have?
00:00:48.340 What do you have?
00:00:48.900 All right.
00:00:49.820 Peter.
00:00:50.460 Michael.
00:00:51.060 What do you know about the anxious generation?
00:00:53.360 All I know is that if you're here to tell me that TikTok hasn't ruined Zoomers' brains, we're going to be in a fight.
00:01:13.520 So the full title of this book is The Anxious Generation, colon, 0.90
00:01:17.920 How the Great Rewiring of Childhood is Causing an Epidemic of Mental Illness.
00:01:23.360 OK. This has been on the bestseller list for weeks. It was at one point the number one New York Times bestselling book in the country. It's extremely popular. It started a huge amount of discourse about what are the teens doing on their phones. And I think that this is a good distillation of the argument that the phones are ruining the teens.
00:01:41.920 Well, also, though, like boomers also fucked due to their phones. 0.99
00:01:47.040 Yes. 1.00
00:01:47.240 With kids, it's resulting maybe in mental illness. 1.00
00:01:49.980 With boomers, they're storming the Capitol. 0.91
00:01:52.300 It's manifesting in different ways across generations. 1.00
00:01:55.720 Exactly.
00:01:56.180 And maybe there's a particular concern when the brains are a little bit softer.
00:01:59.460 This is why I want to do like a tedious preamble to this episode, because I know this is this is one that people are clenched for.
00:02:08.500 It's like, are we going to say that, like, all of the phones are ruining all of the teens, which seems really one dimensional?
00:02:14.220 Or are we going to say, like, the phones are fine and there's nothing to worry about, which also seems really one dimensional?
00:02:19.580 No, we're going to hit the perfect balance, folks.
00:02:22.800 You've never heard a take so nuanced.
00:02:24.640 So I'm going to start with a series of totally contradictory statements, all of which are true.
00:02:30.240 I think it is important to acknowledge that, like, the internet and smartphones are a transformative technology that is changing society in all kinds of, like, genuinely very profound ways.
00:02:41.240 And it would be really fucking weird to act like that has no downsides.
00:02:46.100 It's also true that every previous technological advancement has resulted in a moral panic about teenagers. 0.83
00:02:53.760 For our disco demolition episode, I looked into, like, the moral panic around jukeboxes. 0.56
00:02:58.340 There was this idea that like kids were going to be dancing too much and some of that will be interracial dancing and the parents freaked out.
00:03:04.240 There was a moral panic about cars.
00:03:05.820 I read a lot of really interesting literature for this episode about the moral panic about radio plays.
00:03:10.440 Then of course we got TV.
00:03:11.640 Then of course we got video games and it just nonstop, whenever something new comes out, it's like, oh, what's it going to do to teens and adults lose their minds?
00:03:19.020 It is also true that some of these technologies were bad.
00:03:23.320 Yeah.
00:03:23.620 No, the jukebox thing was true.
00:03:25.680 I read a really interesting article about these constant tech and teens moral panics that said it's actually quite rare to sort of circle back to the previous technology and understand what effect it had.
00:03:36.720 So, you know, we had this decade long panic about kids watching too much TV and TV was going to rot their brains.
00:03:41.960 And then we sort of moved into like the video games are going to rot their brains.
00:03:45.420 Right.
00:03:45.560 But no one ever really like went back and was like, well, wait a minute.
00:03:47.560 What was the effect of TV?
00:03:49.060 There's some argument that like maybe TV did have effects on childhood and adults that weren't great.
00:03:54.640 Like the shift from active entertainment to passive entertainment might have actually been bad. 0.95
00:03:59.000 And a lot of the stuff on TV was garbage. 0.93
00:04:01.180 Yeah.
00:04:01.420 Like I personally think that video games probably have had some negative effect on society.
00:04:05.420 I don't think it's like ruined a generation.
00:04:07.420 But like I'm concerned about how much violence and how much misogyny there is in video games.
00:04:11.600 I don't think that's like a moral panic thing to talk about.
00:04:13.660 Of course you don't.
00:04:15.500 Of course you don't.
00:04:16.540 Another true thing to say about this is that John Haidt is a reactionary centrist and a bad thinker.
00:04:22.780 We talked about his previous book, The Coddling of the American Mind.
00:04:26.500 We found that it wasn't just that we disagree with that book, although we do.
00:04:30.680 It's that the book was bad.
00:04:32.140 It had shoddy research.
00:04:33.620 It had anecdotes that were wildly mischaracterized.
00:04:36.500 It was based on this idea that the left has fallen for these four ideas that everybody believes and then nobody actually believes them.
00:04:43.320 And so I went into this book without a lot of trust.
00:04:45.820 Yeah.
00:04:46.240 When the whole book's about brains being bad, you want the person who's writing it to have a good brain.
00:04:51.740 To have a good brain.
00:04:52.580 That should be one of the most important qualifiers. 0.99
00:04:55.960 And then the last contradictory thing is that it really feels true that social media is fucking up our kids' brains.
00:05:04.500 However, a lot of the actual evidence for this is anecdotal.
00:05:08.800 One of the articles that I read is by a researcher who's been looking into this for decades.
00:05:12.260 And she said this guy came up to her after a talk and was like, you know, how dare you say that the field and the evidence is nuanced on this?
00:05:18.940 My daughter turned 13.
00:05:20.760 I gave her a smartphone.
00:05:22.580 And, you know, within a year she had an eating disorder, she was depressed and like it basically ruined her life.
00:05:27.480 And like, how dare you say that this isn't based on anything?
00:05:29.440 Yeah, that's called being 14.
00:05:31.560 This is the thing is like at the same time that it's very plausible to me that this is ruining teens brains.
00:05:37.940 That period of life between like 11 and 15 is a time when teens pull away from their parents.
00:05:42.820 Like this happens to every single teenager and parents oftentimes want something to blame.
00:05:47.020 For this episode, I talked to six teenagers across a wide range of ages, and every single one of them said that, like, my parents blame my phone for everything.
00:05:56.720 It's like, you didn't clean your room because you're always on your phone.
00:05:58.920 You didn't do your homework because you're always on your phone.
00:06:01.080 And they're like, well, sometimes that's true, but sometimes I'm just a teenager who doesn't want to clean his room.
00:06:06.880 People are coming to this with, like, either our experience, which is like, oh, my God, thank God I didn't have a phone in high school, which is absolutely what I believe.
00:06:13.120 But also, I didn't have a phone in high school, so I don't really know what it would have been like to have a phone in high school.
00:06:17.920 But also if someone if an adult watched me in 1999, they would have been like, thank God I didn't have Age of Empires 2 in high school, because obviously this will ruin a human being.
00:06:26.720 Exactly. You're like TV or like first person shooters or like whatever the thing was when we were in high school.
00:06:31.540 Right. That we spent way too much time doing when we should have been outside.
00:06:35.240 A lot of this conversation is playing out based on anecdotes or things like my daughter got her phone and now she's sad.
00:06:41.340 Something that is like you can't really prove that's because of the phone.
00:06:44.700 When you're talking about like what's happening to teenagers, the inputs are so vast and complicated that even though it feels very intuitive that like TikTok cannot be doing any good.
00:06:57.500 It's really hard to parse out exactly what it's doing.
00:07:00.100 And so that doesn't mean phones are great for kids, but it also it doesn't mean that phones are bad for kids.
00:07:04.240 I think if we're going to have a conversation about this as a society, we need to get the evidence in front of us and actually like talk to experts and talk to teens and teachers and psychologists and like really understand what we're looking at.
00:07:15.020 My purpose with this was like to try to genuinely understand not just this book, but like for myself, like what do I think about the effect of the phones on the kids?
00:07:24.340 Right.
00:07:24.540 So that is my purpose with this episode.
00:07:26.060 OK.
00:07:26.380 And mine is to provide commentary.
00:07:28.180 I'm glad that you know your role so well.
00:07:29.600 And my role is to ignore you and continue speaking.
00:07:32.060 So as we always do on the show, I want to start with the first few paragraphs of the book.
00:07:38.120 We're going to dive in and we're going to hear John Haidt's argument for why the kids are in danger from their telephones.
00:07:46.740 Suppose that when your first child turned 10, a visionary billionaire whom you've never met chose her to join the first permanent human settlement on Mars.
00:07:54.600 Unbeknownst to you, she had signed herself up for the mission because she loves outer space.
00:07:58.580 And besides, all of her friends have signed up.
00:08:00.880 she begs you to let her go. She's going to Mars. Before saying no, you agree to learn more. You
00:08:06.520 learn that the reason they're recruiting children is that they adapt better to the unusual conditions
00:08:10.380 of Mars than adults, particularly the low gravity. If children go through puberty and its associated
00:08:15.300 growth spurt on Mars, their bodies will be permanently tailored to it, unlike settlers 0.90
00:08:19.720 who come over as adults. At least that's the theory. It's unknown whether Mars-adapted children 0.91
00:08:25.040 would be able to return to Earth. Did the planners take this into account? Did they do any research
00:08:30.320 on child safety at all? As far as you can tell, no. So would you let her go? Of course not.
00:08:37.020 Couldn't agree more. I would not let my 10 year old child go to Mars. And I'll say it on a podcast.
00:08:43.540 This is by far like the best argument in the book. He's basically saying that like,
00:08:47.180 we're doing this society wide experiment where we're just giving teenagers this like brand new
00:08:53.100 technology. And we're just all kind of assuming, oh, yeah, they'll probably be okay. But like,
00:08:57.520 There was no like FDA process to say, wait a minute, is this harmful before we give it to every single teenager in the country at an extremely vulnerable time in their life?
00:09:07.220 The FDA comparison is apt because what social media really needs is more aggressive regulation.
00:09:13.400 Yes.
00:09:13.700 If you just make a book called like we should regulate social media, everyone will get mad at you. 0.98
00:09:17.940 But I do feel like that's probably the conclusion that I'm going to come away from some of this shit with. 0.69
00:09:22.140 Haidt then talks about like the sort of overall, he sort of lays out the history of social media 0.94
00:09:27.320 a little bit and he's kind of scoping the book. What he really wants to examine is there was a
00:09:33.040 huge spike in mental disorders among teenagers between 2010 and 2015. He says in the introduction
00:09:39.540 that he's really zeroing in on this period because that's the period where you can essentially prove
00:09:44.380 that social media is causing a spike in teen depression, anxiety, and suicidality. That is
00:09:50.560 the argument in the book. And so he says very clearly in this section that he's like, we're
00:09:54.400 not talking about the internet in general, right? Because that was like roughly mid 2000s. We're
00:09:58.560 not talking about video games. We're not talking about screen time and TV. These are all kind of
00:10:03.300 totally separate concerns. We're also not talking about what you might call the contemporary era of
00:10:07.340 social media then, right? Like the rise of the short video. Oh, you're veering into spoiler
00:10:13.440 territory. But no, according to this section of the book, he's not talking about the rise of these
00:10:19.540 short video platforms like TikTok. He's also not talking about the effects of the pandemic.
00:10:23.120 So we're just limiting ourselves to this relatively short period of time.
00:10:26.840 Because this is like Farmville era Facebook.
00:10:29.580 Yeah. I mean, that's why he's saying we're not talking about that, right? We're not going to
00:10:32.320 talk about like Friendster or MySpace or early Facebook. He's zeroing in on the innovations
00:10:39.460 that tech companies used in the mid-2000s to the 2010s, which essentially culminated in social
00:10:45.180 media being this uniquely harmful thing for kids. So he kind of lays out this timeline.
00:10:50.100 Okay. You know, we had the internet starting in the early 2000s. We started to get universal
00:10:54.700 broadband throughout the United States in like late 2000s. We then have these little baby steps
00:11:01.360 that all make social media much more harmful. So in 2006, Facebook introduces the news feed.
00:11:06.880 In 2007, we get the introduction of the iPhone. In 2009, we get the like and retweet buttons.
00:11:12.920 We then pretty quickly start getting these increasingly algorithmic ways of showing you on your news feed.
00:11:17.960 It's not just chronological anymore.
00:11:19.320 That's around sort of 2008 to 2010.
00:11:21.980 He also mentions endless scrolling, right?
00:11:24.560 You can just kind of mindlessly scroll on these apps forever.
00:11:27.620 We get push notifications from these apps starting in 2009.
00:11:32.380 Most smartphones start to have self-facing cameras in 2010, so you can start taking selfies.
00:11:38.460 We then get Instagram in 2010.
00:11:40.220 In 2012, Facebook acquires Instagram.
00:11:44.400 And between 2011 and 2013, Instagram goes from 10 million users to 90 million users. 0.80
00:11:50.040 OK, where where in this timeline is damn Daniel? 0.97
00:11:53.120 I just need to situate myself relative to damn Daniel. 0.97
00:11:57.080 The culmination of this trend is that kids are now spending roughly seven hours a day 0.97
00:12:04.040 on various screens.
00:12:06.500 A third of teens say that they use social media, quote, almost constantly.
00:12:12.060 I mean, there's various surveys of like how many kids have a smartphone.
00:12:15.240 By the time they're 11, it's about 50-50.
00:12:17.640 But then by the time they're 14, it's essentially every kid has one.
00:12:20.400 Of the kids that have smartphones, the vast majority also have various social media accounts.
00:12:24.780 It has taken a while to sort of get here, but we really are at like almost universal
00:12:29.620 penetration of smartphones for both adults and children.
00:12:32.560 I'd probably use a phrase other than universal penetration, but I hear you.
00:12:36.300 I know. As I said it, I was like, OK, fuck, this is Peter Bate. 1.00
00:12:39.720 So that's like the timeline of all the tech innovations that brought us to this place. 0.98
00:12:43.420 What he's most concerned about is essentially kids who hit puberty right around this like 2008 to 2012 period when the tech companies were getting more sophisticated.
00:12:53.700 That's why you see rising rates of depression and anxiety among Generation Z, but you don't see them in millennials and other and other age groups.
00:13:01.780 Yeah, that's why I'm doing great.
00:13:03.560 Yeah, that's why all of us are happy about our phones.
00:13:06.240 We have a great relationship with our phones.
00:13:08.260 I'm normal.
00:13:09.240 So here is where he draws the distinction between adult use of social media and teen use of social media.
00:13:17.080 Social media companies are making products that are useful for adults, helping them to find information, jobs, friends, love and sex, making shopping and political organizing more efficient and making life easier in a thousand ways.
00:13:29.420 Most of us would be happy to live in a world with no tobacco,
00:13:32.180 but social media is far more valuable, helpful, and even beloved by many adults.
00:13:36.680 So he does acknowledge that there are also drawbacks for adults, right?
00:13:40.280 He says that everything we talk about with teenagers is also happening with adults.
00:13:43.620 However, adults do derive real benefits from social media.
00:13:48.940 Here is the section where he talks about the difference for kids.
00:13:53.680 The same is not true for minors.
00:13:55.600 While the reward-seeking parts of the brain mature earlier, the frontal cortex, essential
00:14:00.100 for self-control, delay of gratification, and resistance to temptation, is not up to
00:14:04.200 full capacity until the mid-twenties, and preteens are at a particularly vulnerable
00:14:07.940 point in development.
00:14:09.660 As they begin puberty, they are often socially insecure, easily swayed by peer pressure,
00:14:14.480 and easily lured by any activity that seems to offer social validation.
00:14:18.860 We don't let preteens buy tobacco or alcohol or enter casinos.
00:14:22.880 The costs of using social media in particular are high for adolescents compared with adults,
00:14:27.020 while the benefits are minimal.
00:14:28.640 Let children grow up on Earth first before sending them to Mars.
00:14:32.100 So this is the core of the argument to the book that for adults,
00:14:35.320 there are some benefits of using social media.
00:14:37.760 For kids, there are none.
00:14:39.300 It is only a harmful influence.
00:14:41.680 Yeah, it feels a little reductive, although maybe like gesturing in the correct direction.
00:14:46.860 If the point is there are higher risks for children because of where their brains are,
00:14:52.300 Sure. I think that's pretty defensible. Acting like it's nothing but upside for adults and
00:14:57.720 nothing but downside for kids just seems very reductive.
00:14:59.860 This is the first glimpse of like, I don't know that he's the best guide through this debate,
00:15:04.920 right? Because I think you think of any kid who's like a member of a minority group,
00:15:09.040 right? Like a teenage gay kid, somewhere with like homophobic parents, social media might be
00:15:13.300 like their only lifeline. It's really easy to think that like there are some kids who derive
00:15:18.900 some benefits from social media. It's just sort of weird to say, you know, to compare it to like
00:15:24.420 tobacco or gambling. Some of it's just like interacting with your friends. Yeah. I want to
00:15:29.520 be clear. When I was 14 years old, a thing you would do is be on the phone with your middle or 0.80
00:15:37.780 high school girlfriend or boyfriend or whatever, and just sit there silent because you were both
00:15:44.720 in your rooms yeah with nothing to do and then every five minutes someone's parent would pick
00:15:51.460 up the phone to try to use it and we'd be like we're on the phone and eventually someone would
00:15:56.320 yell at you yeah they'd be like i need to use the phone for a real purpose not whatever the
00:16:00.380 fuck this is that's what social interaction looked like and i'm sorry if i'm if i look at 0.88
00:16:05.200 like snapchat as perhaps an improvement in some ways at least the first chapter of the book is 0.98
00:16:10.820 where he walks us through the teen mental health crisis okay so we're gonna watch a video clip
00:16:16.600 because this chapter is mostly charts and i don't want to sit here and describe charts to you so
00:16:23.680 just sent you a link all right hold on i'm getting a kamala hq ad here we gotta get you
00:16:31.120 some ad blockers buddy kamala asking me for even more money even though i've already donated
00:16:35.380 you were on the you were on the white women for kamala call last night weren't you everyone is
00:16:40.060 talking about the white women for kamala call last night you'd love those am i great they were
00:16:43.740 like 150 000 people were on the call and then at the end they were like it raised two million
00:16:48.220 dollars and i'm like all right so like seven bucks per white lady is that this is this is
00:16:54.820 the redemption of white women that i was told about we're re-canceling white women folks as
00:17:00.180 a bit of a connoisseur i'm here to tell you they are still no good so here is a talk that he gave
00:17:07.520 where he's kind of going over the evidence
00:17:09.800 that teens are experiencing higher rates
00:17:12.480 of depression, anxiety, and suicidality.
00:17:15.960 From the 90s through the 2000s,
00:17:18.260 we're talking the millennial generation,
00:17:19.800 which many of you in this room are.
00:17:21.320 If you're born between 1981 and 1995,
00:17:24.060 you're a millennial. 0.98
00:17:25.520 Your mental health was actually fine, 0.99
00:17:27.560 a little better than Gen X before you. 0.99
00:17:30.860 So all the numbers are going along,
00:17:32.380 they go up, down, up, you know, sort of moving along.
00:17:34.520 And then all of a sudden,
00:17:35.680 those numbers all start rising right around 2012, 2013. And the level of the rise, especially when
00:17:41.140 for boys, it's a little slower. It's not such a sharp elbow. That's a different story. But for
00:17:45.840 girls, it's a very sharp elbow. And when we look at the younger teen girls, ages 10 to 14, that's
00:17:50.980 where we see the hugest rises. So those younger girls, they didn't used to be hospitalized for
00:17:58.060 self-harm. It was very, very rare. But after 2012, the numbers go way up. For the older teen girls,
00:18:04.320 I think it's like 70 or 80% increase.
00:18:06.620 For the younger teen girls, it's more like 150.
00:18:09.260 And that's in America.
00:18:10.240 In Britain, you have data that 10 to 12-year-old girls are up 380% increase.
00:18:17.300 It's more than a quadruple. 0.76
00:18:20.060 For self-harming.
00:18:20.780 For self-harm, that's right.
00:18:22.300 So something happened that especially, well, when girls got super connected and began sharing,
00:18:29.740 the idea of self-harming and the idea of anxiety became just much more widespread.
00:18:34.320 Not a funny, not a funny or dunkable clip, but he's laying out the statistics.
00:18:39.360 This is actually kind of compelling because hospitalizations for self-harm are a useful metric in the same way that like murder is a useful metric for crime because it's always reported as opposed to something that's like self-reported and might be the result of people just having greater awareness of mental illness or anxiety or whatever.
00:19:01.220 Peter, this transitions. I feel like you're doing this on purpose. This transitions extremely well into the thing that I want to say. I mean, we're not going to go through the entire chapter of his book, but I do want to complicate the picture that he's painting of youth mental health.
00:19:13.200 So he points out that rates of various markers of teen mental health are flat and then all of a sudden they explode in 2010.
00:19:21.620 And this is essentially the heart of the book, that there's a strong correlation between adoption of smartphones in roughly 2010 and this huge spike in suicidality, self-harm, all of these markers also in 2010.
00:19:33.940 That's the core of the book is just these like two lines going up at the same time.
00:19:37.360 Right.
00:19:37.480 But the adoption of smartphones was not the only thing that happened around 2010.
00:19:43.200 The other big thing is the implementation of Obamacare.
00:19:46.440 So the percentage of kids in America who didn't have access to health insurance had actually been steadily dropping from the 1990s.
00:19:53.680 But the implementation of the Affordable Care Act extended Medicaid coverage to a huge number of children and also increased access to private insurance plans.
00:20:04.460 So what you find is that in 1997, around 14% of kids were uninsured.
00:20:09.580 And by 2016, that's down to 5%.
00:20:12.400 So around the same time, for both adults and kids, you start to see much more Medicaid coverage of mental health admissions to the hospital.
00:20:20.920 You see more diagnosis.
00:20:22.520 You see more prescriptions.
00:20:24.060 The just kind of overall access to mental health care treatment really did significantly expand as part of the implementation of Obamacare.
00:20:32.300 Another thing that happened was there was guidance from the U.S. Preventative Services Task Force that recommended screening adolescent girls for depression starting in 2011.
00:20:43.340 It also made it mandatory for insurance companies to cover it. 0.96
00:20:46.920 Got it.
00:20:47.080 There was also guidance around the same time that instructed doctors to add suicidal ideation as a cause of harm to medical records.
00:20:56.400 I mean, this is another thing that he kind of glosses over that the numbers were actually rising of teen mental health problems before smartphones.
00:21:03.780 So he's a little bit off on the timeline and he's a little bit off on the age groups because 10 to 14 year olds didn't actually have cell phones at that time.
00:21:12.160 That was actually much later.
00:21:13.340 So they don't actually match up perfectly.
00:21:15.940 And people in the medical system were already very concerned about these steady rises in suicidality and self-harm, especially for adolescent girls.
00:21:23.320 And so there's a really interesting study of medical records in New Jersey that notes throughout the entire state what looks like a huge increase in suicide attempts and hospitalizations for self-harm.
00:21:36.540 There's no actual difference in the numbers.
00:21:39.060 It's just they're writing down suicidal ideation as like a sub cause of the injury.
00:21:44.400 There's other things too.
00:21:45.640 In 2008, there's something called the Mental Health Parity and Addiction Equality Act, which improves access to mental health care for teens.
00:21:53.360 There's also the update of the DSM in 2013, which loosens a lot of diagnostic criteria.
00:22:00.360 This was just a period totally independent of smartphones where teens were just getting more access to the health care system in general.
00:22:07.860 And there was a lot more focus on getting teens the mental health help that they needed.
00:22:13.040 So I don't want to say that like this whole thing is fake. Like the fact that kids are feeling worse does appear to be real. And there's lots of statistics on this that do not depend on things like hospitalizations or, you know, diagnoses of depression. If you look at qualitative surveys of teens, they're much more likely now to say I'm depressed or I'm anxious or I don't have a lot of friends.
00:22:36.100 Yeah. Although I that's the stuff that I'm less persuaded by.
00:22:41.220 Oh, really?
00:22:41.840 Yeah. Simply because self-reports might be the result of a generation that's just much more aware of depression.
00:22:49.740 Yeah. When I when I was a teenager, people didn't talk about being depressed so expressly.
00:22:54.640 You know, people didn't talk about anxiety.
00:22:56.640 The idea that like this stuff is now in the mainstream vernacular and so you see teenagers self-diagnosing, that's sort of what seems noisier to me than something like hospitalizations, even if hospitalizations aren't a totally clean metric.
00:23:14.660 Yeah. Well, the thing is, there's also surveys that don't ask teens like, are you depressed? But they'll say like, you know, how many times a week do you feel lonely? Or there's one, what was it? There's one where they ask kids a bunch of questions. And if you answer five out of nine of them, then they say you've experienced a major depressive episode. And it's things like, how often have you lost interest and become bored with most of the things you usually enjoy?
00:23:38.720 I don't think that's the kind of thing that would necessarily depend on, like, the sort of expanding, you know, reducing stigma of depression, anxiety, and, like, the discourse around it.
00:23:47.760 So there are also surveys that find, like, how often are you anxious?
00:23:51.460 But there's also things that ask about, like, the component parts of depression, anxiety, which also show rising numbers.
00:23:57.940 One of the really interesting things that they mentioned numerous times in this analysis of the suicidality data from New Jersey, all of these hospital records, is they say, look, this doesn't mean that the kids aren't depressed.
00:24:08.080 what it actually means is that they were underdiagnosed for things like suicidal ideation
00:24:13.080 before. So what we might be looking at is teens are very depressed and we're now better at catching
00:24:18.720 it. It could also reflect an increase. Another thing that he doesn't mention is that kids are
00:24:24.500 significantly less likely to kill themselves now than they were in 1988. If you look at teen
00:24:29.420 suicide rates, like every other form of like violent crime that we've talked about, you know,
00:24:33.600 murders and rapes and child abuse. It's like rises steadily in the 60s and 70s, plateaus in
00:24:38.820 the 80s, drops really quickly in the 90s, and then gradually starts rising again. That doesn't
00:24:45.140 mean that it's not smartphones. That doesn't mean that it's not the internet, right? You could say,
00:24:48.240 well, when people started to get broadband internet in the 2000s, we started to have higher
00:24:51.920 rates of teen suicides. Like this actually is congruent with his theory, right? And maybe
00:24:55.780 something else was causing it in the 60s and 70s and cell phones are causing it now. Again,
00:25:00.500 it's not really debunking his theory, but it does show that there are there are many factors that
00:25:05.640 affect teen suicide. So anyway, I'm afraid that people are going to think like, oh, like Mike
00:25:10.100 thinks that teen suicides don't matter or something or like Mike thinks that teen mental health is
00:25:14.400 like not a problem in America. That's not remotely what I'm saying. What I'm saying is it's it's more
00:25:19.740 tricky to measure these things than it seems. I think you've been clear and any haters are just
00:25:25.860 anti-Hobbs. Thank you. That's their bias. This is, this is the hateration and holleration that
00:25:30.580 Mary J. Blige was talking about. So, okay. So that's just like a factual overview.
00:25:36.380 Michael, the references you drop in any given episode are so preposterous.
00:25:41.600 It's because my brain stopped developing in like 1999. And so I just look at my phone now and I
00:25:47.760 watch R.E.P. Vine videos. This is the most contemporary reference I have. It's all Harambe
00:25:52.920 of jokes. That's when my brain stopped. He then turns to the causes of why teens are sad. He says
00:26:00.040 that a lot of the other proposed explanations for the teen mental health crisis don't really make
00:26:06.560 sense. And I kind of agree with this. I feel like there's the sort of counter narrative to like the 0.81
00:26:13.060 phones are making kids sad. People will often say like climate change is making kids sad or like
00:26:17.360 school shootings are making kids sad. Honestly, that's always felt kind of like as one dimensional
00:26:22.020 to me as the smartphone's explanation. So the first thing he talks about is the financial crisis
00:26:27.540 that like, well, maybe kids started getting sad in 2010 because like their dads were unemployed,
00:26:32.120 right? Or their moms. But that doesn't really make sense timeline-wise because you have this
00:26:36.460 massive increase in unemployment and then it steadily goes downward. Like the country has
00:26:40.400 been getting better on like economic indicators ever since. And yet teens start getting sad in
00:26:45.520 2010 and they keep getting sadder. So if this was meaningfully related to economic conditions,
00:26:50.520 that teens would be doing better now than they were in 2010. And they're not. There's been other
00:26:55.860 economic crashes, right? In 2001, we had this huge economic crash and like we didn't see teen
00:27:00.540 suicide spike. The relationship between economic conditions and like teen mental health is just
00:27:05.820 not an easy one-to-one thing. He also mentions climate change. This is another thing that you
00:27:11.540 hear that, you know, kids are bummed out because the world is heating up around them, which it
00:27:15.340 absolutely is, but there isn't actually any evidence for this explanation. There's a lot
00:27:20.840 of evidence that kids who experience hurricanes or wildfires have higher rates of PTSD and anxiety,
00:27:28.220 depression, suicide. All that stuff is true. Those disasters are increasing due to climate change, 0.95
00:27:33.000 but it's kind of not enough to explain an entire generation that is showing these higher rates
00:27:38.960 of depression, anxiety. It also can't explain why girls seem to be suffering so much more than boys
00:27:45.300 It can't really explain why we see these big spikes in 10 to 12 year old kids who are just like less aware of news events in general.
00:27:53.860 And it's always seemed a little one dimensional to me just because like we've had climate change as like a really major political issue for like 20 to 30 years now.
00:28:05.020 And we haven't seen any spike in mental illness among teens until recently, until 2010.
00:28:11.520 I wonder whether maybe not climate change specifically, but one of my sort of like general layperson guessing at what might be driving this sort of things is that like social media bombards you with things to be concerned about.
00:28:27.920 If you're 11 or 12, you might not process that on an analytical level very well, but you do get this, like, impression that things are bad, right?
00:28:39.440 Things are bad.
00:28:40.900 The future is bad.
00:28:41.900 This is also one of the weird things is that people oftentimes bring this up as a counterpoint or, like, a debunking of the social media as making kids sad narrative.
00:28:50.760 But then it's like, OK, well, why are 12-year-olds sad about climate change?
00:28:54.060 Oh, they're watching videos on TikTok about climate change all the time, which then kind of brings you back to social media is making kids sad.
00:29:00.440 I want to just throw another theory in the mix.
00:29:02.340 What about the rise of the tea party?
00:29:03.760 This is the thing you could say.
00:29:04.740 You could say it's like the rise of kids watching anime or like listening to K-pop.
00:29:08.440 There's a million other things that happened between 2010 and 2020.
00:29:12.260 I don't know why you're just throwing those out like it's a joke. 0.97
00:29:15.480 Both of those reek of mental illness to me.
00:29:17.600 The other thing that is a little bit tricky for this is the international comparisons.
00:29:21.580 He said, you know, people oftentimes point to school shootings and kind of America's insane culture of guns.
00:29:27.620 But you also see increases in teen mental health problems in Canada and in some countries in Europe, some not.
00:29:34.820 But it's like this is relatively broadly an international phenomenon.
00:29:39.000 If it was anything specific to America, you wouldn't be seeing these massive increases, especially in the English-speaking world.
00:29:45.360 The fact that you see bigger increases in English-speaking countries than in like parts
00:29:51.300 of Western Europe where fewer people speak English is actually an argument for social
00:29:54.880 media that like people in Australia are consuming a lot of American news.
00:29:58.680 And so maybe they are getting sad about American stuff, even though it doesn't necessarily
00:30:01.920 affect them. 0.99
00:30:02.600 What a shitty country we have that we're making Australians sad, you know? 0.99
00:30:07.520 But then, so after he goes over all of these things that don't explain teen mental health, 0.99
00:30:13.820 right the financial crisis climate change etc he then basically says well it has to be social media
00:30:18.760 because nothing else explains it as like a methodology i don't think that like you've
00:30:23.740 discarded two other explanations therefore your explanation is true is like a very robust way to
00:30:29.980 do it like you could easily say like well it's not the financial crisis it's not climate change
00:30:34.040 so it must be vaccines right like you have to actually offer evidence for your view you can't
00:30:39.060 just debunk other views one of the problems that i'm starting to see with his argument is that he's
00:30:42.960 sort of reliant on your prior intuition that this is true when yeah he hasn't quite done the work
00:30:50.020 but but again i still sort of agree because i do think this makes intuitive sense but then what's
00:30:56.200 so weird about this book is you know the first chapter is this very detailed overview of the
00:31:01.360 teen mental health crisis and a little bit about the causes like things that don't really explain
00:31:05.080 it i was expecting then like okay we've established the teens are sad what is the evidence that the
00:31:11.040 cell phones are making kids sad right he doesn't really do that oh he then moves on to this kind
00:31:16.720 of sub argument in the book that kids are too protected in general right this is the thing 0.95
00:31:22.160 that he mentioned the coddling of the american mind he's fucking sneaking in the coddling of 0.52
00:31:26.380 the american mind argument this is three chapters but i'm going to kind of merge them it's part two 0.97
00:31:30.820 of the book is the decline of the play-based childhood god damn it and he says we've moved
00:31:35.300 from a play-based to a phone-based childhood i was just going to complain about like generalists
00:31:41.020 and the dangers of stepping out of your lane as an expert.
00:31:44.580 And as quickly as I was about to say it, he just sort of turns back into his lane. 0.99
00:31:48.720 He's like, all right, here's this here's this thing I already wrote a stupid book about. 0.98
00:31:52.700 And large sections of this are true, right? 0.97
00:31:54.660 Like, it's a huge bummer that American kids don't walk and bike to school anymore.
00:31:58.480 You know, people live in the suburbs where they're way too spread out. 1.00
00:32:01.100 It's like he's kind of correct about this.
00:32:03.360 but then you also start to see his weird penchant for kind of overstating harm
00:32:09.980 and speaking about all of these trends in this kind of weird black and white way.
00:32:14.840 So here is a little section from chapter four.
00:32:19.920 Smartphones and other digital devices bring so many interesting experiences to children and
00:32:24.400 adolescents that they cause a serious problem.
00:32:26.960 They reduce interest in all non-screen based forms of experience.
00:32:30.900 The child will spend many hours each day sitting enthralled and motionless, except for one finger, while ignoring everything beyond the screen.
00:32:38.840 And then this is from a little bit later.
00:32:40.580 Are screen-based experiences less valuable than real-life flesh-and-blood experiences?
00:32:45.220 When we're talking about children whose brains evolved to expect certain kinds of experiences at certain ages, yes.
00:32:50.920 A resounding yes.
00:32:51.800 communicating by text supplemented by emojis is not going to develop the parts of the brain that
00:32:57.200 are expecting to get tuned up during conversations supplemented by facial expressions changing vocal
00:33:02.720 tones direct eye contact and body language we can't expect children and adolescents to develop
00:33:08.240 adult level real world social skills when their social interactions are largely happening in the
00:33:13.300 virtual world i don't this doesn't sound totally wrong to me uh it sounds uh although it's sort of
00:33:18.740 like this does feel a little more old man yelling at cloud than some of the prior arguments where
00:33:25.460 it's like yes the mode of communication is changing if you imagine that it is replacing
00:33:32.680 in full face-to-face interaction then there are real downsides but it's also just sort of its own
00:33:39.420 thing right and them being good at it has benefits for them and will continue to have benefits for
00:33:45.200 them in the future when, for example, they're, you know, talking to their colleagues on Slack 0.76
00:33:49.880 or whatever the fuck.
00:33:50.820 And also, whether it's replacing in-person interactions is an empirical question. 0.99
00:33:55.460 Yes.
00:33:55.660 In here, he says their social interactions are largely happening in the virtual world.
00:34:01.200 That is straightforwardly not true.
00:34:03.280 There's these time use surveys where they survey thousands of people and they're like,
00:34:06.920 what did you do today?
00:34:07.900 And like teens, 15 to 18, spend more time with their friends than any other age group.
00:34:13.240 They are in school all day.
00:34:14.740 Right.
00:34:14.860 Kind of by definition, they're spending eight hours a day with their friends.
00:34:17.880 That's in-person time.
00:34:19.320 And again, when I got out of school, I would sometimes hang out with friends for a couple
00:34:23.660 hours and then I was just alone in my room for the remainder of the night.
00:34:28.460 That is what childhood used to be like.
00:34:30.540 There's also this thing.
00:34:31.420 I think people say this about kids all the time that like kids don't know how to socialize
00:34:35.480 anymore, right?
00:34:36.280 Kids are on their phones.
00:34:37.140 They're not hanging out with their friends.
00:34:38.280 Again, this is an empirical question.
00:34:40.180 And I found various attempts to actually measure this.
00:34:43.160 there's a really interesting study where they looked at like teacher assessments of kids'
00:34:47.580 social skills, like how well are kids socializing over time? And they found no change. Like there
00:34:53.300 just isn't evidence that like kids are worse at making small talk, making friends. Maybe it's
00:34:58.880 true, but we don't have any evidence of it. And for this, I put out a call to just like people
00:35:04.340 on Blue Sky, like, hey, do you have kids between 12 and 19? Can I talk to them about their social
00:35:08.880 media use? I also talked to a lot of parents. This is not, I mean, obviously this is not a
00:35:12.220 remotely representative sample, but like every single teenager that I talked to for this was 0.94
00:35:15.540 like, yeah, if you're with your friend and he's on his phone the whole time, it's fucking rude. 0.97
00:35:19.360 And I'll be like, hey, get off your phone. Like just like adults do. 0.98
00:35:22.360 If you want to tell me that cruising TikTok can fuck up your ability to think critically about 0.61
00:35:28.660 like politics and cruising Instagram can skew your perceptions of reality. That's very intuitive to
00:35:35.180 me. But the idea that like this is messing up kids communication skills, it looks more to me
00:35:42.100 like communication is evolving yeah i mean when i was talking to my friends on aim sometimes my
00:35:48.720 parents would be like why aren't you talking to them in the real world and it's like well
00:35:51.460 like this is what people do now i don't know what to tell you also if you're 14 years old you don't
00:35:55.520 have a car you don't have any independent way to go see your friends again you are stuck in the 0.96
00:36:01.380 fucking house yeah like i honestly i have an intuition that some of this stuff is an improvement 0.99
00:36:07.160 right because you get to socialize a little bit more than you were previously able to he also in 0.99
00:36:12.960 the section talks about how the risk has been taken out of real life play and all of the risk
00:36:20.440 has been moved online so we're going to watch a clip from one of my favorite podcasts here's this
00:36:28.180 this is from maintenance phase i swear to god so tell me that but what was your policy with your
00:36:33.560 kids with your younger with all three on when you let them out like they could go out the door
00:36:38.180 get on a bicycle walk seven blocks to a friend's house without any adult with them what do you
00:36:42.900 remember what age or grade no i don't i mean it's fine if you live in a good neighborhood
00:36:47.220 but the problem is if you're if you know childhood predators are real not really not anymore what i
00:36:54.700 mean is well when you and i were growing up there were childhood predators out there in the physical
00:37:01.220 world approaching children. And I think you said there, you told a story about one who
00:37:05.520 approached you when you were doing magic tricks. So there were child predators out there. That's
00:37:09.640 true. They're all on Instagram now. Instagram and especially Instagram makes it super easy
00:37:16.000 for them to get in touch with children. So this is my point. I can summarize the whole
00:37:22.360 book with a single sentence. We have overprotected our kids in the real world and underprotected
00:37:27.720 them online i would agree to that so that you know yes child predators are terrible but guess
00:37:32.520 what we actually locked up most of them you know when you and i were growing up they weren't all
00:37:36.860 locked up they were just eccentrics who were exposing themselves remember flashing flashers
00:37:40.880 what you know that doesn't happen anymore because if you do that now you're going to jail for a long
00:37:44.720 long time what's going on here so we actually locked up most of the predators and they know
00:37:48.760 don't approach kids on a playground approach them on social media i don't know if we are doing that 0.94
00:37:53.500 okay i i'm sorry just hearing two morons who are like wrong about these things but in opposite 0.97
00:38:03.020 directions is insane to listen to it's this whole he has a whole chapter about this he basically 0.97
00:38:09.500 says like yeah we made this mistake in the 80s and 90s by saying they were child predators and
00:38:13.660 kids were gonna get kidnapped and like that resulted in all this like extra safety as i'm
00:38:17.180 around kids but now the strangers are online and the danger is real yeah it's like wait so you're
00:38:22.920 debunking the stranger danger panic and then just repeating the stranger danger panic but saying
00:38:27.180 it's on the internet joe you're invested in the wrong moral panic i know that's what it is i was 0.80
00:38:31.940 like pulling my fucking hair out this entire chapter also minor point but were flashers viewed 0.98
00:38:37.100 as just like eccentrics i don't know what the fuck he's talking about with flashers i mean 0.98
00:38:40.820 this is clearly somebody who has not thought about the basic data behind a core argument of 0.91
00:38:47.220 his book. It's not that we used to have a bunch of predators prowling the streets and now we don't
00:38:53.680 have them anymore because we locked them all up. It's that there were never predators roaming the
00:38:57.800 streets in the first place. But also the idea that we locked up all the predators conflicts
00:39:02.340 with his other thesis that they all went online. I just don't get what he's saying.
00:39:06.620 And also anyone, this was where, I mean, I really was doing my best with this book,
00:39:11.700 But this was where I lost any confidence.
00:39:14.000 Like a person who talks about the threats to children as like strangers that they do 1.00
00:39:19.680 not know rather than their parents, their soccer coach, their fucking priest. 0.99
00:39:24.300 Anyone who speaks like this is just not a serious person. 0.99
00:39:27.480 The minute you look at actual data on child online exploitation, it is almost exclusively 0.99
00:39:33.800 someone they fucking know. 1.00
00:39:35.580 It is like your boyfriend posting revenge porn. 1.00
00:39:37.880 It is your fucking soccer coach DMing you. 1.00
00:39:40.220 there's a really interesting survey of 2,500 law enforcement agencies. So they get all of the 1.00
00:39:45.540 records of all of the child exploitation cases. And in only 8.5% of cases was the perpetrator
00:39:52.500 someone they met online. The patterns of online exploitation match mirror perfectly the patterns
00:39:58.820 of offline exploitation. This thing of like people meeting kids online and like, you know,
00:40:04.820 kidnapping them or whatever. This is a thing that happens just like, you know, kids do get
00:40:08.280 kidnapped by strangers and murdered it's extremely rare and in the actual literature there's a lot
00:40:13.580 of really heartbreaking stuff in the literature that this this whole kind of thing of predators
00:40:17.700 will like you know pretend to be a 15 year old boy and then like trick you into getting nudes
00:40:21.740 whatever this generally doesn't happen most of the kids who actually do get victimized by these
00:40:28.160 kind of online predators in the rare cases where it does happen it's mostly kids in like foster care
00:40:33.280 or kids in traumatized situations kids who've experienced abuse whose parents are around
00:40:38.280 It's basically kids who get no positive attention at all.
00:40:41.580 And all of a sudden there's somebody online who's like, wow, you look really pretty.
00:40:45.100 Right.
00:40:45.260 Someone who's like notably and uniquely vulnerable to that sort of situation.
00:40:49.140 Exactly.
00:40:49.480 It's the same vulnerabilities that we see in offline exploitation, right?
00:40:53.180 And it's kids who oftentimes the kids know that this guy's 40 years old.
00:40:56.860 They know that they're meeting for sex, but they think it's a relationship because the 0.99
00:40:59.780 guy's fucking lying to them being like, oh, I really love you, blah, blah, blah. 0.99
00:41:02.340 That's the deception that's going on. 0.99
00:41:04.000 And so when when you find this kind of exploitation in the real world, it is almost always along the fault lines of existing vulnerabilities. And the way to solve it is to address those vulnerabilities.
00:41:15.020 Right. God, I sorry. My brain got very scrambled by listening to those two.
00:41:21.120 I know. I don't think I've ever like sat down and listened to or watched a full episode of Joe Reagan, but I've seen clips or whatever. And the idea that like young people are listening to shit like this being like this is intellectual.
00:41:34.000 i know that's my moral panic the other reason i wanted to watch this is because listening to 0.96
00:41:40.180 john height it it does just sound like a guy who's like saying stuff that this book is not
00:41:45.540 remotely rigorous it's actually really shocking to me that it's it's it's had such an impact i
00:41:49.960 think mostly because it's telling people something that they want to believe yeah and already believe
00:41:54.100 i interviewed more teenagers for this i interviewed more experts for this and i interviewed more
00:41:59.760 teachers and researchers for this episode than he interviewed for his book as far as i can tell in
00:42:05.540 the text of the book he interviewed one actual teenager about what they do on their phone
00:42:08.820 he does not appear to have engaged with any researchers other than the one that he's already
00:42:12.900 collaborated with he hasn't spoken to any teachers about what it's like in their classrooms he didn't
00:42:17.620 speak to any psychologists it's so annoying that i'm i'm doing a an approximately as rigorous
00:42:24.460 episode about eric adams every evening i have two drinks and then i watch eric adams clips
00:42:31.560 and start outlining a books could kill bonus episode again i do think that there needs to
00:42:35.920 be a societal conversation about this but i do not think this is the person to be leading this
00:42:39.680 conversation this is the kind of thing where i feel like the book got popular because it's just
00:42:43.980 giving intellectual heft or the appearance of intellectual heft to this intuition that we all
00:42:51.140 have yeah so that you can say hey phones are fucking our kids up and then everyone's like
00:42:57.200 yeah definitely and you get to be like there's a book about it and yeah that's how i know this 0.52
00:43:03.500 is real and serious yeah i agree that the decline of of outdoor play is bad it's just that he's
00:43:10.420 super reductive about what exactly is good and what exactly is bad and what we should be doing
00:43:17.540 Right. It's just lazy, honestly. It's just like, yeah, yeah, I don't mean to be fucking snooty, but it's just it's just someone who's not intellectually curious. It's someone who's just like pushing a really simple narrative and isn't that interested in identifying a supporting set of evidence.
00:43:32.420 Do you want to get snooty and talk about the evidence?
00:43:34.460 Yeah.
00:43:34.820 Let's snoot it up.
00:43:35.540 Yeah.
00:43:36.020 So as I said, Haidt doesn't really have a dedicated chapter or anything of just the evidence on how kids are harmed by the smartphones.
00:43:44.720 He sort of just takes it for granted in the book that this is obvious and this is happening.
00:43:48.980 So the book is more about like how smartphones harm kids and why smartphones harm kids.
00:43:54.560 He's much clearer on his sub stack.
00:43:56.260 He has an entire sub stack and a Google Doc of all existing literature on this subject.
00:44:01.200 And he's very straightforward about the fact that he believes smartphones are the cause of the mental health crisis among teenagers.
00:44:09.580 He's not like there's an association that we should look into.
00:44:11.740 He has a blog post called Social Media is a Major Cause of the Mental Illness Epidemic in Teen Girls.
00:44:17.520 Here's the evidence.
00:44:18.640 So when I went into this episode, I thought it was just going to be really obvious that like if you look at the data, kids who use smartphones more are more depressed.
00:44:28.240 and kids who use smartphones less are less depressed and it would be really clear and
00:44:32.540 then me and you would have this this like detailed conversation of like correlation versus causation
00:44:36.620 and like yeah what does this mean right like that that's what i was expecting to get into in this
00:44:40.660 episode but it turns out that's not even true so this is from a 2020 summary of like what have we
00:44:50.020 learned about teens and internet social media everything in the last 10 years and i think it's
00:44:55.560 a good summary. It's in kind of academic ease, so I had to condense it a little bit, but this is a
00:45:00.580 good overview. Small associations still exist, as adolescents who report more depressive symptoms
00:45:05.560 also tend to report spending more time online. However, a review of meta-analyses, recent large
00:45:11.100 scale pre-registered studies, and daily assessments of digital technology usage
00:45:14.920 show that associations between time online and internalizing symptoms are often A, mixed between
00:45:20.280 positive, negative, and null findings, B, when present, likely too small to translate
00:45:25.360 into meaningful effects, and C, typically not distinguishable in terms of likely cause
00:45:29.940 and effect.
00:45:30.640 Essentially, the research is all over the place at just the most basic level.
00:45:34.340 Are kids who are on their phones less happy than kids who are not on their phones?
00:45:37.460 We can't even really say anything definitive.
00:45:40.060 And to the extent that we do find associations, they're extremely small.
00:45:44.860 And another thing that you find in the literature is this turns out to be like remarkably difficult
00:45:50.100 to study. So the first problem is how much are kids on their phones? The vast majority of the
00:45:56.320 data on this is from these huge surveys that they give to like tens of thousands of kids every year.
00:46:01.300 Do you remember these? You'd like go to homeroom and then you'd have a questionnaire with like
00:46:04.720 300 questions on it. And it would be like, how much do you do drugs? How much do you drink?
00:46:09.520 How much money do your parents earn? It would just ask you like a million things.
00:46:12.540 I have absolutely no recollection of this.
00:46:14.780 Do you not? I used to lie on them because I thought it was funny. I would just fill out like,
00:46:18.320 yes, Coke. Yes, I impregnated somebody last week. Now, now I'm upset. Do I, have I completely lost
00:46:23.760 like a memory of something that happened to me many times or did they just not, they didn't even
00:46:28.580 bother with my school? The way that this works is you give these surveys to tens of thousands of
00:46:32.260 kids a year and then you make the data available and people can comb through it for all kinds of
00:46:36.520 stuff, right? They're, it's hundreds of questions, many of them. And so you can correlate like kids
00:46:41.040 with divorced parents are more likely to be left-handed or like whatever the fuck, right? 0.98
00:46:45.000 That's why they get divorced. Yeah. And so in these data dumps, they ask kids about their 0.98
00:46:49.340 social media usage and they have all kinds of questions about their mental health.
00:46:52.520 But the problem is that people of all ages are terrible at estimating how much time they spend
00:46:58.900 online. So like if I asked you yesterday, how many hours did you spend using like looking at
00:47:05.420 a screen not related to work? 24. That's probably true. It might actually
00:47:13.820 be easier with you because you're always online every every week i get that screen time notification
00:47:18.700 because i forget to shut it off and every week i'm like ah oh my god that's why i don't have
00:47:23.800 mine on because i genuinely don't want to know you know i don't either but i immediately forget
00:47:28.020 about it as soon as it goes away uh because of the brain poisoning that the screen does so so
00:47:33.680 there are studies where they like put things on people's phones and then you know later on they
00:47:37.720 ask them how often are you on your phone and then they compare like actual data versus what people
00:47:41.800 say, and they're off by like 30, 40, 50%. We just don't really know how much kids are on their
00:47:46.960 phones and like what they're doing. There's also one of the other problems is they now,
00:47:51.800 because the studies are updated every year with like new, you know, they weren't asking kids
00:47:55.220 about smartphones in like 2002, obviously, because they didn't exist yet. So they're
00:47:58.140 always updating these things with new technology. Starting in 2013, they did start asking kids,
00:48:03.080 like, how often are you on social media, right? This is like the rise of Facebook and Instagram
00:48:06.900 is like a big deal in teenagers lives. But the frequency responses, so kids were asked,
00:48:12.360 how often are you on social media? The choices were a few times a year, once or twice a month,
00:48:17.420 at least once a week, or almost every day. Okay. So no data, no data is being collected.
00:48:24.100 Yeah. So basically every kid put almost every day because the kids were already by that point
00:48:28.100 on social media all the time. Dude, what 80 year old was like, how many times a year are you online?
00:48:36.580 My boomer parents were like checking their email once a day in 2013 for sure.
00:48:43.380 There's also like the earliest studies on this.
00:48:45.540 So we start getting these like kids are on their phones on their SAT or studies in 2018.
00:48:49.520 And a lot of them are using data from this time where they weren't even asking kids about social media use.
00:48:54.600 They weren't differentiating between different types of like internet devices.
00:48:58.740 So they would just ask how many hours a day are you on a screen?
00:49:01.760 And then it would say like this includes Xbox and Facebook and email.
00:49:05.740 Right.
00:49:05.900 one of the main things that I learned from talking to researchers over the last month is that this 1.00
00:49:09.640 whole concept of screen time is just such fucking garbage. Screen time includes like reading, 0.99
00:49:15.540 you know, going down a Wikipedia rabbit hole. And it also includes like watching pornography.
00:49:19.240 Like it just is not useful to talk about screen time as being harmful. But most of the data that
00:49:24.140 we have about kids is just how much are you on your screens? I guess Wikipedia versus porn is
00:49:29.380 the strongest dichotomy you can make. But like, but if you're trying to figure out what's rotting
00:49:34.660 the kid's brains. You would need to separate out every app, every different use of every different
00:49:40.180 app, et cetera. It becomes, there's just so much going on. There are so many different variables
00:49:45.260 that to call it screen time is just sort of clearly not great.
00:49:51.000 There's also something very funny. I felt really old when I was speaking to the teens for this,
00:49:54.540 that all of them said that messages, like the text message app that we use is like what they
00:49:59.740 use to communicate with old people and actual kids always communicate on Snapchat or Instagram.
00:50:04.660 through dms whatever get a job get a job kids but this is the thing so even if you're measuring
00:50:10.640 how many hours a day are you on instagram a lot of that's just like texting with their friends
00:50:14.780 that's not actually you know looking at images of for example like women that are potentially
00:50:19.000 going to give you an eating disorder like the kinds of things that we associate with social
00:50:21.920 media harm even if you're measuring how much time they're on instagram that doesn't necessarily
00:50:26.240 account for that right so that's kind of the first problem with these big quantitative data
00:50:32.280 dump studies. The second problem is something that I've become so fucking radicalized on. 0.96
00:50:37.040 It's very easy to design these studies to get the result that you want. You can pick 0.88
00:50:41.820 different statistical controls. I saw so many fucking weird statistical controls in these 0.96
00:50:46.880 things. You can determine like what you're measuring. So one thing is a lot of studies 0.98
00:50:51.900 use these broad umbrella terms of like well-being. How much does being on your phone affect your
00:50:57.240 well-being. And they'll pick sort of 10 or 15 questions from these big data sets. And they'll
00:51:02.820 say like, oh, this is well-being. Or sometimes they call it like life satisfaction. But it's
00:51:06.360 like totally arbitrary what you put in those things. And with the kinds of statistical software
00:51:10.700 that people use now, it's really easy to be like, okay, if I control for income, what does it say
00:51:16.540 about cell phones? Oh, it says cell phones are fine. What if I control for income and education?
00:51:20.420 Oh, it says cell phones are bad. Okay, I'll control for those two things. And all of these
00:51:24.060 statistical decisions kind of look defensible in a vacuum but when people publish papers on this
00:51:29.560 they don't publish okay here's all of the other models that we ran here's all of the other
00:51:34.300 statistical techniques that we used for all we know they're trying a thousand things and they're
00:51:38.640 picking the one that gives the result that they want so big picture the data sucks and when you
00:51:45.320 look at what we do have there's no clear answer there's no clear answer and even i like i think 0.97
00:51:50.680 this whole like exercise of combing through fucking data sets and looking for associations 0.99
00:51:55.100 is such bullshit. The, the one that John Height really like stakes his reputation on, he works 1.00
00:52:00.000 with this researcher named Jean Twenge, who I reached out to, tried to have a phone call with,
00:52:05.680 she didn't want to do that, but we did email back and forth about some methodology stuff.
00:52:09.000 John Height is working with her and they get into this big fight with these other two researchers
00:52:13.180 named Amy Orbin and Andrew Shabilsky, both of whom I also interviewed. And they have this big,
00:52:17.780 long kind of methodology, years long methodology fight about how to measure these things. And it
00:52:22.880 sort of culminates in Orban and Chbilsky running this like huge meta analysis where they basically
00:52:28.320 ran a bunch of different scenarios. Like if you control for this, if you didn't control for this,
00:52:32.920 they run something like 3 million different permutations. And they find that in essentially
00:52:38.360 all of them, except for a few, you don't find an association between social media and depressive
00:52:43.840 symptoms this is sort of like how uh paul atreides son finds the golden pad i mean basically you're
00:52:50.040 like i was gonna say uh dr strange who does like 16 million scenarios and only two of them have us
00:52:54.960 beating thanos it's basically they're like in in a tiny minority of scenarios like statistical
00:53:00.900 analyses do you find any association and when you do find an association it's a really small effect
00:53:05.640 it's they said it's roughly the same as the effect of kids who eat potatoes like their
00:53:09.820 depressive symptoms and kids who are on their smartphones you have to control for britishness
00:53:13.780 as well there so there's this one study that sort of aims to like end the debate they're like look
00:53:18.160 we barely find association when we do it's so underpowered that it's like on par with eating
00:53:22.280 potatoes which is basically meaningless and then john height and gene twenge then published this
00:53:27.240 paper they're like no we re-ran it with different controls and we actually found a much larger
00:53:32.860 effect in this what they seem to think is the sort of culminating work on this like okay we
00:53:38.340 finally ended the debate, they have this table with all of these different effects. And it's
00:53:42.520 like, how much do various things affect teen depression? Right. And they have social media
00:53:47.760 is like way higher. It's like a 0.2 correlation, which in any other study is like considered very
00:53:55.320 weak. What if you combine that with the effect of eating potatoes? Then where are we? This is the
00:54:00.340 thing. So they're trying to be transparent about like how big the effect of social media is. But
00:54:05.100 even in this like allegedly argument ending study, the effect of social media is still smaller than
00:54:10.400 kids who eat breakfast every day. Okay. And when you sort of circle back to these statistics that
00:54:16.840 Hyatt was referencing in terms of like hospitalizations for self-harm, right? That's
00:54:23.440 where like in the UK, he was talking about a 400% increase nearly. Yeah. I guess the point being,
00:54:29.080 if that flows directly from social media use, then surely you can produce more than the tiniest
00:54:38.680 sliver of a percentage change here. Yes, exactly. And something that is not on par with something
00:54:44.740 like eating breakfast, where we know that that's reflecting other things, right? It's probably
00:54:48.320 people whose parents tend to be at home and have time. Yeah, a little more family stability,
00:54:52.960 et cetera. Yeah, it's like it's a reflection of other things. And then if we're then putting it
00:54:56.580 on par with like kids who eat breakfast, it also compares it to kids who eat fruit. It's like
00:54:59.640 barely more important than kids who eat fruit every day. It's like, okay, well, if those,
00:55:03.720 we can all acknowledge that like eating breakfast, that's not what's causing the depression, right?
00:55:08.380 It's obviously a cluster of other things. Well, then maybe social media is a cluster of other
00:55:11.240 things too. I'm just like, I'm so sick of these studies where they're just like, oh,
00:55:15.140 we found this correlation between this thing and that thing. I just don't think that you actually
00:55:18.780 understand complex social phenomena this way, like through these averages. So I really was
00:55:24.540 planning on going much deeper into the quantitative debate and like the methodology fight. But in the
00:55:29.320 end, you realize that the debate is between the academic consensus, which is that there's
00:55:35.100 essentially no connection at all. And on the other side, John Haidt and Gene Twenge, who say that
00:55:41.700 there's an extremely small effect, which does not prove cause and is highly contingent on like a
00:55:49.040 very specific set of parameters. So there really isn't that much of a debate. Like there's not
00:55:55.300 that much to go into. Everybody agrees that we're not really looking at something strong
00:56:00.980 and obvious here. There's also like if the argument is that social media causes kids to
00:56:07.880 feel depressed, we should be able to capture that in other ways. So one of the things people start
00:56:13.100 doing in the 2010s is they start doing longitudinal studies, which is like you track the same people
00:56:18.220 over time. If cell phones are causing kids to be depressed, then we would find like kids who get
00:56:23.600 cell phones at age 11 are going to be depressed earlier than kids who get cell phones at 13.
00:56:29.440 And these don't really find anything. Most of the longitudinal studies don't actually find like
00:56:34.960 kids are fine and then they start using their phones and then they're depressed. The majority
00:56:38.900 of them actually find the opposite effect that if you follow kids who are depressed,
00:56:43.420 you find them over time using smartphones more. That doesn't mean that it's like irrelevant,
00:56:47.520 right i mean if if smartphones are something that makes depressed kids more depressed that's
00:56:52.240 something that like we need to take seriously like that's not a null result right but we don't see
00:56:57.600 this kind of tobacco metaphor of like i was fine and then i got a phone and now i'm sad right that's
00:57:03.200 not really something that shows up in the longitudinal data we also have diary data where
00:57:07.580 people write down like every day how is your mood and then oftentimes they'll either have like a
00:57:12.120 tracker on their phone for like how much are they using social media or they'll also write down like
00:57:15.300 how much was I on social media today? And you don't find associations between on days when I
00:57:20.300 was on social media, I was more depressed. In the book, John Haidt kind of attempts to show
00:57:27.340 that social media is causing mental health. So one of the studies that he mentions numerous times
00:57:33.180 is a experiment at the University of Pennsylvania, where they got 143 undergraduates. And for half
00:57:39.340 of them, they told them to only check Facebook, Snapchat and Instagram 10 minutes a day. They
00:57:44.860 limited them to like very little social media use. And after a month, the undergraduates were
00:57:49.920 happier. They were less depressed and less lonely. And so he's like, all right, if you stop using
00:57:53.720 social media, you're happier. But I mean, this is obviously like a very small study and undergraduates
00:57:59.940 are not a remotely represented sample, but the much bigger problem is that 80% of the participants
00:58:05.520 in the study dropped out before a month. The researchers say like, yeah, we probably shouldn't
00:58:10.260 have given them extra credit at the beginning of the study. We probably should have waited
00:58:14.000 incredible the end of the study incredible these these are the people who believe that they know
00:58:19.320 what's best for children and also i think people who dropped out of the study like people who can't
00:58:23.540 hack it are probably the people who are like less happy right like the only people who are going to
00:58:27.540 stick with it are like yeah this is working really well to not be on social media so i'm going to
00:58:30.320 stay with this study so it's like well yeah for some people they're going to be happier but if
00:58:33.780 80 percent of people drop out you're basically removing all of the people for whom this did
00:58:38.000 nothing yeah another argument that he makes is that it's not that it's making individuals sad
00:58:43.380 directly, but it's destroyed the social environment. So a school where like everybody
00:58:49.580 has a smartphone is an environment where it's harder to make friends. It's easier to be lonely,
00:58:55.460 et cetera. I actually find this relatively interesting as a hypothesis. However,
00:58:59.540 there's also no real evidence for it either, but this is one of the theories that he gives for
00:59:05.160 causality. And this is one of the studies that he uses as evidence for this. So let me send you this
00:59:13.360 There is one small but important class of experiments that does measure group level effects by asking, how does a whole community change when social media suddenly becomes much more available in that community?
00:59:25.320 For example, one study took advantage of the fact that Facebook was originally offered only to students at a small number of colleges.
00:59:31.680 As a company expanded to new colleges, did mental health change in the following year or two at those institutions compared with colleges where students did not yet have access to Facebook? 0.96
00:59:39.260 Yes, it got worse with bigger effects on women.
00:59:43.360 The authors found that the rollout of Facebook at a college increased symptoms of poor mental health, especially depression, and led to increased utilization of mental health care services.
00:59:53.120 So this is like a natural experiment. Remember how Facebook rolled out to different colleges?
00:59:57.380 I do remember. And I was going to say, I was in college when this shit was happening. So, like, I have a vague recollection of the Facebook rollout. 0.99
01:00:05.620 Are you sad? Is that why you're sad?
01:00:06.700 I do feel like it made me sad. I don't know because I like it's hard to explain how minor of a cultural phenomenon it was at the time. Like it was popular, you know, but it wasn't it wasn't something that was like a big part of anyone's life.
01:00:22.920 So this is another study that is like a little bit implausible.
01:00:26.040 It basically shows that as Facebook rolled out to different colleges, those colleges
01:00:30.700 experienced almost a one standard deviation increase in mental health problems.
01:00:36.760 So a huge effect.
01:00:38.260 They say it's 22 percent as serious, like as big of a deal as losing your job, just
01:00:44.620 getting Facebook at your college.
01:00:46.380 When Facebook rolled out, it was literally just like you have a profile and people can
01:00:51.640 look at it.
01:00:52.220 Yes, thank you. So there's a very good critique of this study written by an economist named David
01:00:56.900 Stein, who's like, this does not hold up for like two fucking seconds. So remember, at the 0.94
01:01:01.580 beginning of the book, Haidt says, we're talking about Instagram, we're talking about like social
01:01:05.980 media, you know, likes, retweets, doom scrolling, algorithmic feeds. Facebook rolled out to colleges
01:01:11.800 in 2004. It was still called the Facebook at the time, right? There was no newsfeed,
01:01:16.600 there were no smartphones. And when you got it, it was like, it wasn't even the second
01:01:20.900 most popular social media this was the time of friendster and myspace yeah if this structure
01:01:26.300 is is so harmful to mental health that you experience almost a one standard deviation
01:01:31.080 increase in mental health problems at all these campuses why didn't friendster and myspace have 0.95
01:01:35.020 any effect doesn't this fuck with his timeline of like this all really got kicked off in 2010 0.56
01:01:40.180 this is another thing that he does throughout the book where he he does this very kind of 0.63
01:01:43.760 responsible sounding scoping exercise in the introduction he's like we're not talking about
01:01:48.280 things before 2010 or the internet we're not talking about porn we're not talking about video
01:01:52.080 games but then throughout the book he cites studies that were done way before 2010 he talks
01:01:57.300 about video games he talks about pornography he talks about broadband internet he has an entire
01:02:03.960 chapter about boys even though the mental health effects on boys are much more modest and his own
01:02:09.520 correlations don't show any link between social media and mental health for boys he has a whole
01:02:15.620 section where he talks about the pandemic are we going to talk about the the boys thing because it
01:02:20.380 is it's wild to think that we're looking at like massive devastating impacts on young girls and
01:02:29.580 boys are just like scrolling snapchat like just just doing great yeah he doesn't i mean he he he
01:02:34.800 does have a chapter about girls and he has a chapter about boys and he attempts to sort of
01:02:38.660 explain why it's so bad for girls i mean one of the arguments that he uses is like they're more
01:02:44.780 prone to predators which we already established isn't true yeah he also says that a big part of
01:02:50.320 it is uh cyber bullying for girls which the minute you dig into the literature is also it's not as
01:02:56.420 much of an urban legend as the sexual predator stuff but it is much more overblown than it
01:03:01.380 really is among kids so bullying has been going down both online and offline bullying has been
01:03:05.960 going down steadily for the last 20 years and so if the internet was a big driver of bullying we
01:03:11.340 would see huge increases as all these kids moved online. One of the most interesting conversations
01:03:15.460 I had for this was with a researcher named Emily Weinstein, who wrote a very good book called
01:03:19.300 Behind Their Screens, where she took the radical step of actually talking to teenagers about the
01:03:24.720 way that they use their phones and whether or not that is helping or harming their mental health.
01:03:29.300 And she said, like, yeah, when you talk to teenagers about their mental health,
01:03:32.100 they don't cite cyberbullying all that much. It does come up for some kids. But
01:03:35.640 in general it's a lot more kind of social anxiety of like specific things driven by the internet so
01:03:42.240 one thing she mentioned was that like you know maybe you you go on venmo and you see that like
01:03:46.680 one friend venmoed another friend for like movie tickets and you're like wait are they seeing a
01:03:51.380 movie without me right or you'll go on instagram and you'll see photos of a party that you weren't
01:03:55.700 invited to yeah or somebody uploads a photo of you but they don't tag you right or like the kids
01:04:01.440 that i talked to mentioned this too that sometimes somebody will upload like a really bad photo of
01:04:04.840 you. And you're sort of like, did they do that on purpose, like to make fun of me or to make me
01:04:08.720 look bad? Or is it just, you know, they don't think I look bad in the photo or it's kind of
01:04:12.420 an honest mistake. And then it's like, oh, well, should I write them and say something? But then
01:04:16.640 that kind of starts all this drama or like, should I just ignore it? Like, do I like it? Do I not
01:04:21.060 like it? She said one of the things that really has changed qualitatively in the experience of
01:04:25.680 teenagers is, you know, people are so concerned when you're that age of like, where do I fit in
01:04:29.980 the social hierarchy. And now there's just so much more information. Who else is hanging out?
01:04:35.620 What are the parties that I wasn't invited to? Like when I was in high school, there were
01:04:38.520 thousands of parties I wasn't invited to, but I didn't know about most of them. 0.99
01:04:41.420 No, you find out on Monday and you're like, I'm a big fucking loser. 0.99
01:04:44.400 Yeah, exactly. And it's like the forms of social exclusion that people can use, 0.98
01:04:50.780 whether it's deliberate or not, whether it's bullying or not, people, you know,
01:04:54.140 you can just watch people do things and have fun without you. And I do actually think that
01:04:57.940 is like worth reckoning with as an actual change. And again, I continue to be intuitively in
01:05:04.960 agreement with the idea that all of this social media use, it just has to have some negative
01:05:12.400 impact on children. Like there's just no way it doesn't. It's too much of a sort of sea change
01:05:17.920 in how we engage with the world to not have a big impact on mental health in at least different
01:05:24.860 areas. Right. And to me that that resonates as like a very simple, realistic way that it would
01:05:31.420 impact the average person where like I think everyone has had some experience where like
01:05:36.480 you're a teenager and you find out your friends hung out without you and you're trying to figure
01:05:41.000 out was it intentional? Was it not? Do they just not care? Are they are they like very actively
01:05:46.320 excluding me? And yeah, if they were just like posting pictures of it, maybe that intensifies
01:05:50.800 those feelings. Right. And I got to say, like, this issue really opened up for me. And I feel
01:05:55.340 like I came to a more productive way to think about it after I started reading the qualitative
01:05:58.980 studies. So Emily Weinstein has a really fascinating article where she just interviewed 30 kids who
01:06:04.760 tried to kill themselves. These were kids who attempted suicide and survived. She speaks to
01:06:08.640 them after this and talks about their relationship with social media. So here is an excerpt from that
01:06:14.920 study. She calls this kid P24 in the study, but we're going to call him Scott. This is a 15-year-old
01:06:20.520 boy. Scott explained that there are challenges associated with social media, but quote, there are
01:06:25.100 still so many pros. Among key benefits for him, social media is an important source of connection
01:06:30.900 and self-expression. He also values opportunities to digitally seek, receive, and offer social
01:06:35.300 support. Scott appreciates that he can reach others fast when struggles arise. Being able to
01:06:41.220 talk to multiple people means he can hear different perspectives and get better insight.
01:06:45.840 Scott also values using social media to share his artwork, connect with other artists, and get
01:06:50.140 feedback and inspiration. Yet he describes downsides too, quote, you can get ignored or you
01:06:55.200 get less feedback than you hoped. It makes me insecure, unquote. This feeling of insecurity
01:07:00.180 intersects with metrics related stress, for example, not getting enough likes on his posts
01:07:04.420 and unmet friendship expectations when his friends are unresponsive or fail to offer the support he
01:07:09.220 hoped for. Self-expression can be helpful to, quote, clear my mind and reset my thoughts,
01:07:13.860 unquote, but can cause problems because, quote, I get angry. I say words that I don't really mean.
01:07:19.000 And so is social media good for kids? Yes. Is social media bad for kids? Yes.
01:07:24.280 Yeah. That's the sort of intuition I have. It just can't be untrue that there are downsides.
01:07:31.220 It can't be untrue that there are upsides. The question, like the fundamental question is,
01:07:37.100 can we suss these out? Yes. And is there anything to be done? Yes. And that's a much
01:07:42.060 more complicated question than like, are phones destroying the children? Yeah. I just think that
01:07:47.780 Like our phone's good or our phone's bad is just an insipid way to look at this.
01:07:52.340 The kind of conclusion that I came to from reading like studies of various methodologies, 0.99
01:07:57.100 it's just like there are some kids for whom being on their phone is deadly fucking poison. 0.99
01:08:02.860 It's so bad. 1.00
01:08:03.840 Yeah.
01:08:04.080 Right.
01:08:04.420 There are also some kids that it's good for that really benefit from the fact that they
01:08:08.300 can like keep in touch with old friends.
01:08:09.840 I talked to one girl who just moved and her new school is like on Zoom or it's like only
01:08:14.460 one day in class.
01:08:15.420 And social media is the only way that she keeps in touch with her old friends, like three states away.
01:08:20.200 And that's like a really important lifeline for her.
01:08:21.920 I once had a best friend who moved 20 minutes away and we just straight up never talked again.
01:08:28.140 Exactly.
01:08:28.760 Like there's – it just kind of depends on the kids.
01:08:32.360 And it's interesting when – there are some surveys of kids where kids actually say this.
01:08:36.600 So in the infamous, like, leaked internal Facebook polls where they talk to their users about, like, how much is Facebook and Instagram harming you, about 20% of kids said, I feel worse when I use Instagram.
01:08:48.800 And that appears to be the high watermark.
01:08:50.880 I mean, some kids feel worse when they use Instagram, so they just don't use Instagram.
01:08:54.640 And it doesn't really have, like, a systematic effect on their mental health.
01:08:58.180 Some kids do.
01:08:58.840 Some kids can't stop themselves.
01:09:00.540 There's also a Pew poll where they ask kids how has social media affected your mental health.
01:09:05.460 about 9% of kids say that it's been really bad for their mental health. And about 40% of kids
01:09:11.100 say that it's been good for their mental health. And 40% say that it hasn't really had any effect
01:09:15.340 at all. And I think that's like a way to look at it, that there's some percentage of kids for whom
01:09:19.880 this is really bad and they probably shouldn't be on their phones or they should have them limited
01:09:22.880 or something. But we don't know how big of a percentage that is. It's hard to identify those
01:09:27.240 kids in advance. And another thing that Emily Weinstein told me, which I think is really
01:09:30.620 important is that the harm of social media is very different for different kids so she said for some
01:09:36.140 kids it's just like they're it keeps them up late yeah it doesn't really matter what they're looking
01:09:39.300 at but it's like the adrenaline of social media just keeps them up and they don't get sleep kids
01:09:42.520 i'm right there with you yeah this is why i love blue sky because at uh at midnight there just
01:09:47.680 aren't any more posts but then for other kids the thing that is harming them is going to be like
01:09:52.260 radicalizing content for other kids it's just going to be kind of like trance-like scrolling
01:09:57.140 on tiktok just kind of mindlessly scrolling yeah compulsive use right there with their friends
01:10:01.540 but they can't stop themselves from reaching from their phones for other kids it's going to be
01:10:05.240 eating disorders again our phone's bad or our phone's good it's just not a useful way to think
01:10:10.520 about this yeah i mean you see some outputs of like what must be social media sort of social
01:10:18.000 contagion or whatever the fuck they want to call it where it's like women in their 20s are getting
01:10:22.760 Botox at crazy rates, right? And you're like, this feels like the output of Instagram. 0.98
01:10:27.320 Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
01:10:27.940 That, as a quote-unquote harm, can be sort of isolated, right? And separated out from, like,
01:10:34.660 this other person is getting radicalized by right-wing YouTube, and this other person is
01:10:39.620 being kept up. Like, these are all very separate problems. Problems, yes. But, you know, are they
01:10:46.100 a single problem? I think the answer to that is no.
01:10:49.260 It's so much easier to talk about this and think about this with older technologies.
01:10:53.000 So in his chapter about boys, Haidt has a whole section on video games.
01:10:57.960 And he's like, you know, I was originally going to say that video games are just bad for boys.
01:11:02.300 But when you look at the literature, it turns out for some people, it actually improves their hand-eye coordination.
01:11:06.240 For some, it's like a social lifeline.
01:11:08.620 Dudes rock, baby.
01:11:09.600 It's true that if you think about it, most people play video games and it just doesn't have that much of a role in their life.
01:11:14.860 for some people video games can be a real like social thing or they get into e-sports or whatever 0.83
01:11:19.060 like it can be really wholesome and for some kids it's really fucking bad for them he says
01:11:22.720 around seven percent of kids who play video games have like a really toxic relationship with them
01:11:27.200 and they get addicted and it's compulsive and they do it too much and it's sort of like well
01:11:30.420 yeah that's probably the same with tv right if you look at previous technologies of you know the
01:11:34.980 automobile has also had great benefits for human society and huge drawbacks and those just all kind
01:11:41.320 have exist at the same time. And it's like only with social media that people want this like
01:11:46.360 really one dimensional explanation. And that just hasn't really been true with any previous
01:11:51.080 technological advance. So he looks at video games and basically gives them the nuanced treatment
01:11:55.860 that he should be giving social media, which is what his whole fucking book's about. 0.97
01:11:59.460 It's also very funny. He has like a little debunker where he's like, well, what about 0.98
01:12:02.840 the benefits of social media? And then he's like, well, a lot of that's based on self-reported data
01:12:07.240 and a lot of the definitions aren't actually clear with what they're saying. And a lot of
01:12:11.280 it's correlational. And it's like, John, that's the problem with all of the data and all the
01:12:16.260 fucking data for the benefits and the drawbacks. It's all like it's just really hard to say 0.94
01:12:20.500 anything definitive. I'm probably being speaking a little too broadly here, but it almost makes
01:12:24.300 no sense that all of the benefits have data problems. And none of the stuff about drawbacks
01:12:31.760 has data. Those two things can't quite sit side by side. So I do think this book is maybe a kind
01:12:39.680 of airport book that we haven't really talked about before, where it's a book that is diagnosing
01:12:45.020 a real problem and investigating a real social phenomenon, but that is written by a fundamentally
01:12:52.820 unserious person. And so the next section of the book, the last section of the book
01:12:57.300 is the solutions. He's very clear about the fact that these will have large and major and rapid
01:13:03.660 effects. So he says, if most of the parents and schools in a community were to enact all four of
01:13:08.940 these recommendations, I believe they would see substantial improvements in adolescent mental
01:13:13.440 health within two years. So these are big effective changes. They are one, no smartphones before high
01:13:20.660 school, two, no social media before 16, three, phone free schools, four, far more unsupervised
01:13:29.480 play and childhood independence. I have to say there's nothing too outlandish in there within
01:13:34.740 the context of this book. All four of these honestly sound fine to me. It's interesting
01:13:38.720 that in a book that is kind of written by this reactionary centrist guy, he comes to, I think,
01:13:44.180 pretty justified conclusions. But then one of the weird paradoxes of this book, in the same way that
01:13:48.720 we started out by saying all of these kind of fundamentally contradictory statements,
01:13:52.880 all of these solutions, I think, are basically fine. Although I would quibble with things like
01:13:58.100 no smartphones before high school, no social media before 16. I think parents are in a better
01:14:01.900 position to... Yeah, that's a little aggressive. You know, your kid might be in a position where
01:14:05.040 it's appropriate for them earlier. But kind of like, he sort of admits this. He's like, yeah,
01:14:08.460 whatever. Also, parents can be flexible. It's not that big of a deal. But even though I agree
01:14:13.280 roughly with all four of these recommendations, this is by far the worst section of the book.
01:14:19.240 And so once we get into the solutions section, this is the final third of the book,
01:14:23.600 he separates the solutions into what companies can do, what governments can do, what schools can do,
01:14:31.800 and what parents can do. So we're going to start with what governments and tech companies can do
01:14:36.320 to solve this problem. His core recommendation is to raise the age of internet adulthood to 16.
01:14:44.100 He points out that, you know, we now have this thing of like, you must be 13 to use Instagram
01:14:47.420 or whatever. But like, you literally just tick a box. You're like, yes, I'm 13. Or if it's a
01:14:51.980 porn site or whatever, you tick the I'm 18 box. But there's no actual verification. So he says
01:14:57.540 that we should basically bump this up to 16. He says that's not necessarily for like using the
01:15:03.000 internet like it's fine for kids to be on the internet like they're whatever using wikipedia
01:15:06.520 to write essays for school that's all fine but as far as setting up social media accounts we should
01:15:12.120 raise the age from 13 to 16 this basically would involve some way of verifying kids ages yeah if
01:15:19.840 you raise it to 16 there's just going to be a box that says are you 16 and you tick the box what if
01:15:23.600 when you create an instagram account you get a message from someone asking you for a pick and
01:15:29.240 And then you send the pic and they judge whether or not you look like you're under 16. 0.98
01:15:35.040 I think this is actually like kind of interesting as a social problem where I think most people would agree that like, yeah, it would be really nice if we could verify that like fucking 10-year-olds and 11-year-olds are not on Instagram. 0.88
01:15:44.680 I think that's like a perfectly reasonable thing to be concerned about.
01:15:47.640 But how do you get there?
01:15:49.600 Right.
01:15:49.720 He proposes a couple like solutions.
01:15:52.020 He says one option is using a network of people to vouch for each other.
01:15:56.860 So some sort of like peer-to-peer thing, like, yes, this person is over 13.
01:16:01.300 He says, issuing a blockchain token to anyone who is verified once by a reliable method.
01:16:07.040 Yeah.
01:16:07.400 I don't know what that means.
01:16:08.200 I stopped reading it, blockchain.
01:16:09.620 No, no, no, no.
01:16:10.580 Let's drill down on that.
01:16:12.880 What if at birth you are assigned a Bitcoin?
01:16:15.740 Another option is using biometrics to establish identity.
01:16:19.760 Yeah.
01:16:20.220 No, this is great.
01:16:21.760 We got blockchain, biometrics.
01:16:24.040 Biometrics.
01:16:24.480 I like how immediately his solutions are drastically more dangerous than the existing problem.
01:16:31.800 He says – he also has this kind of like weird cockamamie thing.
01:16:34.420 He says, Clear, a company known for rapid identity verification in airports, is now used as a quick way for its clients who previously verified their age to prove that they are old enough to buy alcohol at stadium events.
01:16:45.940 That's what you want.
01:16:46.720 Let's make Clear the most powerful entity on earth.
01:16:49.320 I know.
01:16:50.100 so essentially like whether or not you think that this thing of raising the internet age to 16 is a
01:16:57.660 good idea or not it feels like almost like a moot point to me just because the way of doing it would
01:17:03.200 be more problematic than the system we have now yeah or at least like introduce new variables that
01:17:09.920 no one really understands or knows how to control he kind of admits this he just says there's not
01:17:14.800 at present any perfect way of implementing a universal age check there is no method that
01:17:19.560 could be applied to everyone who comes to a site in a way that's perfectly reliable and raises no
01:17:23.740 privacy or civil liberties objections right he also the only other kind of like specific thing
01:17:29.640 that he mentions is there's various legal efforts to do something along these lines
01:17:36.360 the closest thing we have in america is this thing called the kids online safety act or cosa
01:17:42.180 i think one of the the real problems with this book is because he's a reactionary centrist and
01:17:48.480 like a both sides guy, he can't look at a law like this and notice that it's just a very obvious
01:17:54.880 Republican moral panic law. Right. I was going to say, isn't COSA is the law that is like,
01:18:02.020 okay, I'm trying to, well, all right. Yeah. I'm not gonna remember accurately what it's about.
01:18:06.080 I just remember that there's like huge civil libertarian objections and concerns from the
01:18:12.380 LGBTQ community. This is the actual text of the law. I've condensed this down from the legalese,
01:18:17.040 but this is roughly the core of the law. It says, platforms shall take reasonable measures to
01:18:23.400 prevent and mitigate the following harms to minors. One, anxiety, depression, eating disorders,
01:18:28.700 substance use disorders, and suicidal behaviors. Two, patterns of use that indicate or encourage
01:18:33.660 addiction-like behaviors. Three, online bullying and harassment. Four, sexual exploitation and
01:18:39.420 abuse. This is one of the clearest examples of moral panic legislation I've ever seen.
01:18:43.980 It's basically saying it's illegal for tech companies to harm teenagers, but that's so broad that it can be interpreted in almost any way, and it leaves the sole authority for determining that up to state attorneys general.
01:18:57.440 And so if an attorney general just says, oh, yeah, it harms kids to come across things that like, oh, you might be transgender, well, that's harming kids, that's causing them to be depressed, they could then strip that from the internet and like essentially censor or ban it very easily. 0.97
01:19:10.640 And the co-sponsor of COSA, Marsha Blackburn, has said the purpose of this law is to protect minor children from the transgender in our culture.
01:19:20.060 The transgender in our culture?
01:19:21.480 Yes, the transgender. Her name is Rebecca. 0.78
01:19:23.280 There's one lurking.
01:19:26.980 You see them in the distance like a fire golem in Elden Ring.
01:19:30.260 When you have a law this broad, when we don't have a clear definition of really what the problem is, and we have no evidence on this at all, you're essentially just handing a huge amount of power over to whoever defines the term harm. 0.87
01:19:44.440 This is a major problem with many sort of vague bullshit laws that shouldn't be passed.
01:19:51.100 But like the essence of this law is like, what if we made it illegal to hurt people? 0.90
01:19:56.780 this is i think the output of moral panic media cycles yeah but also it's just fundamentally 0.87
01:20:05.600 stupid you don't need to like contextualize it that much to realize it okay so then so that was 0.97
01:20:10.300 what governments and tech companies can do pass the dumbest law in the world have we thought about 1.00
01:20:15.220 this so the next section is what schools can do hell yeah so i'm gonna send you his little vignette
01:20:23.720 where he starts to say why schools should ban cell phones.
01:20:28.360 Mountain Middle School in Durango, Colorado,
01:20:30.700 went phone-free back in 2012 at the start of the mental health crisis.
01:20:34.920 The county around the school had among the highest teen suicide rates in Colorado
01:20:38.520 when Shane Voss took over as head of school.
01:20:41.340 Students were suffering from rampant cyberbullying,
01:20:43.640 sleep deprivation, and constant social comparison.
01:20:47.000 Voss implemented a cell phone ban.
01:20:48.880 For the entire school day, phones had to stay in backpacks,
01:20:51.660 not in pockets or hands.
01:20:52.960 There were clear policies and real consequences if phones were found out of the backpack during school hours.
01:20:59.060 The effects were transformative.
01:21:00.540 Students no longer sat silently next to each other, scrolling while waiting for homeroom or class to start.
01:21:05.920 They talked to each other or the teacher.
01:21:08.460 Voss says that when he walks into a school without a phone ban, quote,
01:21:11.540 it's kind of like the zombie apocalypse and you have all these kids in the hallways not talking to each other.
01:21:16.180 It's just a very different vibe.
01:21:17.720 It's like we used to have phones and everyone was silent and sad.
01:21:20.500 And now you have you hear laughter in the hallways.
01:21:23.340 He says this also in the book.
01:21:25.000 He's like, wow, they're they're hearing like the peeling of children's laughter because there's no phones.
01:21:29.240 I mean, you laugh when you're looking at social media, too.
01:21:32.040 You laugh because you see a great joke cyberbullying one of your classmates.
01:21:37.780 Well, I look, I I don't know.
01:21:40.040 I don't know where exactly we're going, but I'm I I think that sounds like a good policy to me.
01:21:45.660 And I'm I'm ready to believe that it works, at least in some regards.
01:21:50.320 that it makes the school environment better.
01:21:52.260 So this is the thing is I actually like the idea
01:21:54.120 of banning smartphones in schools.
01:21:56.220 I think I've mentioned before
01:21:57.200 that one of my best friends in Seattle
01:21:58.620 is a public high school teacher 0.99
01:21:59.820 and phones are the fucking bane of his existence. 0.99
01:22:03.040 You know, it's like whenever you're doing 0.99
01:22:04.680 like a little lecture thing
01:22:05.500 and then you're like, okay,
01:22:06.000 we're going to break up into groups.
01:22:07.140 Every kid pulls their phone out
01:22:08.500 and then you got to be like,
01:22:09.280 okay, put your phones away, do this.
01:22:11.340 One thing that John Haidt actually mentions in the book
01:22:13.120 that I think is relatively insightful
01:22:14.740 is that there's also this huge problem 0.98
01:22:16.920 of fucking notifications 0.99
01:22:17.880 that you're sitting there 1.00
01:22:18.980 with your phone in your pocket
01:22:19.860 and it buzzes and you're like okay was that like is that my mom saying hey you need to get home
01:22:24.840 right now or is that just like a breaking news alert it's the the worst sub stack that you
01:22:29.180 subscribe to just publish a new post i i think that's like a real thing of like fracturing kids
01:22:34.000 attention and having you know i like i'm like that this is why i put my phone on do not disturb most
01:22:38.180 of the time is because if i feel it buzz in my pocket there's like a little part of my brain
01:22:41.960 yeah it's like what is that what is that what is that the whole time it's never it's never
01:22:45.740 important. And so I like this idea of like banning phones. However, one of the problems with this
01:22:51.140 description that he gives, this kind of one dimensional, like things were bad and then we
01:22:54.440 ban phones and now things are good narrative that he's giving us is that most schools in America
01:22:58.640 already ban phones. So he notes that as of 2020, 77% of schools already banned phones.
01:23:05.200 Oh, that's a massive number. Okay.
01:23:06.880 Yeah, it's huge. It's three quarters. That was even pre-pandemic. And most of the problem is
01:23:12.540 actually with enforcement. So most of the kids I talked to already went to schools where they banned
01:23:17.300 phones. And they said that like at the beginning of the school year, it's like, we're banning
01:23:21.720 phones, no phones out. And they're really strict about it. But then over time, people kind of
01:23:25.620 drift. And then, you know, you have your phone out for a second. You're like, oh, I'm just using the
01:23:29.080 calculator. And they're like, okay, okay, okay. And then before you know it, after like a month,
01:23:32.860 kids are basically on their phones most of the time, right? And one thing my friend,
01:23:37.720 the public high school teacher says is that like, it's really unfair to kind of leave this
01:23:41.560 enforcement up to the teachers i just thought of a solution you know how phones have airplane mode
01:23:45.920 what if there was a school mode and there's an app where the teacher controls it and school mode
01:23:52.840 only allows 911 and a calculator and maybe like text from one number you get to get text from
01:24:00.660 your mom or something i was gonna say emp blast it just like shut down all the phones i would like
01:24:06.240 to do that in movie theaters too while we're at it there's many places i would like all of the
01:24:09.500 phones to die actually cut my idea from the podcast i'm gonna call google and i'm gonna become
01:24:13.660 so fucking rich school mode this is why i think it's it's a much better idea for schools to have 0.76
01:24:20.060 these much more comprehensive policies where like you just put your phone in like a weird little 0.98
01:24:23.540 locker at the beginning of the day yeah and you get it back at the end of the day yeah this is
01:24:26.980 what my friend wants in his school him and the other teachers have been pushing for this all
01:24:30.020 year it's mostly parental resistance actually because they're like i might need to contact my
01:24:34.180 kid that's interesting and i i think that um it's framed often as a problem with children but like
01:24:40.580 parents who aren't used to having any separation from their children no exactly all of a sudden
01:24:47.020 with the advent of smartphones you don't really ever need to not be in contact with your kid
01:24:53.180 yeah and so some school being like there's now going to be an eight hour block where you're not
01:24:59.320 every single day probably feels pretty overwhelming to a lot of parents i do support this policy
01:25:03.860 However, this thing of like everyone was a zombie and now there's laughter in the hallways thing.
01:25:09.060 It's just not true because we've had these phone bans in place for so long.
01:25:12.680 There's tons of studies on the effects of phone bans in school.
01:25:16.380 So there's a really interesting natural experiment in Spain where two regions of Spain passed laws saying all schools have to ban smartphones.
01:25:24.100 And so you can compare them to the other regions of Spain.
01:25:26.960 and they saw a 15% reduction in bullying and a pretty modest but noticeable increase in test
01:25:34.880 scores. There's one in Denmark that shows that kids did more physical activity at recess because
01:25:40.340 they took away their phones during recess. There's one in Norway that was reported as saying students
01:25:47.600 had better mental health after a bunch of schools banned smartphones. But if you read the actual
01:25:53.220 study the schools didn't ban smartphones they just made kids turn their phones on silent and
01:25:58.120 it's a little implausible that they would have such a large effect and the study hasn't been
01:26:01.980 in a peer-reviewed journal so in general studies seem to find extremely modest effects and most of
01:26:09.320 those effects are measured by teacher perceptions okay i do favor these bans i mean partly because
01:26:15.000 like i think if teachers perceive kids to be doing better that's like worth noting like that's not
01:26:20.740 that's not nothing yeah but height starts that anecdote by saying you know before they ban
01:26:26.480 phones the school had a problem with bullying and sleep deprivation and social comparison
01:26:32.140 and now they don't have those problems anymore and like smartphone bans just aren't going to
01:26:36.880 affect that kind of stuff kids can still bully each other after school yeah kids can still overuse
01:26:41.280 their phones height is quite explicitly proposing this as a silver bullet and it just isn't one
01:26:47.440 Not without school mode.
01:26:48.860 And for only $500,000 a year, you too can subscribe.
01:26:52.580 You did read the four-hour work week.
01:26:54.160 You're already on the phone to India hiring people to do this for you.
01:26:57.200 I want that New York Times Magazine piece about me with the moody picture of me sitting in a chair like the man who changed school.
01:27:04.980 So that is his, I think, good suggestion for improving schools for the mental health of teens.
01:27:10.500 Here is his slightly less convincing suggestion.
01:27:14.920 he says that schools should become more playful and here is his little vignette that he opens
01:27:22.500 this with one constant of these airport books is that whenever someone uses a cutesy little new 0.93
01:27:28.260 term you know they're about to say something very stupid but you don't know exactly exactly what it's 0.92
01:27:33.540 gonna be all right kevin steinhardt a fourth grade teacher at the central academy of the arts 0.99
01:27:39.120 an elementary school in rural south carolina realized he was having the same conversation
01:27:43.320 over and over with teachers and parents. Students were struggling, and many seemed to have little
01:27:47.460 resilience, perseverance, or ability to work with others. The adults were all talking about the
01:27:52.180 student's fragility, but none had any idea what to do about it. Kevin was stumped, too, until he
01:27:57.220 attended a conference at the nearby Clemson University on the benefits of something pretty
01:28:01.020 basic, free play. With his school's blessing, Kevin started to incorporate more free play into
01:28:06.640 students' lives by making three changes. One, longer recess with little adult intervention.
01:28:11.780 Longer recess.
01:28:12.700 Two, opening the school playground for half an hour before school starts to give students time to play before class.
01:28:18.000 Early playgrounds.
01:28:19.000 Three, offering a play club.
01:28:21.620 Anywhere from one to five days a week, school stays open for mixed age free play.
01:28:26.180 From 2.30 to 4.30 p.m., instead of going home, children spend time together playing.
01:28:30.420 It's a no phone zone.
01:28:31.780 The kids are given nearly complete autonomy.
01:28:35.220 Like a lifeguard, adults intervene only in the case of an emergency.
01:28:38.640 Autonomous kids. 1.00
01:28:39.420 In the very first semester, he made these changes. Kevin started noticing a shift in his students. Quote, our students are happier, kinder, have fewer behavior problems, have made more friends, feel more in control of their day and their life in general, and in some cases have dramatically changed course from bullying behaviors and frequent office referrals to no bullying behaviors and no office referrals.
01:29:00.780 Okay. So all three of these three solutions are just recess.
01:29:05.920 Yes, more recess.
01:29:06.760 One is longer recess, two is recess before school, and three is a recess after school.
01:29:12.140 Yes.
01:29:12.400 And also Haidt mentions kind of briefly in the next couple paragraphs of this play club
01:29:16.820 thing of like kids can play after school.
01:29:19.040 He's describing this huge turnaround, right?
01:29:21.200 Like the kids are happier and everybody's making more friends.
01:29:23.760 This play club after school thing was only one day a week.
01:29:26.460 So he's essentially saying that like longer recess and early playground being open and
01:29:31.100 one day the playground is open late just completely transformed the school.
01:29:35.240 Maybe my experience is not representative, but when I was a youth, there was recess before school.
01:29:41.980 Like you arrived and you were dumped off onto the playground unless it was like raining or something.
01:29:46.480 As we see so much in this book, it's like he doesn't really do any of the empirical work to be like, are kids not using the playgrounds?
01:29:53.320 Right. Or like, how are you stopping them from using phones in the recess?
01:29:58.060 So he then, this is going to sound like I'm like cherry picking, but he spends so much
01:30:03.900 time in this book talking about playgrounds.
01:30:06.940 Okay.
01:30:07.440 He has this whole thing of like, we've de-risked the American childhood and like kids should
01:30:12.600 be falling off of the playground structures and like skinning their elbows.
01:30:16.300 And like, that's, that's part of childhood is like learning how to deal with stuff.
01:30:19.260 And like, we're not doing that anymore.
01:30:20.660 And so he goes on and on and on about just like play, like they have better playgrounds
01:30:26.140 in Europe.
01:30:26.940 That's true.
01:30:27.360 junkyard playgrounds where you can like play around on tires and ropes and stuff should be
01:30:31.060 every playground should have rusty metal spikes he has a thing there's like i guess there's like
01:30:36.700 nature playgrounds with like bales of hay and kids can work together to like flip the bales of hay
01:30:42.680 that's just something that broke schools say they're like uh yeah this is a nature playground
01:30:47.320 so another one of his major things with having playful schools is to do something called
01:30:52.180 no rules recess. So here is his description of this. I need to get my brain straight for no
01:30:58.940 rules recess because it sounds like it's going to be fun as hell. Consider the no rules recess
01:31:03.480 at Swanson Primary School in New Zealand. Before no rules recess, students had been forbidden to
01:31:09.780 climb trees, ride bikes, or do anything with any risk. But then the school took part in a study in
01:31:15.140 which researchers asked eight schools to reduce rules and increase opportunities for risk and
01:31:19.840 challenge during a recess while eight other schools were asked to make no changes to their
01:31:24.080 recess policies swanson was in the freedom group and prince the freedom group the freedom group
01:31:30.440 swanson was in the freedom group and principal bruce mclacklin decided to go all the way he 0.70
01:31:35.980 scrapped all rules and let kids make their own no rules recess fucking pay-per-view challenge recess 0.56
01:31:42.740 ecw the result more chaos more activity more pushing and shoving on the playground and also 0.95
01:31:49.760 more happiness and more physical safety more safety rates of injury vandalism and bullying
01:31:54.940 all declined boom what boom i'm telling you this you you tell nine-year-old me no rules 0.95
01:32:01.900 rates of injury around me are not declining kids are getting fucked up the thing is it's easy to 0.96
01:32:07.800 sort of not notice this because he's he's talking about this as like part of a study but like this 0.56
01:32:12.420 is essentially just an anecdote for one principle there's only one of these schools went to no rules
01:32:17.100 recess. And if you read the actual study, it appears that schools that tried this like freer
01:32:24.040 kind of play at recess had no more physical activity among the kids and had slightly more
01:32:30.660 bullying. And it even says in the study, it says, overall, schools liked the intervention and
01:32:36.460 reported many benefits, including increased physical activity. However, these beliefs did
01:32:41.660 not translate into significant differences in objectively measured physical activity,
01:32:45.760 either as counts per minute or as minutes of moderate to vigorous physical activity.
01:32:49.960 All of that extra physical activity was the first two minutes after you said the words,
01:32:55.040 no rules to the children.
01:32:56.600 Just immediately started punching each other.
01:32:58.560 And you're like, oh, the cardio.
01:32:59.600 They just get amped.
01:33:00.680 They start charging around, punching each other.
01:33:02.720 And then they tuck themselves out.
01:33:04.080 And also keep in mind, this is not a mental health intervention.
01:33:07.360 This is an intervention aimed at increasing physical activity among kids.
01:33:11.600 and i personally think that like increasing physical activity among kids is like a very
01:33:15.900 worthwhile goal like that's awesome yeah it's not one-to-one mental health right yeah it's like
01:33:20.440 maybe that will have some improvement but it's like we're already two degrees of separation away
01:33:25.280 from the alleged outcome that we want and also there's been a ton of these like playground
01:33:30.000 equipment studies projects over the years because they're really fucking easy and people like it
01:33:34.340 because you don't actually have to address the real challenges of the kid you're like oh let's
01:33:37.800 spend a hundred thousand dollars on improved playing equipment and like they almost never
01:33:41.760 work there's a analysis in the uk that said that you know the average kid in the uk gets 78 minutes
01:33:48.020 like throughout the course of the day and after school and everything of recess improving playground
01:33:52.140 equipment results in three extra minutes of activity during those 78 minutes it's like
01:33:57.060 we just don't see effects you need a control group with no rules social media use we've removed the
01:34:04.180 porn the porn blocker on your uh on the wi-fi network uh have at it how are those kids doing
01:34:10.920 this actually kind of goes into our like one book theory because what he's essentially proposing 0.75
01:34:16.620 here as we saw in fucking nudge as we've seen over and over again is that this need among like
01:34:23.220 centrist american elites to have these technical fixes yeah without having to address any of the 0.88
01:34:29.960 underlying drivers of the problem and without having to spend any real money one thing these 1.00
01:34:35.940 folks love is the implication that like the people in charge of stuff are big dumb assholes 0.98
01:34:41.040 there are simple easy interventions that like you know these know-it-all libs are blocking 0.98
01:34:49.020 for one reason or another but if we just implemented them society would be so much better
01:34:53.340 so the final set of solutions that he gives us is like what parents can do what can parents do
01:34:59.360 and i kind of get this before but large sections of the book are dedicated to his idea that we're
01:35:04.940 in the midst of kind of like a spiritual crisis we we've created lives that don't have meaningful
01:35:10.860 activities in them spiritual like things that really feed our soul um this is sort of a sub
01:35:16.080 genre of the like final chapter of an airport book where they've like gone off the rails and
01:35:22.480 the scope of their project has become too big yeah and so the final chapter is like
01:35:28.080 the massive metaphysical crisis facing america today the solution recess before schools
01:35:36.240 okay so here is his one of his descriptions of the spiritual crisis that we're in durkheim showed
01:35:44.160 that nearly all societies have created rituals and communal practices for pulling people up
01:35:48.220 temporarily into the realm of the sacred where the self recedes and the jesus christ what's
01:35:53.500 happening. You don't need Durkheim? Oh, God. Durkheim wanted better playgrounds. Where the
01:35:57.760 self recedes and collective interests predominate. Think of Christians singing hymns together every
01:36:03.140 Sunday in church. Think of Muslims circling the Kaaba in Mecca. Think of civil rights marchers 0.99
01:36:08.360 singing as they walked. Durkheim called this state of energized communion collective effervescence.
01:36:14.560 But what happens when social life becomes virtual and everyone interacts through screens?
01:36:19.920 everything collapses into an undifferentiated blur there is no consensual space at least not
01:36:26.560 any kind that feels real to human minds that evolved to navigate the three dimensions of
01:36:31.100 planet earth in the virtual world there is no daily weekly or annual calendar that structures
01:36:36.760 when people can and cannot do things nothing ever closes so everyone acts on their own schedule
01:36:42.040 in short there is no consensual structuring of time space or objects around which people can
01:36:48.700 use their ancient programming for sacredness to create religious or quasi-religious communities.
01:36:54.640 Consensual sacredness.
01:36:55.460 Everything is available to every individual all the time with little or no effort. There is no
01:36:59.640 Sabbath and there are no holy days.
01:37:01.840 No holy days.
01:37:02.480 Everything is profane. Okay, what the fuck is happening? 0.99
01:37:04.720 Watch your profanity. 1.00
01:37:05.560 Living in a world of structureless anime makes adolescents more vulnerable to online recruitment
01:37:11.560 and to radical political movements that offer moral clarity and a moral community, thereby
01:37:16.520 by pulling them further away from their in-person communities.
01:37:19.300 There's no effervescence.
01:37:20.180 The problem with the kids, they're not effervescent.
01:37:21.760 This is a message to all potential airport book authors.
01:37:25.160 You don't have to talk like this.
01:37:26.920 You don't.
01:37:27.900 This isn't something you need to do.
01:37:29.160 We're putting this on the loudspeaker at Davos, Peter.
01:37:31.620 The problem, lack of collective effervescence.
01:37:34.120 The solution, 30-minute recess before schools.
01:37:37.800 Also, I can think of a lot of experiences online that I felt were examples of a collective effervescence.
01:37:43.180 Like, I don't think he was around when we bullied Iggy Azalea off of Tumblr. 0.98
01:37:47.560 When Trump got COVID that night on Twitter, that was some of the most intense collective effervescence I've ever felt in my fucking life. 0.96
01:37:56.120 Chapel Rhone, that's collective effervescence, right? 0.99
01:37:58.420 Whatever's happening there. 0.94
01:37:59.480 The thing is, I also really want to point out that he is fucking wrong about this. 0.96
01:38:04.420 Right. 0.98
01:38:04.560 So first of all, I don't know what the fuck he means with like, there's no time or sacredness on the Internet. 0.96
01:38:09.440 That's just not true. 0.96
01:38:11.020 Secondly, this is the only place in the entire book that he talks about radicalization, maybe 0.77
01:38:16.500 because he knew he was going to go on fucking Joe Rogan and talk about it. 0.94
01:38:19.680 Yeah. 0.98
01:38:19.920 This is clearly not an issue that he takes seriously at all.
01:38:22.720 And third, yet another reason why he is the worst possible pundit to be leading this conversation
01:38:27.900 is that he is a libertarian and he doesn't want any content specific moderation by social
01:38:34.680 media companies.
01:38:35.380 So if you look at the actual literature on radicalization, there are specific beliefs that predict radicalization.
01:38:43.400 And a lot of them are things like in-group dominance, like thinking that you're part of a group that is superior to other groups, believing that you are experiencing relative deprivation, right?
01:38:54.160 That like black people are getting all the jobs, but like you can't even be a white person in America anymore. 0.55
01:38:58.360 Negative attitudes toward the government and the political system, like they're all out to get you, conspiratorial beliefs. 0.66
01:39:03.460 But these are things that he cannot address because they require acknowledging that right-wing radicalization is a much bigger problem in America than left-wing radicalization.
01:39:12.360 But he has dedicated his entire career to pointing out left-wing radicalization.
01:39:16.680 All he can do is make this incoherent argument that the virtual world is this desiccated black and white version of social interaction that is also so good that it's tempting kids out of their real life relationships.
01:39:34.240 What we need is more religious fervor is never an argument that's going to like really sit well with me.
01:39:39.620 He seems to think that online interactions are qualitatively worse than in-person interactions, right?
01:39:46.140 And every interaction that's online is bad.
01:39:48.320 And every interaction that's in person is good.
01:39:50.800 And like, I read a couple articles about the panic over TV, right?
01:39:54.180 Kids are on their screens too much in the 1980s.
01:39:55.980 And it was the same thing.
01:39:56.860 It was like, everything on TV is bad.
01:39:58.520 And everything that's not on TV is good. 0.99
01:40:00.300 And it's like, well, you can read radicalization literature and you can watch a fucking David 0.97
01:40:03.780 Attenborough documentary on TV. 0.97
01:40:05.840 It's really silly to say that the medium is more important than the content.
01:40:10.100 I like the idea of trying to get more spirituality and more like, you know, less self-centeredness
01:40:15.340 and more reflection in our lives, I think that's really great. But it's not the case that that
01:40:19.880 isn't available online. And it's not the case that like this sense of the lack of collective
01:40:25.920 effervescence is what's causing political radicalization. Whenever conservatives,
01:40:30.200 like moderate conservatives, point to the decline in church attendance as like a sort of sign of
01:40:36.440 the downfall of these in-person communities, the question that pops up to me is like, why
01:40:42.400 are the communities where church attendance is very common and popular, some of our most
01:40:47.240 politically radicalized. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. I'm just not entirely seeing it. And it feels
01:40:51.900 like a lazy analysis that's only looking at half of the issue. His solution for this, like, you
01:40:57.540 know, what parents can do to foster this kind of collective effervescence among their children
01:41:02.040 is a much greater focus on in-person activities. And his first recommendation is just like more
01:41:08.580 kids doing sports, which honestly seems great to me. I have no problem with that. But he says,
01:41:14.700 research consistently shows that teens who play team sports are happier than those who don't.
01:41:19.260 Humans are embodied. A phone-based life is not. Screens lead us to forget that our physical
01:41:24.940 bodies matter. If you think that intramural sports would help, then just say that. Don't
01:41:30.280 talk to me about collective effervescence and then be like, and the solution, more soccer.
01:41:35.620 And then if you go to the footnote, he acknowledges the fact that just because kids who play sports are happier does not mean the sports are causing them to be happier.
01:41:43.580 It could be that happier kids play sports.
01:41:46.360 Yeah.
01:41:46.620 Like he does this a lot where he just says that like you should get your kids to play sports because like sports will make them happy.
01:41:52.680 And then you go to the footnote and he's like, oh, it might just be they play sports because they're already happy.
01:41:57.000 And you're like, sorry, that's not like a footnote.
01:41:58.660 Right.
01:41:58.940 That's the that's the thing you got to figure out, Jonathan.
01:42:02.000 He spends the rest of this section talking about how, like, kids need to spend more time in nature.
01:42:07.300 And he has this whole thing about awe.
01:42:09.680 Kids need to be awestruck more.
01:42:11.960 And when you're struck by this sense of awe, like I'm small in the world, and you're looking at, like, majestic mountains and a sunset, that it grounds you in the physical self.
01:42:21.320 And he recommends his students at NYU to go on awe walks in New York City.
01:42:27.800 What is an awe walk?
01:42:29.160 He doesn't.
01:42:30.040 It sounds like a rare bird.
01:42:32.000 You all know what an aww walk is. 0.99
01:42:33.660 Everyone knows what a fucking aww walk is. 0.99
01:42:35.540 Wait a minute, wait a minute, wait a minute. 0.99
01:42:36.520 I have the text of the book in front of me.
01:42:37.980 Hang on.
01:42:38.300 Trying to learn what an aww walk is. 1.00
01:42:39.620 Thank God I have my phone right next to me.
01:42:41.920 He's talking about this guy that he listened to.
01:42:43.880 He says, after hearing Docker in a podcast conversation
01:42:47.040 describe the aww walks he took
01:42:49.040 while grieving his brother's death from cancer,
01:42:50.980 I decided to add a session on awe and beauty
01:42:53.440 to the undergraduate flourishing class
01:42:55.460 that I teach at New York University.
01:42:57.200 Folks, no.
01:42:58.140 When your professor starts talking about,
01:42:59.580 he's like, we're now entering the beauty,
01:43:02.000 portion. Get up and leave. I told my students to listen to the podcast and then take a walk
01:43:08.120 slowly anywhere outside during which they must not take out their phones. The written reflections
01:43:13.800 they turned in for that week's homework were among the most beautiful I've seen in my 30 years as a
01:43:18.520 professor. Some students, you'll love this, Peter. Some students simply walked slowly through the
01:43:22.520 streets of Greenwich Village around NYU, noticing for the first time the architectural flourishes
01:43:27.280 on the 19th century buildings that they had passed many times. But the most powerful reports
01:43:31.660 came from those who walked through parks.
01:43:33.660 One student, Yi Mei,
01:43:35.060 began her awe walk in Washington Square Park,
01:43:37.700 which is the green heart of the NYU campus.
01:43:40.460 It was a perfect April day
01:43:41.740 when the cherry trees were in full bloom. 1.00
01:43:43.680 What the fuck? 0.99
01:43:44.520 These kids have never walked in Washington Square Park. 1.00
01:43:47.700 If you go to NYU and you're like,
01:43:50.080 I just walked through Washington Square Park
01:43:52.380 for the first time,
01:43:53.420 I don't know what to tell you.
01:43:54.300 You need to reevaluate the way that you exist.
01:43:58.440 This is wild.
01:44:01.660 I wasn't planning on going into this this much.
01:44:03.900 No, no, no, no, no.
01:44:05.520 Here's why I can't go to Washington Square Park, just to give you an impression, just to give you an understanding. 0.99
01:44:10.040 Because there are so many fucking NYU students there. 0.99
01:44:14.120 What if they're ruining the awe of everybody else by being there? 0.99
01:44:17.480 My first Washington Square Park experience was my first trip to New York.
01:44:21.580 I was like 13 and my mom bought us tickets to rent and I hated it.
01:44:25.500 So I left at halftime and went to Washington Square Park and bought weed. 0.99
01:44:28.820 What the fuck is... 0.99
01:44:29.540 But I was in awe being stoned walking around New York City. 1.00
01:44:32.420 Do you go on awe walks in Astoria, Queens?
01:44:35.600 Is that part of your day?
01:44:36.380 No, I don't go on awe walks.
01:44:38.260 I live a normal life where I just live at my desk and in my phone and then I watch TV at night until I get a headache and I go to sleep.
01:44:50.520 That's what life is about.
01:44:52.300 You got to grab it by the horns.
01:44:53.600 The thing is, this is one of those things that you can't really disagree with.
01:44:58.280 because like, should people be more awestruck?
01:45:00.300 Yeah, I mean, great, fine.
01:45:01.900 But like people react with awe to different things.
01:45:04.920 I am making fun of this idea,
01:45:06.700 but you should obviously go on walks.
01:45:08.460 I think what I'm really reacting to 0.99
01:45:10.200 is when professors try to do holistic life shit. 0.99
01:45:14.340 Yeah, yeah, yeah. 0.98
01:45:14.900 And it's like, why don't you teach me
01:45:16.620 what you're an expert at? 0.99
01:45:17.740 Instead of telling me to go on a fucking walk. 1.00
01:45:19.560 You're not my therapist, you were my professor. 0.99
01:45:21.920 I also did a decent amount of reading on this
01:45:23.780 because I think that the flip side of a moral panic
01:45:27.060 is a moral bandwagon when all of the elites in a society decide that a specific thing is good
01:45:33.080 and i think that very similar to remember in the 90s it was like play your kid mozart and their
01:45:38.520 iq will go up and they'll like be able to speak french or whatever and everyone just kind of
01:45:41.900 decided that classical music was like intellectually nourishing this is what uh they envisioned a
01:45:47.260 smart person doing it's just like listening to mozart while doing math or whatever there's this
01:45:51.320 entire field now called nature-based interventions where it's like people will go on nature walks
01:45:56.960 there's a whole subfield of like forest bathing interventions i came across something called
01:46:02.480 therapeutic gardening there's surfing therapy it's this whole idea that like just being outside 0.99
01:46:08.320 is intrinsically good for you yeah all of the data on it is just fucking garbage it's just like 0.98
01:46:14.000 people went on a 15 minute nature walk and then we asked them afterwards like are you less 1.00
01:46:17.560 depressed and they said yes i'll bet it's like yeah people like taking breaks yeah the fucking 0.83
01:46:21.960 forest bathing studies that i've read was like a day long forest bathing intervention it was 0.87
01:46:26.940 like a hot spring thing somewhere in japan and it's like people felt better after a day essentially
01:46:32.100 at a spa like you're basically taking a day away for free and like just hanging out in nature and
01:46:37.300 then researchers ask you like how do you feel and you're like yeah i'm pretty relaxed right it's
01:46:40.920 like yeah people like days off yeah you might have gotten the same effect from people playing
01:46:45.240 video games all day there's a lot of uh selection bias in a lot of these studies where it's like
01:46:50.820 wow people who go on walks say that they like them it's like really people who yeah enjoy going on
01:46:55.980 walks are going on walks. Wow. What an insight, you know, like you need to flesh it out a little
01:47:01.080 bit. I want to talk a little bit about what I think is one of the harms of the book. I don't
01:47:05.540 want to go overboard because we've read way more harmful books than this. But I think when we find
01:47:10.800 like, you know, bad parenting and harmful parenting, it's often along the lines of like,
01:47:15.480 you must do this specific thing, right? You must become a doctor. You must do ballet, right? You
01:47:20.300 have this very specific thing in mind. And Haidt is basically doing this with like nature. He has
01:47:25.220 this idea that like being outside is intrinsically good for you and being on your phone is intrinsically
01:47:29.380 bad for you. This just doesn't show up in the literature at all. There's tons of studies
01:47:33.400 on extracurricular activities. And I read this really interesting, almost like philosophical
01:47:38.000 meta-analysis of this that, you know, you constantly see these econometric studies that
01:47:43.120 are like, you know, kids who played baseball were 6% less likely to be depressed than kids who
01:47:46.860 didn't play baseball or whatever. And what that actually means in practice is that kids who play
01:47:51.080 baseball, some of them are more depressed, some of them nothing, and some of them are less
01:47:54.920 depressed. And so you're talking about like a normal distribution, like a bell curve. And that
01:47:58.460 bell curve kind of moves back and forth depending on the activity. But for any activity, some kids
01:48:03.420 are going to like be more depressed after they do it. And some kids are going to be less depressed
01:48:06.600 after they do it. It's not really about the specific activity. It's whether or not the kids
01:48:11.380 like the activity and they get an in-group identity from that activity. And so some kids
01:48:16.020 really love nature. And I think every kid should be given the option of going out in nature. I
01:48:19.660 think it's a great idea for parents to like introduce their kids like maybe you really like 0.93
01:48:22.460 hiking and camping let's let's try that out right but some kids don't like fucking nature right and
01:48:27.640 that's fine and the most harmful thing that you can do to a kid is you know you go on a camping 0.70
01:48:32.000 trip and your kid's like oh this isn't really my thing and you're like no we're gonna go next
01:48:35.120 weekend you're gonna do something outside because it's good yeah yeah and that's awful like what
01:48:39.240 is so important for kids is finding groups that give them meaning and that's gonna be different 0.98
01:48:43.640 for every fucking kid. It took me so long to realize that I just hate running because so 0.97
01:48:49.640 many people told me, if you just get out there after that first couple of miles, you're going
01:48:55.980 to feel incredible and you're going to want to do it for the rest of your life. I tried to make
01:49:00.000 myself a runner for so long before one day it just sort of hit me when I heard someone talking about 0.99
01:49:05.840 this that I was like, I fucking hate that. In this study, they do talk about how the specific 0.73
01:49:10.460 activity matters way less than they say like the micro level components of the participation or
01:49:16.440 whatever which is basically academic ease for like what's the specific of the situation right
01:49:21.580 so as far as outdoor stuff goes i was in a boy scout troop which was like one of the worst things
01:49:26.680 that ever happened to me like our boy scout leader was like an alcoholic who like used to
01:49:30.880 show up drunk and like give us beer at like 16 and then the two scout leader dudes were like
01:49:36.780 psychopaths that, like, would make kids eat out of the dumpster as, like, an initiation thing.
01:49:42.080 What are you talking about?
01:49:43.280 Seriously. And, like, even at, like, age nine, I was like, I don't think initiation is, like,
01:49:48.200 a part of being in Boy Scouts. I think this is bad. And, like, that was my experience of the
01:49:53.380 outdoors.
01:49:54.160 That's what Teddy Roosevelt would have wanted.
01:49:55.960 The main thing I took from the study was that the intrinsic structural components of any
01:50:01.020 extracurricular activity are not going to be so powerful that they overwhelm the specific dynamics
01:50:07.260 right that you're thrown into so like at your school maybe the soccer coach is like a complete 0.99
01:50:13.920 fucking asshole and the head of the chess club is like a really good dude who creates a really 0.99
01:50:20.340 wholesome supportive environment for kids the fact that soccer is outdoors and chess is indoors 1.00
01:50:27.680 is just not that important ultimately, right?
01:50:30.260 Or maybe you just don't like chess,
01:50:31.620 but there is something out there
01:50:33.500 that will become a positive outlet for you.
01:50:35.640 I don't want to make it sound like I'm making fun
01:50:37.420 of the concept of like therapeutic gardening
01:50:39.440 or like surfing therapy.
01:50:40.900 If you like surfing, it's going to be therapeutic.
01:50:43.160 If you like gardening, it's going to be therapeutic.
01:50:45.300 And like, I spoke to kids for this
01:50:47.240 who got a huge amount of meaning and community
01:50:50.620 from their activities online.
01:50:52.900 And it would be really weird to like force those kids
01:50:57.040 like out into the wilderness in the same way that it would be really weird to take a kid who like
01:51:02.460 really loves hiking and camping and like force them to go inside and write fan fiction now those
01:51:08.520 kids need to be writing twilight porn all right so before we get into my sort of wrap-up thoughts
01:51:16.280 on the book and the main bigger reason i think this solution section is bad i just i i have a 0.97
01:51:22.340 little section of my notes called like, what is this guy's fucking deal? And I just want to watch 0.83
01:51:27.400 a clip because I, it brought me to a sort of grand unifying theory of Jonathan Haidt. Okay.
01:51:34.500 What most alarmed me when I, when I heard the, the, um, the Tristan Harris podcast was the,
01:51:40.060 the ease of influencing American kids to, to be pro this or pro that on any political issue.
01:51:47.280 Right. You're seeing that with Palestine and Gaza.
01:51:51.040 Yeah, I think so.
01:51:51.860 Well, it's very obvious with many things with TikTok, trans stuff, and there's a lot of different things that they're encouraging.
01:52:01.960 And, you know, people that are opposed to that are being banned, which is also very odd.
01:52:08.360 And specifically like female athletes, we had Riley Gaines, who was the female athlete that competed against Leah Thomas.
01:52:14.640 And she has said that male, biologically male athletes should not be able to compete with biologically female athletes because they have a significant advantage.
01:52:23.640 And she was banned from TikTok just for saying that.
01:52:26.560 Yeah, that's right.
01:52:27.620 So this relates to the larger issue that we talked about last time and that I hope we'll continue to talk about today, which is that social media has brought us into an environment in which anyone has the ability to really harm anyone else.
01:52:41.380 There's an extraordinary amount of intimidation available via social media.
01:52:45.700 And so this has led the leaders of all kinds of organizations to run scared.
01:52:50.640 Greg Lukianoff and I saw this in universities.
01:52:53.460 Why don't the university president stand up to the protesters who are shouting down visiting speakers?
01:52:58.160 And then we saw it in journalism, newspapers and editors who wouldn't stand up for journalistic principles.
01:53:03.160 And so I think what has happened here is that social media allows whoever is angriest and can mobilize the most force to threaten, to harass, to surround, to mob anyone.
01:53:17.020 And when people are afraid to say something, that's when you get the crazy distortions that we saw on campus or that Riley Gaines was seeing too, just that people are afraid to speak up.
01:53:27.820 And in a democracy, in a large, secular, diverse democracy, we have to be able to talk about things.
01:53:37.620 It's like you can't even say certain things anymore without everyone getting mad at you online.
01:53:44.100 Riley Gaines is still on TikTok, by the way.
01:53:45.980 Yeah, of course. 0.99
01:53:46.680 I don't know what the fuck he's talking about. 0.99
01:53:47.980 Whatever. 0.99
01:53:48.400 When you listen to his interviews and when you really go through the book, you don't get the sense of somebody who truly cares about teen mental health.
01:53:56.360 you get the sense of somebody who hates social media yeah the experience of social media that
01:54:02.000 he's describing here where like everybody's walking on eggshells and you can get yelled
01:54:06.400 at at any time and it's bringing out the worst in people that is not the experience of like a 13
01:54:11.940 year old girl on instagram that is the experience of a middle-aged center-right political pundit
01:54:18.700 on like twitter and substack yeah throughout this book he shows no interest in what kids are
01:54:24.460 actually doing on their phones. Like you learn nothing about teenage social media use from
01:54:29.360 reading this book. Like I think there's something more complicated to this than just a straightforward
01:54:33.640 moral panic, but he speaks about social media the way that previous moral panickers talked about TV
01:54:41.200 and video games. God damn it. He says in this like awestruck section of the book, he says, 0.99
01:54:46.680 social media is a fountain of bedevilments. It trains people to think in ways that are exactly
01:54:52.660 contrary to the world's wisdom traditions here we go think about yourself first be materialistic
01:54:58.060 judgmental boastful and petty seek glory as quantified by likes and followers yeah here's 0.99
01:55:04.060 this dumb conservative bullshit one thing that is sort of easy to forget about all of his solutions 0.99
01:55:10.120 is that none of them are about teen mental health yep all of his solutions are about getting kids 1.00
01:55:15.520 off their phones you see it with the uh the way they were talking about gaza they just believe
01:55:21.600 that there is no way that young people could organically be left of center.
01:55:27.280 Totally.
01:55:27.600 That young people are just sort of looking at the course of events in Palestine and 0.85
01:55:32.180 siding with Palestinians. 0.88
01:55:34.000 There's surely something off here. 1.00
01:55:36.000 It's perhaps the Chinese trying to meddle or something similar. 1.00
01:55:40.200 I also am like fairly uncomfortable with like, you know, this guy's kind of out in front 1.00
01:55:43.780 leading this societal conversation about this issue.
01:55:46.180 And like the way that he speaks about actual teenagers is really stigmatizing.
01:55:49.320 And this analysis of just like they lack resiliency, they're too fragile, they've been coddled their whole lives is a terrible starting point for a useful conversation about how to help treat mental illness among teenagers.
01:56:03.420 Yeah.
01:56:03.840 And one thing that I found when I spoke to Amy Orban and Andrew Shabilsky for this is that both of them said that like a much more productive way to think about this is not like social media is harming teens.
01:56:13.440 A better way is there's a teen access to treatment crisis in America.
01:56:18.920 Yeah. Teens have some of the highest rates of mental health problems and some of the lowest rates of access to care. Right. And when I talked to Emily Weinstein, this researcher who's interviewed hundreds of kids, she said like the most important thing that sticks out to her is that like kids want recognition. Kids want to feel real. They want to feel like adults. They want to feel like they're being listened to.
01:56:38.320 And there's nothing in John Haidt's book, like for all of his advice to parents, right?
01:56:42.960 It's all about like controlling the way that they use the internet.
01:56:45.500 There's nothing about just like make sure your kids know that you love and support them
01:56:50.300 no matter what, right?
01:56:51.320 That's a way bigger predictor of teen mental health problems than what they're doing on
01:56:55.800 their phones.
01:56:56.520 Well, it doesn't feel like that's Haidt's like fundamental concern, right?
01:57:00.400 It feels like when you listen to the Rogan clip, it feels like what he's talking about
01:57:05.780 is like are you sort of losing control of your child's life in uh in ways that are hard to
01:57:13.380 pinpoint like your child's politics are drifting and they're becoming sexually active for example
01:57:20.140 and you the parent are confused because not only are these normal things happening but they're
01:57:27.220 happening within the confines of a social world that you no longer completely understand yes this
01:57:34.280 book is for all the parents who go, you didn't clean your room because you're always on your
01:57:38.320 phone. Right. That's who it is for. And that's what it is for. Right. If he took the issue of
01:57:42.740 teen mental health remotely seriously, this book would contain some teen mental health
01:57:48.360 interventions. There's actually a lot that we can be doing. There's a lot of stuff with like
01:57:53.180 screening and intervention. You know, we know a lot of the precursors of like very severe
01:57:58.680 suicidal episodes. And a lot of it is like experiencing bullying. Oftentimes kids who
01:58:03.540 bully other kids are at very high risk of suicide. I read a really interesting article about like the
01:58:08.440 role of school nurses in just like identifying like, oh, this kid might actually be struggling
01:58:12.620 or there might be some things at home. You know, there's also some like logistical things that he
01:58:16.600 doesn't seem all that interested in. There's actually some evidence that states that pass
01:58:21.160 anti-bullying laws basically requiring schools to have anti-bullying plans and policies in place
01:58:26.400 have lower rates of suicide. There's also things like restrictions on firearms. Like boys are four
01:58:32.180 times more likely to kill themselves than girls, and they tend to use firearms. The greatest 1.00
01:58:38.360 predictor of killing yourself is having a previous suicide attempt. So those kids really need to be
01:58:44.800 watched and understood. Kids that have other mental health conditions that they're struggling
01:58:48.340 with, it's like there's logistical obvious things that we need to do to address the teen mental
01:58:54.220 health crisis, but those require resources, right? I mean, it's something that he sort of mentions
01:58:58.260 offhand in the book but doesn't really dig into is like poor kids are more likely to kill themselves
01:59:02.860 than rich kids. And they're also more likely to use their phones than rich kids. And whether or
01:59:06.940 not you think that's causal, like that, that's where the resources need to go. There are things
01:59:11.740 that are directed at the people who are at the highest risk of mental health problems that he
01:59:17.580 just is not interested in at all. And this is sort of another manifestation of his general lack of
01:59:24.440 interest in the nuance here. I think you can probably ascertain that social media has negative
01:59:31.340 effects on certain kids in certain situations in certain regards. And you can either drill down on
01:59:38.660 that or you can be like, well, then we got to get rid of phones. What about the odd walks? Are the
01:59:42.520 kids walking in Washington Square Park? Are they looking at trees? Let those kids loose in
01:59:46.560 Washington Square Park. I think like a busing plan, a nationwide busing plan, sending them to
01:59:52.620 Washington Square Park. If you think if you think kids are helped by walking freely around New York
01:59:58.080 City, I want you to go speak to one young adult who grew up in New York City and tell me that
02:00:02.500 that kid's okay.