00:00:30.000so the year in worst takes the year in bad takes uh this was an incredible year for bad takes this
00:00:50.100was one of the championship worst takes years we have sort of kept tabs on the worst takes of the
00:00:57.140year yes and i think that means that we have we have between us the actual worst takes of the
00:01:02.060year this is the definitive list number one people saying that i was too nice to elon musk
00:01:07.040no recency bias either just this week what you've been thinking about no recency bias
00:01:13.520just the last blue sky reply i got the only thing you've been thinking and uh texting me about for1.00
00:01:19.120the last two weeks you do a two-parter about how this guy is the biggest piece of shit on earth0.98
00:01:22.960And then at one point you're like, hey, and by the way, he knows how to do vertical integration.1.00
00:01:27.700And then people are like, Peter, you're a sucker.0.96
00:01:29.800As usual, I am using this as an opportunity to reflect on the year that has come behind us.0.98
00:01:36.540I think politically the central fact of this year was that it became undeniable that we're in the middle of an authoritarian resurgence.0.70
00:01:43.560It's really fucking obvious what has happened to the United States at this point.
00:01:46.700And so the op-ed pages of the country had to like deal with it.0.87
00:01:51.420Like, what are they going to do as this becomes just increasingly thuddingly obvious?
00:07:30.480Even so, the commander in chief has a right to engage with the military that Americans elected him to lead.
00:07:36.140The responsibility of the military and of the country is to look past the president's hollow solipsism and embrace the men and women who defend the United States.
00:08:32.120And these people don't think that their job is, like, to contextualize this.
00:08:36.320Like, you could easily talk about, like, how Kim Jong-un does this, how other countries have militarized as they've fallen down the slope into authoritarianism.
00:09:05.220So you end up getting these contrarian takes and the bar for the takes that they are willing to entertain as long as they're contrarian is super low.
00:09:18.300What I'm so amazed at is how people don't seem to be able to notice, like, how dumb a lot of these arguments are.0.69
00:09:25.340Like, you think it's bad that your next door neighbor is beating his wife.0.98
00:09:29.140But if he wasn't beating his wife, you would feel differently.
00:10:29.540This is part of a genre of early 2025 takes that were sort of like taking for granted
00:10:37.880that the left and liberals and Democrats, that they had suffered a defeat that really meant
00:10:46.180the end of the project and that we needed to sort of re-envision what the left and liberalism was
00:10:51.980going to look like moving forward because clearly it had failed, right? Donald Trump had risen back
00:10:56.220up. This, of course, did not happen after 2020 when Joe Biden won. It did not happen in the 2025
00:11:01.400elections when Democrats soundly beat Republicans? Of course not. But the 2025 elections are what I
00:11:08.540think flips all of this on its head. Because a year ago, everyone was like, Democrats have
00:11:15.380taken a set of positions that the public hates, despises, and they need to completely revamp.
00:11:23.120A few months later, they clear out the competition in all these major elections,
00:11:29.920Right. When the governorships in New Jersey and Virginia, all of the trends that the pundits were pointing towards as like the death knell for the Democratic Party flipped back.
00:11:44.880Did all of the pundits who were like, well, you know, the shift in the Hispanic vote has completely changed the game.
00:11:50.880Did they write their apologies in November?
00:14:37.100I am going to send you a little bit more here.
00:14:39.220What comes next might be a more conventional politics, one still grounded in resistance, but perhaps of a quieter type.
00:14:45.800When Trump signed his executive order to end birthright citizenship, the governors and attorneys general of more than 20 states sued to stop him.
00:14:52.240Mass protest wasn't required, nor were calls for a fresh anti-fascist movement.
00:15:19.780When Trump was entering office, when like when you saw the executive orders piling up, it's hard to believe that this person analyzes politics for a living.
00:15:28.360You're basically taking the first three months or the first like two months of an administration and just being like, well, this is how it's going to be forever.
00:15:34.800Democrats were licking their wounds for a bit.
00:15:36.760I think we were all sort of exhausted.
00:16:02.940He says that that is ordinary because the opposition to it manifested in the courts rather than in protests, which isn't even entirely true.
00:16:12.000it's like entirely about procedure and optics to these guys right it's like oh finally normal
00:16:18.840politics they're ending birthright citizenship why do these people think that their job is like0.98
00:16:22.900to predict things this is just like this the the original sin of all of this shit imagine imagine0.93
00:16:28.060like like you're writing this like like hitler takes power in 33 and you're like finally things0.93
00:16:33.500are calming down uh do you want to do the next category yeah if i had spent the last four years
00:16:38.480of my life, talking about how campus sophomores were a threat to free speech and how the left
00:16:44.080was drifting into totalitarianism. And then we have an authoritarian movement rising that I
00:16:49.740did not raise an alarm about at all. I might reflect on how I had spent my career. I might
00:16:55.200change the way that I cover events in American politics. I'm about to read you some headlines
00:17:00.560from Persuasion, the newsletter of Reactionary Center's final boss, Yasha Monk. So these are
00:26:47.060The political shifts in 2025 have demonstrated how incorrect this is.
00:26:51.640Also, I mean, maybe you're going to get into this, but also I've been working on a project kind of in the background about the actual campaign rhetoric in 2024.
00:26:59.240Kamala Harris did not say the word transgender a single time in any official campaign materials.
00:27:04.700Like they did not run on transgender rights.0.99
00:27:06.760they just didn't. They made they made a very specific effort to avoid it. Yeah. You know,1.00
00:27:11.380I guess I guess there's this holistic argument that it's like associated with the party regardless,
00:27:15.300which might is probably true to some degree. But then that's going to be true. Even if Democrats
00:27:19.220run to the center, which everybody keeps telling him to do, that's going to be there next time,
00:27:22.900too. So what is the actual advice here? Democrats proposed an extremely aggressive
00:27:28.600anti-immigration bill in 2024. Yeah, exactly. And Republicans shot it down because they didn't want
00:27:34.300to give Biden that sort of win, right?
00:28:30.160Democrats need to do what they're already doing.
00:28:31.460So I'm going to have you read this, and then I'm going to have you read one of the following paragraphs.
00:28:36.340In some areas, Democratic politicians, taking cues from liberal advocacy groups, found themselves signing onto positions about which even their own voters were uncertain and have become more so in recent years.
00:28:47.240This is particularly true of transgender rights, where polls now show majority support for some restrictions that advocates have fiercely opposed and have sought to hold politicians accountable for backing.
00:28:56.280This is basically like the right wing's been winning the messaging war, so we need to surrender.0.98
00:29:00.980And it's like, I don't think that is how this shit works.0.99
00:29:03.780I think that what actually happens is that no matter what you do, you can be as anti-trans0.99
00:31:21.780You're signing on to something that is equivalent to climate change is not real, the 2020 election was stolen, vaccines cause autism.
00:31:28.880And so what you need to do is push back against the conspiracy myths.0.99
00:31:31.640Right now, there is a megaphone from the right talking shit about trans people and nothing from the left saying anything good about trans people.0.97
00:31:38.520A lot of people who are low engagement with politics are just hearing like kids are transitioning, irreversible medical care for like an 11-year-old who doesn't know what's going on.0.98
00:31:48.760Which is not happening, but that's what they're hearing, yeah.
00:31:50.880It's not happening now. If it doesn't happen even less, they will still think that, right?
00:32:07.840Because it was never a genuine policy concern to begin with.
00:32:10.980I think this is actually one of the lessons from the 2024 campaign. If you look at interviews with Kamala Harris, she was asked directly numerous times about transgender rights, and she would change the subject.
00:32:20.880She'd be like, well, I'm not really concerned about that.
00:32:22.720What I'm concerned about is middle class wages.
00:32:24.740Why don't we transition into another topic?0.97
00:32:27.140But she literally, it's like she was pressed on this and she did the thing that people0.85
00:32:30.480hate to see politicians doing where they will not answer a question.
00:32:34.120So that pisses off trans people, that pisses off trans folks, and it pisses off everybody0.99
00:32:37.660who just sees a fucking politician worming out of a question, right?0.99
00:36:51.180For people in higher education, this is a moment both to be bolder about trumpeting its strengths and to be more reflective about addressing its weaknesses.
00:36:57.900About those shortcomings, too many professors and university administrators acted in recent years as liberal ideologues rather than seekers of empirical truth.
00:42:17.660This is this is the sort of analysis that I think like it's like, OK, you're poking at this real thing, which is that like a ton of the Epstein discourse is like entangled with conspiracism.
00:42:27.860No, no question about that. But like also a huge shocking percentage of American elites had some tie to this guy who was a known pedo.0.71
00:42:40.860right it's very weird to be like oh this is just because people assume the american elite is
00:42:46.980totally evil and it's like no there's an actual interesting thing going on here and also you0.98
00:42:52.300can't say it's conspiracism when this is true i think it's such a classic dumbass defense to be0.99
00:42:58.480like so you're saying oh so you're saying the american elite is totally evil like no i'm not0.98
00:43:03.200saying that people are saying the american elite are covering for evil which is precisely what you
00:43:06.920are doing right now in this column right also what happened to mr moral clarity over here his
00:43:11.500whole thing is like about morality like shouldn't you be offended at the immorality of what's going0.98
00:43:16.400on about your fucking friends being so grossly immoral but the immorality you're complaining0.97
00:43:22.420about is like the people who are upset about this thing that happened he says what i don't1.00
00:43:26.980understand is why some democrats are hopping on this bandwagon they may believe that the epstein
00:43:32.120file release will somehow hurt trump but they are undermining public trust and sowing public
00:43:37.360cynicism in ways that make the entire progressive project impossible why is it progressives fault
00:43:42.320they are contributing to a public atmosphere in which right-wing populism naturally thrives0.99
00:43:47.100contributing to an atmosphere of such fucking weasel garbage what does that even mean dude0.99
00:43:50.760they're trying to get the truth out about how fucking bad this was like having the files released0.98
00:43:55.360doesn't feed right into the conspiracy any more than not having the files released right it's0.89
00:44:01.000I saying like lead in the pipes, like investigating how much lead in the pipes there is feeds the kind0.98
00:44:05.260of conspiracism that like resorts to chemtrails and shit. It's like, well, one of them is true0.93
00:44:08.900and one of them is false. We should actually insist on getting true things out into the
00:44:13.060public and debunking things that are not true. He says, these are genuine challenges. If I were
00:44:16.940a democratic politician, I might try telling the truth, which in my version would go something
00:44:21.200like this. The elites didn't betray you, but they did ignore you. They didn't mean to harm you,
00:44:26.720But they didn't see you in the 1970s as deindustrialization took your jobs in the ensuing decades as your families and communities broke apart during all those decades when high immigration levels made you feel like a stranger in your own land.
00:44:38.980It's like, oh, yeah, let's not feed into right wing conspiracism.