00:08:50.860One of the things to really say, and this isn't something that is really disputed,
00:08:56.260if you really get down to it, is that like gender affirming care in adults is extremely successful.
00:09:01.020I mean, we're talking about regret rates that are like one half to one third what regret rates are for like nose jobs and like knee replacements.
00:09:07.780Like people really feel better after they get this kind of care.
00:09:12.900It's still preliminary, but there's early results from a survey of 90,000 trans people and among people who have been taking hormones.
00:09:20.960The regret, like I strongly regret getting this is under 1% and just kind of transition in general.
00:09:27.140it's only 3% of people say that they're either less satisfied with their life or like very
00:09:32.380unsatisfied with their life. There's also a systematic review that looks at 55 studies
00:09:37.340of gender-affirming care in adults. 51 out of 55 find that gender transition improves well-being.
00:09:44.540And the other four find mixed results or just like no finding at all. So basically you can't
00:09:50.660find studies that find harms. Like I'm worse off. And so again, I mean, this is a show about like
00:09:56.520the foibles of having overconfidence in medical research and overconfidence in existing medical
00:10:02.940systems. And so I'm not going to say that like every single person who's ever gotten
00:10:06.940gender affirming care loves it and it's perfect in every way. Like this is a field that continues
00:10:11.260to be refined, but there are very few fields in medicine and medical procedures for which you find
00:10:18.420this kind of satisfaction. The idea that there are simply two genders is something that we have0.98
00:10:25.720built up so many systems around. It's a major organizing principle. And I think part of what0.74
00:10:34.280happens for this stuff is that people feel this sense of like worldview upheaval happening and
00:10:40.020they take it out on trans people who are the people who they see as being responsible for
00:10:44.440that worldview upheaval, right? So basically, as we start getting more and more data on gender
00:10:50.220affirming care and how it makes people more satisfied with their lives, it sort of makes
00:10:53.980sense to people in the field that we have this kind of care that works for adults. And we know
00:11:00.180that a lot of trans people, not all, but many trans people start to show signs of being trans
00:11:05.500at like four years old. We should probably start to explore this for kids. And so another thing
00:11:11.960that Jules Gil-Peterson mentioned was that, again, this is not the first care for trans adolescents,
00:11:17.220but the care for trans adolescents had always just been conversion therapy. They're like,0.96
00:11:20.820i'm a girl no you're not that was basically how it worked and so basically everything else they've
00:11:25.140tried manifestly isn't working right and so they're like okay as a last resort let's try
00:11:32.080like affirming these kids gender and so in 1987 the first clinic in the netherlands starts providing
00:11:39.140the first gender affirming care to kids in 1997 we get the first study that is published of these
00:11:46.640like very early patients actually i was gonna this isn't yellow but i'm gonna send it to you
00:11:51.240usually it's in green oh it's not in anything it's just in well for you when i pasted it's
00:11:55.240nothing but for me it's a good thing we had that lead up then fascinating fascinating look behind
00:12:02.980the scenes scintillating peek behind the cushion if you sign up on patreon this is the stuff you get
00:12:09.560it's it's pure gold but i can't see the gold
00:12:17.140adolescence is a phase in which many identities e.g political or religious are developed
00:12:26.040professionals fear that experimenting with certain aspects of gender such as gender role behavior
00:12:31.020will lead adolescents to conclude that they have a gender identity problem and that they will as a
00:12:36.640result wrongly seek a medical means of resolving their confusion. The chance of making the wrong
00:12:43.020diagnosis and the consequent risk of postoperative regret is therefore felt to be higher in
00:12:48.760adolescence than in adults. I think that this is the heart of all of the anxieties around this
00:12:54.460issue, especially from people that haven't had gender dysphoria as kids, is that you think about
00:12:59.100your time as an adolescent and you're like, yeah, I was playing around with my identity. You know,
00:13:03.400you're a goth this week and you're a prep the next week and you are in different social groups.
00:13:07.740And, you know, we want to make sure that we're establishing that kids are really trans and
00:13:12.100really sort of settled in this identity before they get any kind of irreversible medical procedures.
00:13:16.760That's something that strikes most people as like fairly reasonable, right? But the reason why I
00:13:22.080wanted to include this is it shows that from literally the first study on this, the doctors
00:13:28.080know this too the the idea that like this extremely obvious thing is not also obvious to the doctors
00:13:34.760who are who are practicing this kind of medicine is like fairly implausible and it shows up in the
00:13:40.060studies they're like hey look we know this is the time when kids are experimenting and that might
00:13:44.080include some like gender expression experimentation and so we want to make sure in this field that
00:13:49.360we're you know we're talking to the kids we're getting some kind of holistic assessment this is
00:13:52.800something that the field has been aware of since literally day one i'm in the bag for big child
00:13:58.100i'm in the pocket of big child i was you know raised by a lady who's an early childhood brain
00:14:04.700development expert that was her her field piaget hive rise up her assessment has very consistently
00:14:13.640been that like our issues around children are that we don't believe them when they tell us
00:14:18.500what's going on yeah like we get ourselves into really sticky situations when we decide that
00:14:24.580children as a whole are unreliable narrators like necessarily that's not a carte blanche i believe
00:14:31.200you when you say there's a monster under your bed right but that is a you're telling me there's a
00:14:36.020monster under your bed and i believe that you're really afraid of something and that fear deserves
00:14:40.420tending to and so this first study kind of sets a precedent of like a lot of the further studies
00:14:45.100The study, they basically look at the first 22 kids who got gender-affirming care, and they ask them three years later, are you happy about it?
00:15:20.800They find a reduction in suicide attempts.
00:15:23.700We also get the first studies out of the UK gender clinic.
00:15:27.360One of them follows 201 kids and finds improved psychological functioning.
00:15:31.840In 2014, we get a study that follows 55 patients for an average of seven years, and they find
00:15:38.620that they have the same mental health markers as cisgender kids.
00:15:42.240which is actually huge because trans kids tend to have higher rates of depression, anxiety, suicidality, lower quality of life,0.53
00:15:49.940and of course, higher gender dysphoria than cis kids.0.98
00:15:53.300And so the fact that if we're intervening early enough, it's like, holy shit, these kids are roughly the same as their cisgender peers.0.98
00:15:59.580That's actually like a really big deal.0.97
00:16:01.700That phenomenon is something that I feel like I observe more sort of weaponized by like deeply anti-trans folks
00:16:08.780than like understood with compassion as like oh my god we could tackle a bunch of mental health
00:16:14.880stuff before it even really develops right yeah but it very often ends up being like look at these0.74
00:16:20.440unstable trans people right yeah exactly more often how that gets billed so i just want to
00:16:26.200pause here in like 2014 2015 to say that like all of what we're seeing in youth gender-affirming care
00:16:34.060medicine at this point is like fairly standard right we do this with lots of other medical
00:16:37.760treatments. We have this thing that seems to work in adults. Over time, we kind of slowly expand it
00:16:43.200to kids, right? We have like a migraine treatment that's like, hey, it works in adults. Let's see
00:16:47.620if it works in kids. As you get more data, you kind of make bigger studies and you start giving
00:16:52.240it to more kids and you just develop like a body of research over time. You know, this is a podcast
00:16:58.600that, you know, has criticized other studies for being really small. And like a lot of these early
00:17:04.060studies are on like, yeah, 100, 200 kids. They're really small. So we're not going to say that we've
00:17:10.060established that this care is like definitively great for every single person who gets it under
00:17:14.700every single circumstance. But yeah, this is promising enough to continue doing it and to
00:17:19.300continue doing it on larger numbers of kids. And this is essentially what has happened, right? In
00:17:23.900the first two decades of this field, you have a lot of small studies coming out, mostly because
00:17:28.260you're simply not giving this care to that many kids, right? The clinic in the Netherlands says
00:17:33.140they have nine patients per year for the first couple years. This isn't really a debate about
00:17:39.400like, is this the perfect care for every single person all the time or not? It's like, is this
00:17:44.560promising enough to keep giving it to people? And at this point, it would be bananas to stop
00:17:51.820giving care to kids on the basis of the fact that there aren't larger studies when large studies
00:17:57.000are literally impossible. It becomes this sort of chicken or the egg thing, which is like,
00:18:01.980we need larger studies in order to provide more care to more trans people and we can't provide
00:18:09.460more care to more trans people until we have larger studies exactly so what we have basically
00:18:15.660is is the the field exploring gender affirming care for kids throughout the 2000s 2010s but
00:18:21.980that's all kind of under the radar i don't know about you i i like was not aware of this at all
00:18:26.280until it started showing up in popular media and kind of the mid 2010s it's like you know it's a
00:19:48.380And it's sort of like at the time, the Christian right, they just lost, right?
00:19:52.620like gay marriage you know in public polling in the law is recognized everywhere yeah there's a
00:19:57.900lot of all of a sudden there was a lot of anti-porn advocacy which yeah yeah yeah it's like
00:20:04.060you guys just have free time it was just a real mission drift moment of like yeah we lost our
00:20:08.960thing and unfortunately they have found their new thing what you start seeing is these inklings of0.99
00:20:13.880this issue of what they call gender confusion right that's the whole fucking trans trender1.00
00:20:20.480fucking bull. Yeah. And like, this is the way that they conceive of like trans people just1.00
00:20:26.640like as a group is basically people that people that, you know, as kids, they're confused as0.99
00:20:31.100adults, they're like sex perverts. I mean, that's the thing that I find really remarkable0.97
00:20:34.800about so much of the sort of both the studies and the discourse around this is that it feels
00:20:40.300like there's so little accounting for the immense force of transphobia. Aubrey, I just want to point
00:20:46.540out that we've been recording for 40 minutes and you haven't done any reply guy shit not one reply0.92
00:20:51.900guy the duality of the show is that you can't pretend to be a reply guy and i can't pretend0.82
00:20:56.740not to be a reply guy for like even five minutes neither one of us can listen our identities on
00:21:02.580this are consistent and persistent that's actually the perfect metaphor for this we can stop now
00:21:09.740it doesn't work so for this i interviewed uh julia serrano who is a biologist wonderful
00:21:17.040yeah like i'm drawing heavily on her work she has a very detailed timeline the way that she
00:21:23.520described it was there there's just kind of these like swirling anxieties right because a lot of
00:21:29.960parents are reading these articles and so in 2015 we have the establishment of three websites
00:21:37.520the first is called fourth wave now which is supposed to be referenced to like fourth wave
00:21:42.920feminism wow uh-oh i hate it so this is an excerpt from the about page you should probably
00:21:50.600do a british accent for all these because whenever i think of transphobia it's in a british accent
00:21:54.340in my head they're mutating the kids no no no absolutely not they do that was impeccable governor
00:22:02.180fourth wave now was started by the mother of a teenage girl who suddenly announced she was a
00:22:13.660quote-unquote trans man after a few weeks of total immersion in youtube transition vlogs
00:22:20.560the daughter has since desisted from identifying as transgender after much research and fruitless
00:22:27.540searching for an alternative online viewpoint, this mom began writing about her deepening
00:22:32.820skepticism of the ever accelerating medical and media fascination with the phenomenon of
00:22:39.660quote unquote, transgender children. Boy, oh boy, the level of scare quotes in this.
00:22:45.960There's a weird, like reluctance to identify these as like transphobic websites. But I feel
00:22:52.640Like if you're putting the term trans man and transgender children in quotes, remember
00:22:58.520in the 90s how they used to put gay marriage in quotes in like extreme rate publications?
00:23:04.620It was like, like they're trying to call wives and wives.
00:23:08.440I think we can be comfortable looking back on that and being like that this was homophobic.
00:23:12.300If you look through the archives of this website, it's every single post is about how, you
00:23:18.580know discrimination against trans people is kind of overblown and the suicide rates aren't really
00:23:23.380all that high you know some of the post titles are neuroplasticity the gaping logic hole in the
00:23:30.200transgender house of cards another one's called how is this not a cult another one is baby boomer's
00:23:36.620head explodes how did identity politics gain all this traction oh good it's part of identity
00:23:41.640politics discourse exactly there's i was going to read you a whole paragraph but it's so boring
00:23:45.740they also have some like soros stuff so there's a post called the open society foundations and0.89
00:23:52.220the transgender movement oh fuck maybe you don't want to say it's transphobic i i don't know if i0.96
00:23:56.820really want to litigate that but like this is an anti-trans blog this is a blog of anti-trans0.99
00:24:01.460messages i think that's like pretty well established i think we can probably all agree0.97
00:24:05.380at this point that like ex-gay conversion therapy is also like a pretty fucking homophobic venture0.99
00:24:11.120right? And the contours of the sort of debate around the existence of trans people0.97
00:24:18.000are really similar to that. You aren't who you say you are. You can't be trusted to narrate
00:24:22.980your own identity. I would say actually, arguably the unreliable narrators of their own identity
00:24:28.560are people who display this kind of gatekeeping to other people's identities. If you're doing
00:24:35.860this kind of thing, I don't know that you get to decide if your actions are bigoted or not.
00:24:40.640So that's one of them. That's fourth wave now. There's another one called Transgender Trend,
00:24:45.920which I'm going to send you. Oh, fuck off. I know. We are an organization of parents,1.00
00:24:52.080professionals, and academics based in the UK who are concerned about the current trend to0.97
00:24:58.000diagnose children as transgender, including the unprecedented number of teenage girls
00:25:04.240suddenly self-identifying as quote-unquote trans suddenly we are also concerned about legislation
00:25:11.160which places transgender rights above the right to safety for girls and young women in public
00:25:18.280toilets and changing rooms along with fairness for girls in sport it's about fairness in girl0.84
00:25:24.220sports this like idea that this gives aid and comfort to people who want to sexually assault
00:25:31.760girls and women. That's the one where I'm like, I don't know how you see this as anything other
00:25:37.580than bigotry. Well, this is this is what's so fascinating to me is like, you know, slippery
00:25:41.260slope arguments are a mainstay of conservative rhetoric, right? It's like a man's gonna marry
00:25:45.940his horse or whatever. But what's wild about the bathroom stuff, the trans bathroom stuff,1.00
00:25:50.600is that the slippery slope they're warning of is already in place. People already use whatever1.00
00:25:55.680fucking bathroom they want. What I would say to a paragraph like this is it sounds like you're0.99
00:26:00.000really concerned with sexual assault, what is your work here on actual sexual assault, right?
00:26:08.120It's very strange to be like, I'm very concerned about sexual assault. Therefore, man, do I hate
00:26:14.080trans people, right? Or like, I don't trust them, right? Where you're like, that's not a one-to-one.1.00
00:26:19.640Those are two disconnected statements that you are making.
00:26:23.320So those are the first two websites. There's also one called youthtranscriticalprofessionals.org,
00:26:29.060which we're not going to go as far into. It's now defunct. But it's basically the same thing.
00:26:33.260We're medical professionals. We're doctors. And we're concerned about the medicalization
00:26:36.980of trans kids, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. So these websites pop up in 2015. On February 20th,
00:26:44.3202016, we have the first ever claim that social contagion is the reason why kids are trans.0.98
00:26:53.460this appears as a comment on the about page for fourth wave now boy oh fucking boy we're gonna0.73
00:27:02.680we're gonna dive into this because it has a lot of components that we still see now so i'm gonna0.88
00:27:08.040send you this this is from a commenter called skeptical therapist there is this episode of
00:27:14.580star trek the next generation where the crew is introduced to a mysterious alien video game
00:27:20.880It slowly infiltrates the crew, and Wesley Crusher and another young ensign watch as the adults around them slip into addiction.
00:27:30.120Wesley begins to sense that something is amiss and goes to find Captain Picard.
00:27:36.300He is so relieved to find the captain and to be able to confide in him.
00:27:40.880As Wesley leaves, we see the captain reach into his desk with signature sang-froid and take out a gaming device.
00:27:49.260he too has been infected as we suspected the game is really an insidious mind controlling apparatus0.98
00:27:57.120that will allow an alien race to gain control of the ship this is what this trans madness feels0.91
00:28:04.780like to me long wind up i have some comments about the length and tone of this so this is
00:28:10.100another relatively long excerpt where she talks about her own experience the alien mind control
00:28:18.100device made its way into my home about two years ago when my then 11 year old daughter begged me
00:28:25.280for a tumblr account since her friends all had one foolishly i consented without looking into
00:28:32.580it further i wish i hadn't this trend toward all things pan slash bi slash non-binary slash
00:28:40.720gender fluid slash trans etc has had a huge amount of energy among kids my daughter's age
00:28:47.660I have watched it with some degree of suspicion and concern, but last month the degree of my alarm
00:28:54.580grew. She started dropping provocative hints, such as asking if she could get a buzz cut.
00:29:01.160I found some writing she had left around the house where she wondered to herself whether she
00:29:06.200were quote-unquote really a girl. She was very excited a few weeks later when a new friend came
00:29:12.300out as trans. For the record, this is a kid who has never had any gender nonconforming behavior
00:29:19.060at all. She has always been interested in art and dance at school. She is a little socially anxious,
00:29:26.640and that is the only thing that makes her susceptible to this, I think.
00:29:30.960This is really the ur example of this social contagion phenomenon, right? Where we have a kid,
00:29:36.780no signs of transness. And then all of a sudden, right, they get on Tumblr,
00:29:42.360a couple of their friends are trans, and then boom, mom, I'm trans. We then have another
00:29:48.620important component. I'm going to read this paragraph. It isn't that I am a hating ogre.
00:29:55.200I think if I really believed that my kid were profoundly unhappy in her body,
00:29:59.820that this narrative was coming from her and not from social media and the kids around her,
00:30:04.460I would be reacting very differently. I would also be having a different reaction if I could
00:30:09.860convince myself that gender identity experimentation were essentially harmless.0.99
00:30:15.320Girls want to pretend to be boys? Sure, why not? But it is absolutely chilling to think that these0.94
00:30:21.960kids who are just doing what teens do get support from the adults around them that let them get
00:30:28.520stuck in the experiment so that many of them wind up permanently changing their bodies this is
00:30:34.880another very important component and comes up so often in these accounts it's like i'm not a
00:30:39.540transphobe yeah if all i thought was this was like a little identity thing i wouldn't be so mad but
00:30:45.260this is different something is going on that is going to push her into medicalization and in all
00:30:51.500of these irreversible procedures it feels like it's operating on this like emotional register
00:30:56.940where it's like, I need permission to be uncomfortable with this.
00:31:01.200Also, it feels really telling this. I think that if I really believe that my kid were profoundly
00:31:07.080unhappy in her body, that kind of language is like requiring an amount of performed suffering
00:31:15.160in order to believe this identity. And I think that sort of rhetoric is feels like it's popping
00:31:22.400up more and more yeah you can't be trans because you're not unhappy enough right i'm not seeing you
00:31:29.440suffer in the body or gender presentation that you currently have ergo your identity is not real0.90
00:31:37.740which is also something that is boy oh boy pretty much guaranteed to create some suffering so i
00:31:43.500guess you did it so okay final thing this is like the final component of this and i'm really
00:31:49.140belaboring this because all four of these components will show up in every single account
00:31:52.520of social contagion, like from now until forever. So here's this. Her current school is wonderfully
00:31:58.660progressive and nurturing, but the school administrators all seem keen to jump on the
00:32:04.100quote unquote trans is terrific train. They proudly proclaim to prospective parents that
00:32:09.560there are several kids transitioning in the upper school. Ooh, this is a private school, baby.
00:32:14.740upper school i recognize my people okay i thought it was like the top floor but okay it seems like
00:32:21.380this fact is sort of exciting to everyone and establishes without question they're all accepting
00:32:26.820super liberal cred i have decided that the cult indoctrinators have had free access to her
00:32:34.220beautiful 13 year old brain for two years now and it is time that i intervene and fight for my
00:32:40.740daughter this also relies on this myth that it's like you're a lone voice of reason in a in an
00:32:46.780unreasonable world it's so fascinating to me that being like hey we've had trans students here who
00:32:54.260are allowed to be who they are has been translated in this person in their brain to the trans is0.91
00:33:02.420terrific train right it feels like such similar energy to the like glorifying obesity energy
00:33:09.980right right where you're like you just saw a fat person who didn't look sad right and you're
00:33:15.000seeing it as like you're trying to indoctrinate me like it just is wild to me the ways in which
00:33:20.380people tell on themselves in public right i was talking to my brother about this last night he
00:33:25.260was like man a thing that he has said to me many times is that the things that are most opaque to
00:33:30.820us about ourselves and the things we're keep we think we're keeping as secrets we're actually
00:33:35.660just like blaring out to everyone around us. Yeah, this is like when my therapist said that
00:33:40.400I'm a nervous wreck. Thanks. Throughout this entire panic, we're going to see a lot of claims
00:33:46.940about existing institutions being worryingly pro-trans in ways that seem a little dubious
00:33:53.060to me, partly from what I've read. And I've interviewed numerous like trans teens around
00:33:57.540the country. I've interviewed parents of trans teens. I've interviewed clinicians.
00:34:00.660this is not an experience that i've seen even in affirming contexts we don't see this like i hope
00:34:07.940you're trans i want you to be trans it's still a really really difficult process of coming out
00:34:13.200i just think about like being this kid and if your mom was saying these things about you
00:34:17.940on the internet although i actually part of me thinks that this might be fake there's something
00:34:23.580a little perfect about the fact that it all started with a fight over having a tumblr account
00:34:29.600That's something Julia Serrano mentioned to me because we were talking about this decade before this increased visibility of trans rights and the emergence of this myth.
00:34:39.200A lot of this is a proxy for anxieties around kids and the internet, right?
00:34:44.520Whenever we have a new technology, whether it's graphic novels or jukeboxes or automobiles, there's a huge panic about how kids are using this technology.
00:34:53.840And, of course, there's huge anxiety about the internet and teenagers and social media and everything else.0.89
00:34:58.260And so the fact that there's this trans thing, you know, people transgressing gender norms, which makes people uncomfortable in general, and then we can also kind of blame it on the internet, right?0.79
00:35:08.060We can say, well, she's going on Tumblr and now she's trans.0.67
00:35:10.840It's just like this perfect combination of two existing sites of huge anxieties for parents.0.93
00:35:18.000And there's later studies of like the people who are using these websites and it's mostly middle class, you know, upper middle class white women.0.51
00:35:26.060Nothing bad has ever come from the anxieties of white upper middle class parents, right?
00:35:30.920This is like the same kind of suburban fear that gave us like the stranger danger panic.
00:36:16.260So this is just a random comment on the about page of this blog in 2016.
00:36:22.860So a week later, the blog turns it into a post.
00:36:26.420It has the headline, Tumblr snags another girl, but her therapist mom knows a thing or two about social contagion.
00:36:34.740I was planning on going down a deep rabbit hole on the concept of social contagion.
00:36:40.640This is something that has come up tangentially in other episodes.
00:36:43.460I decided not to mostly because it seems like it's a pretty contested concept.
00:36:47.820I read this really interesting meta-analysis that had something about gun violence.
00:36:52.660Like there's this theory that gun violence is socially contagious.
00:36:55.780There's these kind of peer influences that normalize using guns to like solve disputes, right?
00:37:01.700And there was one study that found that like one of the best predictors of somebody who's arrested for gun violence is like how many previous incidents of gun violence have there been in their neighborhood?
00:37:12.040Okay, that might be social contagion, but that also might just be like a poor neighborhood.
00:37:15.680Yeah. And the other one they mentioned was that apparently there's a spike in gun violence
00:37:19.800when there's more depictions of gun violence on TV. But that actually feels like a different
00:37:24.880phenomenon to me because it's not peer to peer influence. I started to notice this since I came
00:37:29.740across this literature that people just invoke social contagion as like, oh, it's social contagion.
00:37:33.820But like, isn't that just like we do things that our friends do, which is just totally normal
00:37:38.320behavior, right? Like my friend says, this book is good. And then I read the book. But then also
00:37:41.920if a friend of mine is like clinically depressed, I don't know if that would transfer to me in the
00:37:46.740same way, right? And, you know, there are studies of depression. There's a study that compares
00:37:52.300roommates, college roommates, when one has depression and the other doesn't. And you
00:37:55.960would expect if social contagion was true, the second roommate to develop depression over time.
00:37:59.800And that doesn't happen. It clearly depends on what is being contagious and the relationship of
00:38:06.600the two people. It just is like, we should just talk about transgender identity as transgender
00:38:11.120or identity rather than trying to put it in this frame of this concept that kind of works sometimes
00:38:14.980and doesn't and just isn't really like all that useful of a way to look at this. The energy of
00:38:19.460this feels so similar to the post Columbine is Marilyn Manson to blame sort of discourse where
00:38:26.600I'm just like, guys, we got to rule out like 129 things before we get to Marilyn Manson.
00:38:34.800Exactly. So it's not totally clear how this happens. But relatively shortly after this blog
00:38:40.320post on fourth wave now the concept of social contagion starts like going viral among conservative
00:38:48.240writers so in august the american conservative publishes a piece called the cult of transgender
00:38:54.280dude which quotes a parent who like emailed the author and says as a parent living the nightmare
00:39:01.900of having a teen who suddenly announces she's transgender i can tell you there are no doctors
00:39:06.800who will do anything but agree there is no science behind this there is no way to medically diagnose0.83
00:39:12.020her her therapist knows that she is not transgender but fears there's no way we can stop her there's
00:39:18.500also shortly thereafter a david french current new york times uh opinion columnist column in the0.60
00:39:25.100national review called the tragic transgender contagion where he basically repeats this myth
00:39:32.200of like gender confusion he's like yeah there's some people that like say they're trans but
00:39:35.220actually they're like confused about their gender. And he also says, gatekeeping has been replaced by
00:39:40.340cheerleading. In the UK, where records are easier to obtain, clinics are facing an explosion in
00:39:45.720demand for quote unquote gender identity treatment. At one major clinic, referrals quadrupled. At
00:39:52.280another, they increased 20 fold in 10 years. So these are all relative statistics, right? They're
00:39:57.500increasing tenfold. Remember the first year that the gender clinic opened, it had two patients?
00:40:01.980Right. I mean, you could say that about a lot of small businesses from year one to year two.
00:40:06.740It's always wild to me how like the actual articles on this always contain
00:40:09.840the information debunking themselves. He mentions later in the piece, he's like,
00:40:14.060oh, the staggering rise, et cetera. And then he says this UK gender clinic,
00:40:17.660they've had an unprecedented increase from 697 referrals to 1,398 referrals in 2016.
00:40:25.720So that's like 1,400 referrals to this gender clinic in the UK. There are 8 million kids.
00:40:31.980between 10 and 19 in the UK. So that's 0.0175% have gotten referrals to the gender clinic or
00:40:39.200one in around 6,000 kids. Right. These are also just referrals, right? There's already at this
00:40:44.760time years long waiting lists. And then once you get referred, you still have appointments and you
00:40:49.280sort of then go through the process and you may or may not get a referral to endocrinology. So
00:40:54.020these are very small numbers. But of course, all of this kind of reinforces this idea of like
00:40:58.880social contagion they're just reaching for like somebody has to be responsible for this right0.83
00:41:04.700right it can't just be that some people are trans and now there is like more of a way for more of
00:41:11.900those people to come out right than 50 or 100 years ago we have been recording for an hour and0.73
00:41:18.26044 minutes and we're getting to the the thing that's in the title of the episode fucking0.76
00:41:23.120we're getting to the actual oh no this is a left-wing podcast it's like 90 context is this0.86
00:41:28.500a two-parter or a no-parter we just never get to the topic so all of that is bouncing around
00:41:37.160in 2016 in february of 2017 we get the first appearance finally of the term rapid onset
00:41:47.240gender dysphoria. This appears in a study by a woman named Lisa Litman, who is a professor at
00:41:54.400Brown. Before she was studying women's and reproductive health, she has no like background
00:41:58.580in trans anything. But she publishes in February 2017, this like very short poster abstract. It's
00:42:06.620like a column and a half in the Journal of Adolescent Health. The title is Rapid Onset
00:42:13.980of gender dysphoria in adolescents and young adults, colon, a descriptive study. So this is
00:42:19.740the text of the study. So this is under purpose. This is what it says. Parents online are observed
00:42:27.180reporting their children experiencing a rapid onset of gender dysphoria appearing for the first
00:42:32.700time during or after puberty. They describe this development occurring in the context of being part
00:42:39.260of a peer group where one, multiple, or even all friends have developed gender dysphoria and come
00:42:45.100out as transgender during the same time frame and or an increase in social media slash internet use.
00:42:52.960The purpose of this study is to document this observation and describe the resulting
00:42:59.200presentation of gender dysphoria inconsistent with existing research. The existing research
00:43:04.820indicates that most trans people realize relatively young and it's not something that just kind of like
00:43:11.420suddenly occurs in adolescence. So kind of on its face, it's like, okay, this might be like a new
00:43:16.700phenomenon. However, the first two words of this are parents online. So this is not a survey of
00:43:24.840trans people who say, hey, I suddenly got this identity. It's not that they developed gender
00:43:30.200dysphoria suddenly, it's that it felt sudden to their parents. As a project, it's so weird
00:43:37.800to try to propose and describe a phenomenon of self-discovery from other people.
00:43:45.580And by asking other people who have alarmingly high rates of rejecting their own children for
00:43:52.140this specific thing. Exactly. This is not just a survey of parents. This is a survey of parents
00:43:59.400who were recruited on Fourth Wave Now, Transgender Trend, and Youth Transcritical Professionals.
00:44:06.880Those three websites we talked about earlier are where the researcher posted the advertisement
00:56:32.680Jane, a 53-year-old woman in Southern California, lived as a trans man for nearly 20 years before discovering radical feminist forums online and, soon after, opted to transition back.
00:56:46.440I really thought I was trans, Jane said. I really believed it, 100%. I was even fired from my job for coming out.
00:56:53.860The idea that the perceived boom in the trans population is due to peer pressure or social contagion can be uncomfortable for trans people and their supporters.
00:57:02.680It's also a theory frequently pushed by the right
00:57:05.880In reality, no one knows exactly why so many people seem to have recently come out as trans