Bubble Pop with Rachel Gilmore - April 25, 2025


Exposing far-right weirdness during the election campaign (with Luke Lebrun)


Episode Stats


Length

45 minutes

Words per minute

171.68

Word count

7,895

Sentence count

296

Harmful content

Misogyny

5

sentences flagged

Toxicity

7

sentences flagged

Hate speech

2

sentences flagged


Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Seconds before this guy gives the finger, which is in this viral photo, someone shouted out, quote, there's a lot of pedophile lovers here. Ask Carney about Epstein Island. Two seconds later, there's a live streamer, I guess you could describe this person, standing right there getting their camera right in these people's faces. And so I guess he just put up his hands and gave the finger to them.
00:00:26.120 and if someone was yelling conspiracies at me and calling me a pedophile i might also flip them the
00:00:34.140 bird hello i'm rachel gilmore your least favorite person's least favorite journalist welcome to
00:00:46.340 bubble pop a weekly show where we break down the biggest headlines at least the political ones
00:00:51.040 so you don't have to doomscroll. Then we'll dig deeper into something juicy that you should know
00:00:55.860 about. In this episode, we've got one of the best journalists in Canada on this show. Luke Lebrun
00:01:00.880 has been covering federal politics for press progress for 12 years. And he's joining us with
00:01:06.380 his award-winning journalistic chops to talk about the Canadian election and several of his juicy
00:01:12.280 scoops from the campaign. But first, the news. The election is just days away. This week we got
00:01:19.080 costed platforms, some serious strategy moves, and some unhinged announcements. Oh, and Trump
00:01:24.680 decided to get chatty about Canada's sovereignty again after a period of relative calm on that
00:01:29.940 front. Let's dive in. Just three short days after this episode is released, we will know who the
00:01:38.100 next Prime Minister of Canada is, and whose plans for the future of our country will be put into
00:01:44.080 motion. So in the immortal words of Pitbull featuring Kesha, it's going down. Although for
00:01:50.120 7.3 million Canadians, a record-breaking number, it already went down because they voted in the
00:01:56.120 advanced polls. Anyways, we saw some major developments over the past week, not the least
00:02:00.960 of which was U.S. President Donald Trump's re-emergence. After biting his tongue on
00:02:06.000 annexation threats in recent weeks, on Wednesday, just days before Canadians head to the polls,
00:02:11.480 he decided to spout off some of his greatest hits when it comes to his grievances about Canada.
00:02:17.680 He even mentioned Governor Trudeau, saying he means the nickname affectionately.
00:02:23.700 Trudeau, who I call Governor Trudeau, affectionately, I asked him,
00:02:29.760 why are we spending $200 billion to support Canada, to subsidize Canada?
00:02:35.260 And he was unable to answer the question. I mean, why are we doing that?
00:02:38.080 And I have to be honest, as a state, it works great.
00:02:43.780 Trump also mused about further raising auto tariffs.
00:02:47.220 So yeah, just another day in the paradise that is living next door to a crumbling democracy
00:02:52.420 that appears to be descending towards authoritarianism.
00:02:55.820 So fun.
00:02:57.000 Anyways, this unwelcome news has a silver lining for Carney,
00:03:00.780 who polls extremely well when Trump is at the front of Canadians' minds.
00:03:05.640 Here's how he reacted to Trump's latest musings.
00:03:08.320 This is Canada. We decide what happens here.
00:03:14.400 Yesterday was more proof, as if any were needed, that the old relationship with the United States is over.
00:03:22.220 And proof that we need to chart a new path.
00:03:27.300 As I've been saying, this is a tragedy, but it's also our new reality.
00:03:31.240 On a related note, Radio Canada reported on Thursday that Trump did bring up the 51st
00:03:36.600 state stuff on his call with Carney in March. That's despite Carney telling the media at the
00:03:42.200 time that the president, quote, respected Canada's sovereignty today, both in his private and public
00:03:48.240 comments. Speaking to reporters on Thursday, Carney acknowledged that Trump did actually
00:03:53.600 bring up that 51st state stuff on the call, but he claimed he was still portraying the call
00:03:59.640 accurately when he described it to us at the time. Here's what he told reporters on Thursday.
00:04:04.200 Were you being truthful? He absolutely did. He absolutely did. Look, the president has
00:04:09.180 certain things in his mind that he reverts back to all the time, but treated me as the prime
00:04:16.100 minister, not as something else. I'm not even going to say the word he used to use
00:04:19.360 about my predecessor. Treated me as the prime minister. We had discussions as sovereign nations.
00:04:25.860 we agreed as sovereign nations that these negotiations will begin after the election on
00:04:32.060 Monday. And that is how it was reported back. And that's absolutely accurate. So that's the
00:04:37.820 treatment. Now, look, the president says lots of things, but the essence of the discussion and
00:04:43.520 where we moved the conversation to was exactly what I said. Meanwhile, Trump's reemergence is
00:04:48.880 nothing but dark clouds for Pierre Polyev, who reports from the Globe and Mail and the Toronto
00:04:53.740 star suggests has been scrambling to send volunteers to his own riding amid fears he
00:04:59.180 might lose the seat he's held since 2004. According to the Globe's reporting, quote,
00:05:04.820 party headquarters has for the past two weeks been sending workers into Mr. Polyev's riding,
00:05:09.880 including experienced campaigners who would normally be assigned to tight races across
00:05:14.460 the country. It's genuinely wild to hear this when you consider what the conservative polls
00:05:19.420 looked like just a few months ago. Which is why some are already starting to speculate about the
00:05:24.980 post-election period. And whether any leaders other than Carney, if the election goes the way
00:05:30.620 polls are suggesting, will be able to stay at the helm of their respective parties. But for now,
00:05:37.000 let's not get ahead of ourselves. Because who knows, as NDP leader Jagmeet Singh said on Wednesday
00:05:41.640 when asked about his party's future. I didn't hear any bell. Do you guys hear a bell? This fight's
00:05:46.280 not over. We're here fighting every single day. As part of that fight, the parties finally
00:05:51.080 released their costed platforms this week. Carney's platform includes $130 billion in new
00:05:56.780 spending and would have Canada running deficits until at least the fiscal year 2028-29. The amount
00:06:02.420 of spending saw some folks pan the Liberal plan, though some of those folks like Shopify CEO Toby
00:06:08.180 Luque were already clearly supporting the Conservatives anyways. Meanwhile, Carney claims
00:06:13.400 his platform would cut down operational spending and increase investment spending, which he says
00:06:18.600 will generate $500 billion in value over the next five years. He told reporters that this could
00:06:25.040 actually result in a surplus, if all goes perfectly according to plan, but said he didn't put that in
00:06:31.180 the platform because he wanted to be prudent with his figures. Though, as I said earlier this week,
00:06:36.160 he wasn't so prudent that he was able to stop himself from sharing that possibility with
00:06:41.140 reporters in a nationally aired press conference. Poliev also announced his costed platform this
00:06:47.000 week, laying out $110 billion in new spending and a $31 billion deficit this year. While speaking
00:06:53.980 to reporters, Poliev also pledged to chop the deficit by 70% through cutting, quote, bureaucracy,
00:07:00.380 consultants, foreign aid to dictators and terrorists. But it's really hard to compare
00:07:05.660 the liberal and conservative platforms because poliev's conservatives included projected revenues
00:07:11.900 in theirs which isn't something that's normally included in platform costing and it's a gamble
00:07:17.580 because by putting these numbers in their platform they are betting on specific economic growth
00:07:23.020 from policies that have yet to be implemented that's risky at the best of times but it's
00:07:27.340 even riskier when you consider that there are unhinged and unpredictable trade policies
00:07:32.060 being chucked out at the whims of donald trump so while polyev criticized the liberal platform as
00:07:37.660 unaffordable carney hit back at the conservative platform by calling it a joke with quote phantom
00:07:43.420 numbers another interesting thing that happened was after the conservative platform was published
00:07:48.700 it was edited to include a line on woke ideology the policy in question specifically promises to
00:07:55.260 quote put an end to the imposition of woke ideology in the federal civil service and in
00:08:00.300 the allocation of federal funds for university research." This line was in the French version of
00:08:05.820 the platform when it was published, but it was only added the next day to the English version.
00:08:10.540 The party told CBC News that this was a, quote, publishing oversight. And when previously pressed
00:08:15.500 on the campaign trail to explain what he means by woke, Polyev didn't give a clear answer. He just
00:08:20.700 turned the talking points about the lost liberal decade up to 100.
00:08:24.460 I was wondering if you could tell us what you mean concretely when you say you'll end
00:08:28.220 in the public service and the military?
00:08:30.260 Very simply, after a lost liberal decade of
00:08:33.260 dividing Canadians, turning people against
00:08:35.260 each other, and weakening our armed forces,
00:08:37.260 we need to put Canada first.
00:08:39.260 We need to unite all Canadians around our
00:08:41.260 common promise, a promise that hard work
00:08:43.260 gets you a great life on a safe street,
00:08:45.280 and by the way, in an affordable home,
00:08:47.280 under our proud flag.
00:08:49.280 Unfortunately, the Liberals have been
00:08:51.280 distracted from that mission.
00:08:53.240 I think, for example, we have a lot of
00:08:55.220 The liberals have been distracted from that mission.
00:08:57.480 You know, I think of, for example, their woke criminal justice agenda.
00:09:00.160 Yeah, that's reassuring when it's going to impact funding for university research.
00:09:04.680 Some other stuff that stood out to me from these parties' platforms
00:09:07.400 included Carney's promise to build more AI infrastructure
00:09:10.700 and push for more adoption of the technology,
00:09:13.880 which I found a bit icky because of, one, the amount of energy it takes to use this technology,
00:09:19.180 and two, the frequency with which AI gets stuff wrong.
00:09:23.340 The Conservative platform, meanwhile, pledged to hold a referendum before raising federal taxes
00:09:28.300 or introducing new ones. For the record, a referendum means everyone in the country is
00:09:33.520 asked for their say. The last time we looked at holding one, it was on the topic of electoral
00:09:38.100 reform, and we found that it would cost the country about $300 million. So good luck raising
00:09:44.140 taxes ever, including on the rich, if it, one, costs $300 million every time you want to try
00:09:50.400 to do it, and two, you need Canadians themselves to vote for higher taxes. Polyev's platform also
00:09:56.740 had a section that claimed to be about defending women's safety, mentioning that, quote, male
00:10:02.520 offenders will not be allowed to be housed in women's prisons, which means trans women would
00:10:09.800 be thrown into men's prisons, which is horrifying. The platform then states that it would, quote,
00:10:15.300 ensure that women's spaces and services remain protected in federal institutions and
00:10:20.060 policy. So depending on what women's spaces and services are defined as, we could see federal 0.52
00:10:26.800 level bathroom bans and more here in Canada, which is really concerning, not only for the rights of
00:10:32.620 trans folks, which you should care about in and of themselves, but for all of us, because this leads
00:10:38.000 to the policing of femininity. If you don't look feminine enough, will you be harassed every time 0.99
00:10:43.320 you try to go pee or use a change room? That is the result of these kinds of policies, and it is
00:10:48.880 so gross. This also comes as the UK's top court made a disgusting ruling, excluding trans women 0.92
00:10:55.400 from being defined as women under the country's equality law. Attacks on trans rights are
00:11:00.920 international, serious, and we have to defend against them. Unlike the spineless cowardice 1.00
00:11:07.160 we saw from UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who said he now does not believe that trans women 0.83
00:11:12.620 are women. I guess I do now understand why he might be so obsessed with people's genitalia. 0.98
00:11:19.720 It's because he's a massive pussy. Meanwhile, as time is running out on the federal campaign trail, 1.00
00:11:24.840 we're seeing parties make a final push for votes. Carney has played some offense this week,
00:11:29.940 explicitly going after NDP votes in BC, while NDP leader Jagmeet Singh is totally in defense mode,
00:11:36.600 clearly trying to save the seats that he's got. As for Poliev, he's doing a bit of both,
00:11:41.880 But also some announcements, like his promise to empower police to arrest people for living
00:11:47.380 in homeless encampments in tense cities during a housing crisis, seem more designed to fend
00:11:53.360 off future battles over whether he should get to hang on to conservative leadership,
00:11:57.380 rather than to try to woo any undecided voters.
00:12:00.900 Anyways, I'm going to leave it there for the news this week.
00:12:03.480 After the break, we'll be chatting with Press Progress's Luke Lebrun.
00:12:06.700 He's broken some major stories this election, up to and including chatting with the man
00:12:11.600 who became a cruel meme for the extremely online far-right this week after he flipped off a
00:12:16.920 cameraman. We'll be right back. If you've read a killer scoop on far-right weirdos recently,
00:12:24.740 there is a very good chance it was written by award-winning journalist Luke LeBrun. He's broken
00:12:29.620 some serious scoops on issues that often get ignored by the more mainstream press. From
00:12:35.120 conservative candidate Andrew Lawton's participation in a Freedom Convoy group chat,
00:12:39.760 to unmasking the people behind those Do You Believe the Polls hoodies and signs at a recent
00:12:45.660 PolyEv rally. Luke is incredibly talented, clear-eyed about the issues that matter,
00:12:51.100 and probably one of the best voices to hear from just days before we all head to the polls.
00:12:56.540 For those reasons and too many more to count, I am so stoked to welcome Luke LeBron on the show.
00:13:02.680 Luke, welcome to Bubble Pop.
00:13:04.200 Thank you so much for having me here, Rachel.
00:13:06.120 You are so welcome. It is genuinely my pleasure. So I do want to start things off with a very
00:13:13.440 broad question before we dive into some more specific reporting. You've covered federal
00:13:18.820 politics for over a decade. How has this campaign been different from the ones you've covered in
00:13:25.560 the past? That's a really good question. I noticed very early on, like I guess in late March,
00:13:32.660 that a lot of people are talking about this election more so than I think previous elections
00:13:38.800 over the last couple decades. I have this one anecdote that I recall going into a restaurant
00:13:44.800 in Toronto and there were five different conversations happening and everyone was
00:13:50.420 talking about Trump and kind of US relations and this you know 51st state kind of rhetoric
00:13:57.520 And it was striking to me, too, because I noticed that the people, like, sitting right across from me kept mispronouncing Pierre Polyev's name.
00:14:06.020 They kept calling him Pierre Polylever or something like this.
00:14:09.380 So I could tell, yeah, I could tell that these are people who, like, are maybe not super, you know, following politics super closely.
00:14:16.840 Although, to be fair, I hear people mispronounce his name on, like, national television, too, all the time.
00:14:23.220 Polyair, Polylever, Poly, yeah, it's, yeah.
00:14:27.520 Oliver. I don't know. Oliver. That's another common one. That's right. That's right. In my lifetime, I can't really think of a time where I felt like the entire country was really focused on the same issue all at once. I think maybe the closest thing that I can think of would be the Quebec referendum in 1995 because everyone was obviously very fixated on the outcome of that vote.
00:14:49.580 But this is definitely going to be a very, I mean, we've seen with the advanced polls that that turnout seems to be quite high. So I expect on election day, we will probably see that that will, that trend will continue.
00:15:03.780 And, you know, it has become a very polarized kind of debate, not in a negative sense polarized, but, you know, it is kind of turning into a race between Mark Carney, who is the incumbent versus Pierre Polyev as the as the opposition, who's obviously pushing for change.
00:15:20.680 But then it's interesting, right? Because before this election, there was this anti-incumbent mood, not just in Canada, but across Europe and North America. And since Trump came into power, I think we've seen that dynamic flip. And so now the pendulum's kind of shifted back to this incumbent mood, like people want stability.
00:15:46.320 So I think that's kind of an interesting dynamic. It obviously puts the NDP and the Bloc Quebecois in a bit of a pickle because they kind of get squeezed out when things get wedged on that issue of national sovereignty.
00:15:58.860 Yeah. Yeah. I think Trudeau stepping down helped with the anti-incumbency bias as well. Like Carney's not exactly an outsider, but he's done a pretty good job pretending to be. So that that served him well.
00:16:12.820 um so you've broken some serious scoops over the course of this campaign um on a personal note
00:16:20.040 thank you for reporting on that issue with ctv so well um i know some of my subscribers found me
00:16:25.160 um in light of that so just a heads up luke is the one who broke that story so thank you luke
00:16:30.060 um but that's not the only harassment story that you've covered recently you uh just spoke with
00:16:37.180 the guy who the worst people on the internet have dubbed the Brantford Boomer, all because he
00:16:43.200 flipped off a camera outside a Mark Carney rally. So Luke, first off, for those unfamiliar, can you
00:16:49.360 explain what's going on here? Because I sometimes wonder how much of this actually makes it offline.
00:16:55.180 Yeah, that's right. So how do I begin explaining this story? So basically, there was a Mark Carney
00:17:01.080 rally in Brantford, Ontario. And at this event, there was a line of liberal supporters who were
00:17:07.960 waiting to get into the venue. And there was basically a photo that emerged from, basically
00:17:14.680 from this event, showing this guy who's giving two middle fingers to a cameraman. And it kind
00:17:23.960 of took on a life of its own. And it became a meme online. And people were saying that this was,
00:17:29.320 you know, the Toronto Sun actually called it the quote unquote defining election moment.
00:17:35.980 And so I guess within the right wing media sphere, this is kind of turned into a meme
00:17:41.640 and it's kind of turned into this meme with this idea of, you know, older liberal baby boomers are
00:17:47.400 holding younger Gen Z Canadians who are struggling and can't afford a home in contempt. And they're
00:17:53.620 kind of really misportraying this photo and it's yeah it's really been taken out of context so
00:18:00.240 I talked to the guy who actually appears in this photo uh his name is Matt Janes uh he is a liberal
00:18:07.200 supporter and what he told me was that what you're not seeing in this photo is that I guess a couple
00:18:14.020 of meters away there was a group of about a dozen of these far-right activists uh who were basically
00:18:19.620 standing there and they were just heckling and yelling at all the liberal supporters as they
00:18:24.540 were walking into the venue. What kind of stuff were they saying? They were saying a number of
00:18:29.580 things. A lot of them were calling the liberal supporters in line pedophiles. They were screaming
00:18:36.880 stuff about getting vaccinated, you know, sort of taunting them. They were, you know, referencing a
00:18:42.940 number of kind of far-right conspiracies. Some of them were using rhetoric that you might
00:18:48.020 associate with sovereign citizen type groups. There's also one of them who, you know, I found
00:18:56.780 his account online and he is pretty clearly a QAnon person or definitely references QAnon slogans.
00:19:04.940 So these are the kinds of people that were standing there. They had some flags. There was a
00:19:09.960 carny flag there is another flag that says paul you have 2025 bring it home um the guy with the
00:19:16.840 q anon adjacent beliefs had a t-shirt that was like a pro trump shirt um so it gives you a sense
00:19:22.720 of like just by how they're presenting themselves what they believe i think we can safely uh you
00:19:29.080 know form some conclusions about that probably not liberal supporters probably not probably not
00:19:33.960 Uh, so what happened according to Matt Janes was that, um, you know, they were waiting to go into the venue and, you know, as they were going through, basically they were facing these like really ridiculous, uh, taunts and people screaming at them, calling them pedophiles.
00:19:49.760 Uh, what actually happened was that seconds before this guy gives the finger, which is in this, um, which is in this viral photo, uh, someone shouted out, quote, there's a lot of pedophile lovers here. Ask Kearney about Epstein Island. Two seconds later, there's a, uh, a live streamer. I guess you could describe this person, uh, standing right there, getting, getting their camera right in these people's faces.
00:20:13.880 and uh so i guess he just put up uh put up his hands and gave the uh the finger to them
00:20:19.060 and if someone was yelling conspiracies at me and calling me a pedophile i might also flip them the
00:20:27.060 bird definitely not like just conservative gen z's versus liberal boomers exactly yeah and i mean
00:20:33.880 this is what he told me he said that he was giving the finger to those uh people who were
00:20:37.680 heckling him and uh this photo is just kind of taking on a life of his own and uh actually you
00:20:43.620 know he he was telling me that he hasn't actually been following the fallout online um in fairness
00:20:48.980 this does seem to be resonating within a pretty um i don't know i guess sort of very right-wing
00:20:55.660 circles i don't think it's a very mainstream thing but it is now kind of bubbling up into
00:21:00.520 like the toronto sun and some some of these other outlets um but you know he's saying that you know
00:21:06.160 he's getting he's facing online harassment people are doxing him they're contacting his former
00:21:10.720 employer yeah his former employer put out a statement like distancing themselves which i
00:21:15.280 thought was a bit extreme but also reflective of maybe the scale of harassment going on like
00:21:20.460 and he's he's doing okay is he all right yeah i mean i think he's just really confused about
00:21:25.640 all this i asked him if he was familiar with the concept of doxing and i think he kind of
00:21:30.020 understood it but uh this this stuff is very uh obviously something very weird for him i mean he's
00:21:36.060 retiree he doesn't know uh doesn't really know much about these kind of like online harassment
00:21:41.660 campaigns and things like that so i mean this is something that we saw a lot of um as you said
00:21:47.820 very online right-wingers some folks who like kind of portray themselves as journalists like
00:21:53.660 you know the pleb and things like that um we're all spreading this i i'm curious about the how
00:22:01.100 you think this incident reflects the role that these sort of pretend journalists types have
00:22:08.060 not only on individual people but on broader election discourse yeah that's a good question
00:22:16.700 um you know i mean many of them will present themselves as citizen journalists and i don't
00:22:21.180 think there's anything wrong with the idea of a citizen journalist yeah in like in theory right
00:22:27.740 I think a lot of people, I mean, everyone has a phone with a camera nowadays. So anyone who would like to document things can now actually go out there and do that. And in some cases, do very legitimate work that serves the public interest.
00:22:42.000 What is going on here is, I mean, I think there's this, I guess there's kind of an economy that's sprouted up like a bit of a cottage industry where people are filming these videos and then turning around and using it to fundraise.
00:22:56.280 And I think that is what is kind of fueling a lot of this stuff because these people now have an incentive.
00:23:01.100 It's the Rebel News model.
00:23:02.700 Yeah, they have an incentive to find these viral clips, put it out there and then try to fundraise off of it.
00:23:08.680 And I think that is what is kind of at the core of why this has become so toxic. I don't really know what the solution to that is, though, but it's definitely something that's very corrosive. I mean, something that Matt Janes told me was that he felt that these kinds of incidents are, I mean, will deter people from participating in their democracy.
00:23:30.640 I mean, if you can imagine, these are people who were lined up to attend a political rally, and just to get in there and to support, you know, the party that they are supporters of, they have to kind of go through this gauntlet and face all kinds of, you know, torrents of harassment and abuse just to, you know, exercise their democratic rights. 0.94
00:23:49.560 It's pretty, pretty gross and ridiculous and toxic. 0.91
00:23:52.740 Yeah. And, you know, speaking of toxicity and discourse, you had a really great op-ed in the Toronto Star about that liberal button gate, where you basically pointed out that the liberal campaign staff's decision to plant, you know, pins to sow discord, I guess, at this conservative conference in Ottawa. 0.97
00:24:14.320 They had stuff like, you know, divisive rhetoric on about two different campaign managers who are disagreeing about the direction of the conservative campaign. And they also had election denial pins. And those are placed, it's important to note, without Carney's approval, but it kind of felt like they were just pouring gasoline on conspiratorial fires.
00:24:36.840 And you made that point really well in that op-ed. Could you expand on that and kind of express how you view that button issue as a part of this broader problem or fueling this broader problem, I should say?
00:24:51.720 Yeah, well, I mean, as you mentioned, I mean, there were basically stop the steal buttons that these liberal operatives planted.
00:24:59.980 The liberals have confirmed that this was something that they did and Mark Carney apologized for it.
00:25:03.740 so there's no doubt that they did it. But I mean, they are basically by planting these buttons at
00:25:10.220 a conservative conference, they are, you know, kind of seeding these like, like January 6 type
00:25:20.380 rhetoric, right? And they're putting that out there. There's a good chance that some conservative
00:25:24.460 supporters may have been at this conference and seen those pins and then thought to themselves
00:25:29.100 like, oh, this might be a very, this might be a mainstream opinion within the conservative
00:25:33.800 movement, or they might, it might put the thought in their minds of maybe there's a
00:25:38.620 election conspiracy to rig the vote. But, you know, and then with the liberals admitting that
00:25:44.940 they actually planted it, then it sets off all these people who are already maybe primed to be
00:25:49.940 conspiratorial. And then they start seeing conspiracies everywhere. And what's interesting
00:25:55.480 is how these incidents are all connected. I mean, I guess with the example that we just talked about
00:26:00.280 with Matt Janes, the guy giving the middle finger in Brantford, I mean, there is a reference to this
00:26:05.840 Mark Carney Epstein Island conspiracy. And in this case with the buttons, I mean, there was a
00:26:12.780 later story about this group called Do You Believe the Poles? And in that case, people kind of latched
00:26:20.240 on to this previous conspiracy and then started to wonder if this group of conservatives casting
00:26:27.240 doubt on the, like basically kind of promoting these election denial narratives, if they were
00:26:31.980 actually a liberal false flag or if they were sent there by Doug Ford or something. So what's
00:26:37.900 really interesting to me is just seeing how all of these different, you know, you can't look at
00:26:42.000 these conspiracies in isolation because they're all kind of building on one another. And so there's
00:26:47.380 this kind of causal relationship between uh you know you know one day there's a you know liberal
00:26:52.740 planting buttons in in a canada strong and free network conference in ottawa and then three days
00:26:58.700 later people are referencing that to spawn a new conspiracy so people have to be really responsible
00:27:03.320 i think about uh the kind of information that they're putting out into the universe yeah and
00:27:09.180 and you unmasked the people behind that do you believe the polls thing and it wasn't liberal
00:27:15.420 false flag, a liberal false flag operation, correct? That's correct. Yeah. So it turned out
00:27:21.940 it was a guy who owns a casino in Mississauga. And I mean, this group is pretty weird. I mean,
00:27:31.300 I have to say, I don't blame people for having suspicions about this group. I tried to contact
00:27:37.180 them. Basically, this guy's wife, who's a realtor in Mississauga, she hung up the phone denied it
00:27:44.980 was actually her but it actually turns out it was her uh there was this other guy who was in
00:27:49.520 montreal he's a uh he's a former talk radio host he was standing on this soapbox with a do you
00:27:55.500 believe the pole sign and shouting outside of a montreal canadians game uh so i tracked that guy
00:28:00.860 down and he told me that he didn't actually believe any of the stuff that he said he saw
00:28:05.340 himself as a performer or he was just doing like a publicity type job and uh yeah he kind of
00:28:12.540 distanced himself from those beliefs but just said that he was paid by that casino owner to to do
00:28:17.800 these things um the casino owner is i mean you can find records where he's been donating to the
00:28:22.660 conservatives uh so he it seems pretty clear that he's not a liberal false flag operative he is
00:28:29.320 someone who's obviously very conservative but um yeah yeah i did find in some ways and like
00:28:36.800 I'm curious, like I'm going a little off script here, but I'm curious what you think of this.
00:28:43.660 Like, I felt like the panic about the Do You Believe the Polls in some ways felt not exaggerated,
00:28:53.040 but, you know, a lot of folks in mainstream media and a lot of this started because of a conservative strategist putting this out there,
00:28:59.960 viewed this as planting the seeds of election denial.
00:29:02.300 But on the flip side, there's like a very long tradition of particularly losing parties, not trusting the polls. Polls are just a snapshot in time. They're not an election result. So there's plenty that you can critique about methodology for specific polls, especially.
00:29:17.880 And I don't know, I guess, do you think that the, we have seen since then some election denial narratives emerge, like there was some creators on TikTok spreading falsehood about Elections Canada making you vote in pencil so that they could change the results.
00:29:37.180 And then there was also the pleb has been saying some stuff like too big to rig or something.
00:29:44.300 And I guess, do you think that the concerns about election denial were being overblown with the do you believe the polls or am I totally off base there and should see this as a warning sign?
00:29:59.160 I think there's definitely greater sensitivity to these narratives given January 6 and just how we saw that, how that kind of evolved and spiraled out of control. So I think you're right about that to an extent, but I guess we also have a reason to be sensitive to that, given what happened.
00:30:19.320 I mean, that said, I mean, yeah, you're right. I mean, people should not necessarily take polls
00:30:25.640 as gospel. I don't even think any pollster would say that they are, you know, capturing objective
00:30:31.160 reality. I mean, it's probably, as you said, like a snapshot, a best guess at where the public
00:30:37.500 stands. And I mean, we could get into this whole conversation about methodology and do people
00:30:44.040 actually answer the phone versus uh who's who is who's filling out these online polls and things
00:30:49.720 like that so i mean yeah i guess there's a kernel of truth there in that sense and you know you
00:30:55.340 could have uh you could have a good faith debate about polls or a good faith conversation about
00:31:02.460 polls uh the thing about this group is that they were showing up to these they showed up to a
00:31:07.900 peer poly of rally in there's about a dozen of them and they're wearing matching sweaters
00:31:13.900 matching hats they have a giant banner that just says do you believe the polls uh so it looks very
00:31:19.820 fishy uh i can see like organized yeah exactly yeah um so i think that's part of what caused
00:31:28.440 people to to kind of scratch their heads and wonder what's going on here yeah totally okay i feel like
00:31:34.340 i'm running through a bit of a greatest hits of all of the scoops that you broke into this election
00:31:37.940 campaign but you just you have done a lot so you know maybe be a bit of a shittier reporter and i
00:31:43.240 wouldn't have to jump through so many different stories. But another big story that you broke
00:31:47.700 was about Conservative candidate Andrew Lawton, and that he was involved in a Freedom Convoy
00:31:53.420 group chat. I mean, before I ask you a question related to that, could you maybe just break down
00:31:59.220 the highlights of this story for any listeners who might have missed it? Sure. So after the
00:32:06.360 Freedom Convoy, there was the Emergencies Act Inquiry in October of 2022. And so the Freedom
00:32:13.680 Convoy was represented by a couple of lawyers who were affiliated with this organization called the
00:32:18.780 Justice Centre for Constitutional Freedoms, one of whom is a lawyer by the name of Eva Cipiuk.
00:32:25.620 So what happened was Eva Cipiuk, the lawyer who representing the Freedom Convoy leaders at the
00:32:31.460 Emergency Act Inquiry, created a group chat on Signal. Signal is an encrypted messaging app.
00:32:39.800 It's kind of like WhatsApp, but maybe more secure. People may have heard about it.
00:32:43.040 It's the one Pete Hegseth shared the war plans on, right?
00:32:45.980 Exactly. Multiple times, multiple times.
00:32:48.200 Yeah. Woo! 0.87
00:32:49.180 Yeah. So Eva Chibiuk created this group chat. It was described in the description,
00:32:59.440 In her own description of this group chat, it was described as, quote-unquote, clandestine.
00:33:04.780 So it was meant to be very secretive.
00:33:08.160 There were about 50 people in this group chat, and it was mainly the convoy leaders.
00:33:14.140 So you had Tamara Leach and Chris Barber.
00:33:16.660 You had convoy lawyers, such as Eva Chipiuk.
00:33:20.620 There were far-right activists.
00:33:22.240 There's this person named Bethan Nodwell, who—this is a whole history.
00:33:26.120 I won't get into it here, but, you know, so very far right activist from her has links with it online about white supremacy.
00:33:34.200 That's right. And has links with figures from the European far right, from the alternative for Deutschland and this Dutch people involved with the pretty far right Dutch party, too.
00:33:43.920 And then there were also – the main number of people in this group chat were people associated with right-wing media outlets such as Rebel Media, Western Standard, True North, as well as these kind of far-right influencers and live streamers and people who – even people who are just like Twitter accounts essentially.
00:34:08.200 So that was what was – that was basically who was in this group chat.
00:34:12.500 yeah and and andrew lawton i i you posted some screenshots of him uh you know someone would say
00:34:19.620 oh this should be posted and he would say like on it is that a correct characterization yeah so
00:34:26.180 what was happening in this group chat is it was part of their it appears to be basically part of
00:34:31.060 this um like public relations strategy where they brought in all the influencers and media
00:34:37.300 personalities. And then they were giving them suggestions on what to say on Twitter or what to
00:34:43.560 report on their, you know, on their websites. And that was an example where, so Eva Cipiuk, 1.00
00:34:50.280 the lawyer, basically was asking someone to grab a clip from the Emergencies Act inquiry 1.00
00:34:55.700 and then offered some suggestions on what to say exactly about the clip. So Andrew Lawton says on
00:35:02.620 it and then 15 minutes later on the on on twitter andrew lawton posts this video clip with the true
00:35:08.700 north um logo on the actual video um and he says here you go eva and then eva says thank you sir
00:35:16.180 so you can sort of see this coordination between the convoy uh lawyers and convoy leaders and these
00:35:23.840 sort of media personalities and it is significant because i don't know that i don't know that people
00:35:29.100 who are just casually scrolling through Twitter realize how organized the messages are that
00:35:34.740 they're seeing, especially from these kind of convoy groups and these far right figures.
00:35:40.520 And what we see here is that at least in one case, all these people are in a big group
00:35:45.280 chat and they're all brainstorming ideas and giving each other directions on what to
00:35:50.940 say about things.
00:35:52.580 Yeah.
00:35:53.020 Yeah. You know, I was surprised when I read this story, but I mean, also not, but somewhat surprised
00:36:01.300 that this wasn't really picked up on by other major outlets. And I think that there's a
00:36:06.780 misconception that I did just want to mention and clear up about Press Progress, that it's somehow
00:36:11.720 tied to the NDP through the Broadbent Institute. But you guys literally have editorial protections
00:36:17.660 in your union's collective agreement.
00:36:20.000 So you have editorial independence.
00:36:22.340 But I guess I'm wondering why you think,
00:36:25.560 because I've struggled with this too,
00:36:27.020 and I think a lot of other folks
00:36:28.320 who aren't necessarily considered part of the mainstream press
00:36:31.780 but aren't fringe either,
00:36:34.720 struggle with mainstream media picking up
00:36:38.320 or following these stories,
00:36:39.860 particularly when it has ties to the far right.
00:36:42.740 Why do you think that is?
00:36:44.160 i think in this case this was a very um i mean this was a pretty deeply investigated story um
00:36:52.640 and in some cases you know other outlets might not have access to the source materials
00:36:56.380 and they might not have luke said he's really good at his job
00:37:00.160 and as we know yeah sorry go ahead and as we both know rachel many of these larger
00:37:08.140 media outlets don't have the bandwidth to do anything it seems like nowadays so you know I
00:37:16.400 think that is part of it and I mean I guess in fairness or to be charitable to some of these
00:37:21.760 bigger outlets they don't have the same resources that they once did so in some cases they might
00:37:26.700 just be looking for an easy story to write and if it requires them spending a day or two digging
00:37:31.440 into it they just don't like literally don't have the bandwidth you know in other cases you know I
00:37:37.220 think there is a tendency to, you know, I guess there's sort of like this access journalism that
00:37:43.360 a lot of the, you know, press gallery type reporters kind of engage in. And I think in
00:37:48.060 those cases, they aren't doing maybe, you know, they aren't doing sort of deep research or
00:37:54.120 investigations into things. To them, they're just sort of asking questions to party officials or to
00:37:59.100 the leaders at scrums or press conferences. And so I guess maybe it just doesn't lend itself
00:38:07.200 to the to those kinds of that kind of reporting i suppose yeah it does feel like we're kind of
00:38:13.440 entering and and have been for a while entering a different era for journalism and as a result
00:38:21.340 election coverage um like we've seen federal leaders do interviews with podcasters over
00:38:27.160 mainstream outlets for example like on the fringier side we saw um also right-wing grifters
00:38:33.100 disrupt media access at the debates. The Brantford boomer meme thing was the result of people who
00:38:42.660 claim to be journalists posting decontextualized images online. And I kind of have three questions
00:38:49.480 in one here. So maybe I'll just start with the first one. But actually, you know, I'll just
00:38:53.700 throw them all at you and you can just play with it however you want, because they do feel like
00:38:57.420 interrelated. I'm curious about what like what you make of this shift in our information ecosystem,
00:39:02.020 system as well as how Canadians should navigate it and the responsibilities that politicians have
00:39:08.000 within it I think it's good and bad um so I okay there's many ways you can answer this question
00:39:17.600 I think let's start with being the nicest we can to the politicians I think that they
00:39:23.000 like the idea that they can have kind of a uh I don't want to say a safe space but you know a
00:39:29.300 space that isn't super a space that isn't super critical where they can just talk at length and
00:39:35.920 don't have to worry about getting ambushed necessarily uh so that voters can get a sense
00:39:40.820 of who they are and i think in some cases that can be valuable i mean i think we saw in the um
00:39:47.860 in the u.s election uh like kamala harris went on um remind me about which podcast it was i
00:39:56.320 there was oh do you know the podcast i'm thinking of i'm drawing a blank i actually listened to it
00:40:03.140 but i can't remember oh i don't remember call me daddy is that what oh yes she did uh call her
00:40:09.140 daddy call her daddy that's right yes um so yeah she went on on that podcast and i mean i guess
00:40:15.340 that's an opportunity to reach certain audiences that might not normally um might not normally uh
00:40:24.540 you know, be watching, I mean, they're not watching CNN, they're not watching Fox News
00:40:29.580 necessarily. So you're reaching new audiences. I think they like that idea about it. And maybe
00:40:33.800 there is some merit to it from that perspective. The flip side of that is they might not be facing
00:40:39.220 critical questions. They might be given an opportunity to say things that are demonstrably
00:40:44.480 false and no one's going to challenge them on it. And yeah, so I mean, I think it can be a bit of a
00:40:51.840 a double-edged sword, I suppose. But yeah, I mean, the thing is, I think political campaigns
00:40:58.080 are always looking for the next big thing, the next big medium that's going to reach all these
00:41:04.740 younger Gen Z audiences or reach new audiences that they didn't connect with before. And I think
00:41:12.340 that's kind of part of what's happening here. And it seems to me like every two or three years,
00:41:16.320 there's a new hot new thing that's kind of on the scene like it's like it's tick tock one day
00:41:22.320 before that i mean it was like facebook and twitter and now those things are kind of considered
00:41:26.460 yeah i mean now it's almost legacy media at this point well except meta's not letting them show up
00:41:34.400 there you know that's right that's right yeah yeah um so so yeah that's i think that's kind of
00:41:43.060 what's what's going on with that and it's a double a sword a hundred percent um okay i have
00:41:49.200 been a little greedy with your time here but i did have one last question i wanted to ask you
00:41:54.280 which is was there anything you know you've been doing this for a while was there anything in this
00:41:59.880 election campaign that you learned that surprised you oh my goodness um if not that's okay if you
00:42:07.940 know everything that's fine what has surprised me about this election i think the biggest surprise
00:42:15.620 for me is how pierre pauliev has completely blown his lead and now appears to be potentially uh he
00:42:23.460 might lose his own riding according to the globe mail this morning um it's really really interesting
00:42:30.020 i mean i i i will say i'm not surprised because i do know that politics uh is so unpredictable
00:42:36.500 And no one should ever take, I mean, I guess to go back to the question of do you believe the polls, no one should ever, you know, fully believe that what's happening one day couldn't change the next.
00:42:47.180 And I guess the takeaway is just to remember that, you know, world events, there can be external events that will just shake everything up and completely change the landscape.
00:42:58.720 And that is kind of the way politics works, right?
00:43:03.240 I mean, it's, you never know what's going to happen from one day to the next and things can completely change from week to week.
00:43:09.880 Actually, to go back to 2015, which was the first federal election that I covered, that one was really interesting because it started off, it was actually the longest election ever because Stephen Harper decided to call it like a three-month election for some reason.
00:43:24.540 Oh my God, that sounds horrible.
00:43:27.380 It started off and the NDP under Tom Mulcair was actually leading in all the polls.
00:43:32.020 and then there was this uh you know the syrian refugee crisis happened and that really shook
00:43:37.180 up the election and then stephen harper got into a very xenophobic um it started really pushing
00:43:43.400 very xenophobic rhetoric and i was talking about the cultural practices line and yeah and then
00:43:48.460 niqab and all that stuff yeah i mean that sort of changed things and then harper seemed to be
00:43:52.820 trending up at one point and then justin trudeau who was in third place leapfrogged everyone at the
00:43:59.000 like in the last two weeks of the election and then ended up becoming prime minister and was
00:44:03.080 prime minister for a decade. So just goes to show that anything can happen. That is a great note to
00:44:10.120 wrap things up on, um, because it's exciting. And I think that, uh, we're all going to be watching
00:44:16.320 with bated breath on Monday. Um, Luke, I asked you everything I wanted to ask you. I'm going to give
00:44:23.780 you a chance to pump your socials in a second, but before I do that, was there anything that we
00:44:27.600 didn't touch on that you want to say while you have this platform uh no just to ask everyone
00:44:35.980 to subscribe to bubble pop by hey thank you so much luke and subscribe to press progress
00:44:42.520 speaking of which luke where can people find you where can they keep up with you
00:44:46.920 so you will not find me on x.com because i shut down my x account uh i'm now on blue sky you can
00:44:53.540 find me at lukelebrun.ca on blue sky. Perfect. And obviously his reporting is how it's done
00:44:59.260 press progress. They do reporting, they've got podcasts going on. So lots of good stuff there.
00:45:04.980 Luke, thank you so much for your time. I really appreciate it, particularly
00:45:08.360 in this busy final week of the federal election campaign. Thank you so much.
00:45:13.640 Yeah, absolutely. Anytime, Rachel.
00:45:17.260 Thank you for listening to this week's episode of Bubble Pop. I'm Rachel Gilmore,
00:45:21.300 your least favorite person's least favorite journalist if you enjoyed this episode consider
00:45:25.660 subscribing to bubble pop on youtube patreon sub stack or wherever you like to listen you can also
00:45:31.200 find me on tiktok instagram twitch and blue sky i'd like to say a special thank you to hans vivian
00:45:36.980 wenzel for making the incredibly groovy music for bubble pop you can find more of his stuff on
00:45:41.720 spotify under the artist name hans that's a lowercase h with an exclamation mark thanks again
00:45:47.640 for spending this time with me. Doing this is genuinely my dream job and there is no way I
00:45:52.520 could do it if you weren't here listening and supporting me. So thank you so much again and
00:45:57.900 I will see you next time.