00:00:00.000Welcome back to Dreaming Against the Machine. I'm your host, Adam Becker. This week's guest
00:00:07.900is Kathy O'Neill. She is a mathematician, an algorithmic auditor, and the author of
00:00:15.520Weapons of Math Destruction, among other books and essays. Kathy is also a friend and
00:00:23.580And was one of the people who first made me aware of the idea of algorithmic bias and the fact that computer systems do not just neutrally enforce rules, but are tools that are used to exercise power.
00:00:44.380In fact, I remember back when her book, Weapons of Math Destruction, first came out, I went
00:00:51.600to see her speak, and she said something that has stuck with me now for over a decade.
00:00:57.580She said that a friend of hers asked her why she wrote a book about math, and she said,
00:03:29.900That's like the oldest thing about my book is like the subtitle is how big data increases inequality and threatens democracy.
00:03:36.620I remember big data. Yeah. Yeah. But at the time I wrote it, I like every fucking I'm allowed to swear on this podcast, right? Yes. I am from New Jersey. You can swear on this podcast because I'm a big I'm big on it on the swearing words. Yeah, no, that's one of the reasons we're friends. Yeah. Okay, cool. Yeah. No, I mean, like everything was like all the generalistic articles, all the books were just like big data is going to make everything great.
00:04:05.800and it's going to make everything fair and it's going to be so wonderful um and and you know what
00:04:11.720like my book was the first of many like absolutely fucking not books um and i've been really happy to
00:04:18.480see the absolutely fucking not books coming out but but i feel like we're so in some sense lots0.76
00:04:23.480of things have changed for the better like we don't trust algorithms but we are hearing the0.83
00:04:28.700same kind of like crappy hype stuff marketing like everything's gonna be great with the ai stuff now
00:04:34.920So I also feel like, really? Again? Not that we trust it. I mean, again, I think the thing I wanted to make sure people were aware of is that these things are not trustworthy. We should not hand over our autonomy and our agency and our big, important moral decisions. We just shouldn't hand that all over to capitalistic machines. And I feel like we still know that, but it's happening anyway.
00:05:02.720So one of the things I want to talk about is what we can do about that. But before we jump into that, I do want to just ask something I realized I don't know about you, which is you worked as a quant. You worked for an investment firm, and then you ended up in Occupy Wall Street. Can you explain that journey a little bit?
00:05:29.940Well, I guess the easiest way of explaining it is that I was like unbelievably naive.
00:05:38.400Like I was a hedge fund quant at D.E. Shaw.
00:05:41.100And that was back in the time in 2006 is when I applied and got the job.
00:05:45.680And I started in 2007, early 2007, before the market started getting turbulent, which they did in August, like the month after I actually joined the firm.
00:08:03.480So interesting place to work, making good money,
00:08:06.700learning a lot, mathematically fascinating,
00:08:09.600like really, truly interesting, like on a daily basis.
00:08:14.020Also, I was like, I'm trying to front run like CalPERS,
00:08:18.520which is like the, you know, retirement pension fund for California teachers.
00:08:25.400And I was just like, I just don't feel good about this.
00:08:27.940I don't, I feel like a junkyard dog, like a scavenger, like eating, like tearing the flesh out of old teachers, you know, retired teachers.
00:11:25.600it's like much worse for the environment yeah it's much more of a threat to our way of life
00:11:31.860yeah if we're you know normal people so i you know i just i just think yeah like it it's not
00:11:39.360we shouldn't poo-poo it as as like oh this is just statistics on a mac it's not it's gotten
00:11:44.840way bigger than that no yeah that's fair yeah um no i was just being glib as i want to be
00:11:52.820sometimes but um but yeah it has gotten worse and it feels like it's eaten the entire economy
00:11:59.940um it's interesting though because like just thinking about what's happened over the last
00:12:05.28010 years thinking about the the sort of career path that you were just talking about i remember
00:12:10.780i moved out to the bay when i finished my phd so what 2012 and that was right around the shift
00:12:19.940from when people were saying big data to data science, I think, right around then. And I had
00:12:26.640the profile of a data scientist in that I had a PhD in a quantitative field and knew how to code
00:12:36.200in Python and had some experience working with reasonably large data sets and running code
00:12:43.880remotely on reasonably powerful computers. And then instead of becoming a data scientist,
00:12:49.800I became a journalist because I had this premonition that if I became a data scientist, I would
00:12:57.460wake up feeling nauseated every day, which I guess is what happened to you.
00:13:03.460But I thought that that was pretty bad already.
00:13:08.480And I didn't anticipate how much worse it was going to get or how much of the U.S.
00:13:16.320and global economy it was going to eat.
00:13:18.460And continues to threaten. I don't know how you feel about it, but I'm like whipsawed on a daily basis between like, oh my God, there won't be mathematicians anymore. And I'll say more about that if you want.
00:13:34.720But two, this is just so bullshit.0.98
00:13:38.640And the companies are going to stop using AI0.99
00:13:42.720because no one's asking the right question.
00:13:46.480Instead of asking, what they're asking is,
00:19:03.820But in any event, it's really, you know, I, it feels like it was a long time ago when I did my PhD, but in absolute terms, it's really not that long ago. It was what, like 14 years ago. It's not that long.
00:19:20.740um i recognize so much of what josh wrote about in that article about like the actual process of
00:19:30.320doing that kind of scientific research and i saw what he was saying about you know the way that
00:19:36.880people were doing astrophysics research and without getting into the details that the thing
00:19:42.060that i was worried about and the thing that some of the people he was interviewing were worried
00:19:45.940about was, okay, putting aside concerns about how this technology was created, which I think
00:19:55.340those concerns are reasonable, right? Like concerns about copyright, concerns about the massive amounts
00:20:02.840of resources that have to be used, like natural resources that have to be used, the amount of
00:20:07.300carbon that has to be put into the atmosphere in order to build up and train these models and
00:20:12.260collect the data in the first place, the sorts of awful biases that are in those data sets and the
00:20:18.900horrible psychological harms inflicted on the people doing the reinforcement learning with
00:20:23.980human feedback, mostly in developing countries in Africa. Putting all of that aside, which I don't
00:20:32.320think we should put aside in the long run or even the short or medium run, putting that aside,
00:20:38.740I can understand where there are places in research where these tools can be useful if
00:20:46.340you are using them very carefully and deliberately. The problem is in order to use them that way,
00:20:53.000you have to know how to do what they're doing without them. And so I worry more about that.
00:20:58.620I'm not so sure about if I believe you. Okay. I think that you're talking about worst,
00:21:03.260like best case scenario, best case scenario, like, oh, thanks for doing that more efficiently
00:22:05.120he made some predictions that really got under my skin he like really got under my skin i i don't
00:22:12.840think i've ever gotten so riled up on a podcast and i'll just say briefly and people should listen
00:22:19.060to it because he's he's i want to be fair to him but i wait hold on time out we haven't even
00:22:24.780mentioned that you have a podcast yeah yeah we have i have a podcast it's called ai skeptics
00:22:30.020And I originally invited you to be a co-host of my AI Skeptics podcast, but you decided that was too negative. AI Skeptics is too negative. And a name. And I just think you're wrong about that. But anyway, so I have a different co-host, my friend and colleague, Jake Appel.
00:22:48.860I am honored that you asked me to do it. And I still probably think that I made a mistake by saying no, but I think we're both having fun doing what we do.
00:22:57.160We are having fun. I definitely am. It's like my favorite moment of the week. And you were one of my early guests, and I'm on your podcast. So it's nice to do it this way. Anyway, Daniel was on, and his prediction for the future of mathematics was like, we're not going to do this stuff anymore. We're going to ask the computer to do it.
00:23:15.960And our job is basically going to be like reading the tea leaves of the proofs that it creates.
00:23:22.780Like he, well, Google, like, sorry, OpenAI used a particular version of ChatTBT, which they claim wasn't fine-tuned, but I don't believe them.
00:23:32.020And they tried a bunch of different Erdős open problems.
00:23:36.820There's, I think, 600 of them, 100 times each.
00:23:41.380and like you could multiply the cost of this.
00:23:46.480It was millions and millions of dollars to get this result.
00:24:48.000Like I want, I feel like handing over proofs to a machine is like seeding the aha moment of discovery.
00:24:57.740Unfortunately, we still live in capitalism.
00:24:59.760And that means we need to talk about our partners and sponsors.
00:25:02.880But fortunately, our partners and sponsors are great.
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00:29:15.440And before I start crying, let me just say that, like, just the idea of telling him, like, here's what math is going to look like in a hundred years.
00:29:24.520Like, I'm kind of just like, I'm glad he's not here to see this.
00:29:28.460Well, first of all, in the same way that this is a podcast where we can swear, this is also very much a podcast where we can cry.
00:29:37.820Maybe I really do need that glass of wine.
00:29:39.800Yeah, maybe you do need that glass of wine.
00:29:44.480oh man um i yeah i mean honestly you're gonna make me cry because now i'm thinking about the
00:29:52.400nerd counts where i sort of figured out who i was and also thinking about the mentors who meant
00:29:59.400a lot to me and also i don't i feel obliged to say this even though it might make you cry
00:30:05.340more but also like hampshire college is going away yeah it was very fitting to be there we
00:30:11.760were there when everybody at him like all the staff at hampshire college got fired the same
00:30:15.540day as the memorial it was just brutal it's a brutal ending yeah in so many ways i've never
00:30:22.520been to hampshire college but i've always known about it and sort of admired it from afar and was
00:30:27.160happy that it existed it's exactly what you think it's like this bastion of hippie love like there's
00:30:34.220other ways of thinking there's other ways of prioritizing truth and knowledge and beauty
00:30:40.400and love and it was really special i mean i guess that's one of the things that kind of like going
00:30:47.720back to ai and its long-term influence which i you know we did we talked short-term and medium-term
00:30:53.920but like long-term it upsets me that it's like so homogenizing of thought yeah you know i feel
00:31:02.340like we're all just gonna we're being very much encouraged just to offload our critical thinking
00:31:06.880to ai if we even have critical thinking anymore but like offloading our way of thinking and it is
00:31:14.420scary how how many people around me right now and i consider myself like a little pocket of
00:31:22.540resistance but even the people around me at being like well claude told me blah blah blah and i just
00:31:27.500want to punch them in the face every time like stop asking yeah no same the place to me where
00:31:33.820it's the most visible, and maybe this is just because this is what I do, but I see it in writing.0.98
00:31:38.500Right? I mean, I really believe in the old saw that writing is thinking. And I think that when
00:31:46.480you offload your writing to ChatGPT or, you know, Claude or whatever, you are offloading your
00:31:53.640thinking. And this gets me to the stuff that I was, you know, sort of in the process of saying
00:32:00.200that I was worried about regarding astrophysics and cosmology, which is, you know, I'm worried
00:32:04.040about de-skilling people learning how to do these things only with AI and not learning how to do
00:32:08.480them for themselves, which is terrifying, but less terrifying than what you were just talking
00:32:14.140about regarding math. And definitely also something that people are saying about
00:32:18.540astrophysics and cosmology. And that makes me want to scream and cry. But seeing the way that
00:32:29.500people's thinking is getting, you know, smoothed out and homogenized. Like you were saying, like,
00:32:35.780like replacing your own voice with the smeared out averaged voice of the internet.
00:32:44.600I work hard at my writing. I have worked hard at my writing for a long time since before I
00:32:50.520became a professional writer. It was an important creative outlet for me. And then like a,
00:32:54.300Like a fool and many people before me, I let my creative outlet become my job.0.95
00:33:00.500So then I had to find a new creative outlet, which these days is photography.0.89
00:33:03.560But one of the things that I work hard at and that I think a lot of writers work hard at is finding ways to make your writing express your voice more authentically.
00:33:16.480Like, I want my writing to sound like me, and I want to make sure that I'm there on the page with the reader, so that when the reader reads what I have to say, it's a conversation between the two of us, even though it's one way.
00:35:52.620I'm not convinced that that's where we're heading.
00:35:56.860And I also think that we have a choice about that.
00:35:59.820I mean, because first of all, I don't think that large language models and, you know, the sorts of AI that could be like immediate descendants of large language models are conscious and like having experiences in the world in any meaningful way.
00:36:21.260And I do think that that's an important part of doing all of this stuff.
00:36:25.500Adam, I think I might have asked you this when we were talking before, but one of my favorite arguments along these lines is like, if you read a really good review of a restaurant written by AI, would you think that it's a good restaurant?
00:39:16.460And we're going to finally see some, you know, response from policymakers.1.00
00:39:22.120Because like, there's my experience with like harm, which is what I do, like AI harm or algorithmic harm, is that nobody cares until someone's dead.
00:45:05.880And then let's pack the court so we can actually have that regulation stand up and not get thrown out by an unelected, partisan, unaccountable supermajority.
00:51:36.260that we're there yet. Maybe I'm wrong.
00:51:38.040Listen, I'm a big fan of Momdani, and I love the fact that, you know, and also, by the way, going back to 20-somethings, 20-somethings are fans of socialism.
00:51:50.460And the idea that the democratic establishment is like, oh, that's fringe and far too left and we can't possibly.
00:51:56.980What they're asking for is like affordable college and affordable health care.
00:52:27.440Thanks again to this week's guest, Kathy O'Neill.
00:52:29.700Next week, I talk with Alondra Nelson, who is the former head of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy under Joe Biden.
00:52:40.140And we talked about how to make scientific research work better and move on from the horrible damage that is being done by the current administration.