00:02:47.140I think my weirdness with this episode is the culmination of my weirdness with every
00:02:52.260episode of the show, where both of us are interested in public health, in the kinds
00:02:58.600of things that are prescribed, how drugs get approved, what they mean societally.
00:03:03.440Whereas because Americans have been trained by health media for our entire lives to see
00:03:10.060everything through an individualistic lens. We are going to be spending basically this entire
00:03:15.840episode talking about the narratives around Ozempic and Wegovy. We have this new generation0.99
00:03:23.220of weight loss drugs that as of now appear to deliver much more weight loss than any previous
00:03:28.480generation of weight loss drugs. And we've had this immediate huge wave of media being like,
00:03:35.380is this the end of obesity? Does this invalidate body positivity? And like being a dietician in
00:03:41.980the age of Ozempic and all this just insufferable kind of end point prediction stuff based on very
00:03:48.900little information. And what we are interested in and like what we have been talking about
00:03:54.360behind the scenes nonstop for the last couple of months is like how poisonous these narratives are.
00:04:01.780but what people tend to hear is like individual health advice mike and aubrey think you shouldn't
00:04:07.340take ozempic or mike and aubrey think you should take ozempic yeah and like that is just not
00:04:12.360something that we are interested in we've said on the show before that if you want to lose weight
00:04:16.940and you want to do keto or a cleanse you can do that we don't we don't have opinions on that yeah
00:04:22.320totally and if people don't want to do that they also shouldn't be pressured yes to do so and i
00:04:28.360just know that this is like a big topic for a lot of people, right? For me included, both because
00:04:34.300I'm engaging with all of this media and fat people writ large are engaging with all this media that
00:04:39.160is like, could we finally be rid of fat people is like the framing of a lot of this conversation.
00:04:46.300But like, on top of that, I mean, we've talked about this before on the show that one of my
00:04:52.120very best friends was diabetic and passed away because she couldn't access treatment.
00:04:56.900Yeah. Right. That was like facilitated by a lot of things. It was facilitated by capitalism and anti-blackness and transphobia and lots of things. But it was also facilitated by our sort of cultural disregard and disdain for people who have diabetes or any health conditions that we deem as, quote unquote, doing it to yourself.
00:05:16.360for many folks this is like a matter of body image which is really tender and personal for
00:05:21.860other folks for people who are on this medication for their diabetes this can very literally be a
00:05:26.940matter of life and death right right we're talking about like a wide range of big feelings and it's
00:05:35.780like understandable right this is one of the most intense and sort of widespread moments of body
00:05:41.900related discourse we've had in quite some time. Right. People who are taking this for weight loss
00:05:47.900are told that they're sort of taking the easy way out, which they absolutely are not. And which also
00:05:53.040presumes that people are fat because they don't try hard enough. Right. Right. And when those
00:05:57.540people are fat, they're often being forced into this kind of weight loss in order to access
00:06:02.140health care treatments, surgeries, other like super basic needs. Right. Right. This just feels
00:06:07.580like huge that way. I think a fun bit for the show would be to just do a bunch of table setting
00:06:13.000and like caveats and then just never get to the topic. Another thing we want to say right off the
00:06:19.060bat. We have gotten dangerously close to an entire episode of caveats. We're working toward it. So
00:06:25.140for part one, we're just going to talk about the drug itself. We're going to talk about
00:06:29.060semaglutide, which is the active ingredient in Ozempic and Wegovi. Ozempic and Wegovi are
00:06:35.780injections that are produced by Novo Nordisk, which is a big pharmaceutical company. They're
00:06:40.880part of a group of medications that are called GLP-1 agonists. GLP-1 helps regulate our hunger
00:06:49.500and satiety signals and production of other hormones like insulin. There are other GLP-1
00:06:57.520agonists sort of on the market, most of them approved for diabetes treatment. Those are
00:07:03.100Rebelsis, Manjaro, and there are about another dozen that are sort of coming down the pipeline.
00:07:09.600Semaglutide has been on the market as a treatment for type 2 diabetes in the U.S. since 2018 under
00:07:14.140the name Ozempic. When it's prescribed for weight loss, it's prescribed under the name Wegovi.
00:07:21.080It's the same thing. They're just different doses. Interestingly, the weight loss one requires a
00:07:26.500higher dosage of semaglutide. So this drug started to be sort of studied. Its glimmers begin
00:07:35.480in 1984 with an endocrinologist at the University of Toronto. His name is Dr. Daniel Drucker,
00:07:44.360and he discovers a new hormone in humans, which is GLP-1. It's called glucagon-like peptide 1.
00:07:53.580girl glucagon as he and other researchers tried to figure out how glp1 functioned in the human
00:08:00.200body it starts to show real promise as a treatment for type 2 diabetes but they have this problem
00:08:06.560glp1 sort of disappears from your system very quickly oh so it makes it really hard to study
00:08:15.200much less sort of reproduce it so they start looking for alternate sources of glp1 that
00:08:20.920might last a little longer than the human version right okay and that's when the gila monster
00:08:27.580comes in oh mike have you ever heard of the gila monster yeah they're like a cute little lizard
00:08:34.720they're like a kind of like a thick like robust lizard i did not know about them before this
00:08:41.560episode i didn't know a thing about them they're the largest lizard in north america they're almost
00:08:46.540two feet i've never seen one in real life but i've seen them in zoo books and they're really cute
00:08:50.020Well, listen, Dr. Drucker had one shipped to him in Toronto because it goes through long periods
00:08:59.540without food and it has the ability to slow down its appetite and metabolism. And Drucker wanted
00:09:06.780to know how they were able to do that. And he discovers that those Gila monsters have genes1.00
00:09:13.440for something called Extendin-4, which when sort of synthesized in a lab, eventually became0.78
00:09:20.600Ozempic. How ironic that a thick lizard gave us thin women. Interesting. Interesting. So1.00
00:09:27.100researchers don't totally know the mechanism for what makes GLP-1 agonists work the way that they
00:09:35.120do. But we do know that semaglutide sort of mimics that GLP-1 hormone that is, again,
00:09:44.600released after you eat. It's part of what makes you feel full and it's part of what signals your
00:09:50.420brain that it's time to stop eating. And so it works by you end up eating less because you just
00:09:55.500basically feel full after each meal. Yeah. So like it triggers your satiety hormone. So like
00:10:00.600ordinarily you'd be hungry again two hours after breakfast, but now it's like three or four hours
00:10:04.400after breakfast. And so over the course of a day, you just end up eating like, I don't know,
00:10:08.78020, 30% less. Yes. And on top of that, it's holding that food longer in your stomach. So
00:10:14.480you are physically full for a longer period of time, right? And it's triggering a release of
00:10:21.680insulin. And also it may help grow pancreatic beta cells, which are the cells that produce
00:10:28.560and release insulin. So it's not just that it helps you release insulin in the short term.
00:10:34.580It's also sort of like building up your ability to release insulin in the midterm.
00:10:38.520Oh, interesting. So it's like flexing a muscle. It's actually like building the muscle that
00:16:44.400And the third option is that it's something else entirely.1.00
00:16:47.200Because this is in shortage and because there is less FDA oversight,
00:16:52.120Right. These compounding pharmacies are not required to tell anyone what's in the drugs that they are giving people. Right. This may sound niche. These compounding pharmacies may sound niche. This is every web advertisement you see that says Ozempic for $99 a month or $499 a month or whatever.
00:17:13.340all of these all of the little startups that are like just call and talk to a doctor and you'll
00:17:18.940have it the next day all of that stuff is powered by compounding pharmacies no way so this got so
00:17:28.420bad the compounding pharmacy stuff has gotten so bad that the fda has issued a number of official
00:17:33.180warnings about this and specifically has warned against buying from these startups this is such
00:17:39.740a bizarre system it's so weird it's like there's a shortage of this drug so we're just gonna like
00:17:46.320let people buy it from like weird fly-by-night carnival barker ass companies selling whatever0.87
00:17:52.600the fuck on the internet we're not gonna regulate it at all there's not an enforcement mechanism0.91
00:17:57.160beyond these letters so far right like they're not they're not doing more than that yet at least not0.99
00:18:03.860in reporting do you have any sense of like when this could resolve itself like as novo nordis
00:18:08.740said that they're massively ramping up production? Basically, the goalposts just keep getting moved
00:18:13.660for when the shortage will end. You know, I checked a couple of months ago, it said it would
00:18:18.440be over by the fall. I checked again, it said it would be over by the end of the year. Oh,
00:18:22.540it's like self-driving cars. It's always five years away. Right on the horizon. As we're talking
00:18:28.060about these compounding pharmacies, big weight loss companies are buying up these startups.
00:18:34.040oh weight watchers bought one of these and their stock price jumped almost 60 in a day oh from
00:18:40.860like 12 cents to like 16 cents or something yeah i mean listen it's weight watchers stock was not
00:18:45.820doing great but the 60 increase is a 60 increase you know they've gone from a limp to a gate and
00:18:51.340i would say because the discourse around this is all focused on like the real housewives are taking1.00
00:18:58.380it and frivolous rich people and celebrities are taking it it makes the issue seem like it isn't
00:19:04.460incredibly pressing and important right particularly for people with type 2 diabetes particularly for
00:19:11.660people who can't access health care and other basic needs at their current weight this is the
00:19:16.740other thing about this discourse that drives me utterly fucking bananas is that there's not
00:19:21.580meaningful acknowledgement of the straight up income barriers to getting this medication0.85
00:19:28.000that this is a shortage that is largely presumably created by people with the disposable income
00:19:35.000to pay out of pocket for a weight loss medication that almost no insurers are covering right you and
00:19:42.220i have discussed this until we're blue in the face like neither one of us wants to litigate
00:19:46.020individual behaviors but like that is one that really doesn't sit right with me my views on this
00:19:52.480are also very contingent honestly like once we get to a point where these are super duper available0.98
00:19:57.480if you want to take one to lose 10 pounds, genuinely, I don't give a shit. In the same0.88
00:20:01.300way, I don't give a shit if you want to get a nose job. But like, in time of a shortage.0.99
00:20:05.400The same thing. There's an Adderall shortage. If you're not prescribed Adderall, don't take
00:20:09.380Adderall right now. If you don't need sriracha, I've been doing my part in buying slightly less
00:20:15.880sriracha than usual. Dude, the sriracha shortage has been a big topic of conversation in our
00:20:21.140household. Are you still doing it? Can I cancel you for eating sriracha in a time of need?
00:20:24.280we had a bottle it was about halfway done i got another one hypocrite totally you're hoarding0.98
00:20:30.940sriracha one and a half bottles come take them from my cold daddy so michael aubrey this is0.94
00:20:39.840unusual for us but this topic was so big and expansive that you and i both actually researched
00:20:48.140this one and i dug in on sort of the discourse side and the reporting side and you really dug
00:20:53.600on the research side so can you walk us through just like what do we know from the research this
00:20:59.640is a weird format break for us because ordinarily like one of us researches and one of us listens
00:21:03.660but like it would be odd to pretend that we haven't both been following this like obsessively
00:21:08.480for the last couple months yes i have deliberately avoided the discourse because i find the discourse
00:21:13.160annoying but i have been following the research and like i have a literal spreadsheet of like
00:21:19.200the various studies that have been done. And for these drugs, there's actually a quite finite
00:21:24.260amount of information. And I just, for the love of God, just want to like walk through what we know
00:21:31.940and what we can expect from these drugs. Yeah. Sounds great. So basically the trials of
00:21:37.320semaglutide for weight loss are all grouped under this heading of the STEP trials, which is the
00:21:44.000semaglutide treatment effect in people with obesity, which should be Stepo, but is actually
00:21:49.760Step. Stepo, what, the fifth Marx brother? Yeah. And these are sort of classic pharmaceutical
00:21:58.780company randomized control trials. They are global. They comprise 5,000 people. All of them
00:22:05.480are 68 weeks long. One of them is a little bit longer. We'll get to it. They are funded by Novo
00:22:10.320Nordisk, of course. And the way that they structure these, they sort of do it like moon
00:22:15.500missions. You know, there's like Apollo 1 and Apollo 2. These large pharmaceutical trials are
00:22:21.340like there's step one, step two, step three, and they break them down into like specific things
00:22:25.940that they want to know. And step one, step two, step three are not different phases in the same
00:22:31.740study, right? They are separate studies. So step one is like the overall just like we're going to
00:22:38.180give fat people semaglutide for weight loss. Step two is the same thing, but on people with type 2
00:22:43.980diabetes. Step three is semaglutide with intensive behavioral therapy. BLTs! And then the rest are
00:22:51.580kind of like smaller shading. So step four is they put people on semaglutide for a while and
00:22:58.480then they switch half of them to a placebo. Step five is a two-year trial. Step six and seven are
00:23:04.380the same thing, but they're done on Japanese, South Korean, and Chinese people. And step eight
00:23:09.400is testing semaglutide versus one of the other GLP-1s. So it's semaglutide versus liraglutide.
00:23:16.420So when you say step six and step seven are focusing on East Asian folks, it's worth
00:23:21.980mentioning that most of these trials for Wegovi in particular are just overwhelmingly white,
00:23:30.580as many diet studies are. One of the sort of leading meta-analyses of studies involving
00:23:37.960over 11,000 participants was 80% white, 10% black, and 5% AAPI.
00:23:46.960Although for diet studies, I mean, we both see diet studies that are like 97% white
00:23:51.840fairly frequently. So like, it's funny, like 80% white, I'm like, ooh, not bad.0.99
00:24:50.160So there's one trial where people took semaglutide for two years and like by the end of it, 36% of people had lost more than 20% of their body weight.
00:24:59.620So for about a third of patients, they're losing maybe three times as much weight as previous interventions.
00:25:06.820We should also note that like there are pretty significant health effects of these drugs.
00:25:11.220So even in the shorter term trials, people have better blood pressure.
00:34:27.800And I will say like not just on an individual level, but also like systemically, like I stopped seeing doctors for like eight years.
00:34:38.820I've written about this a bunch of times and that was at the height of like the bariatric surgery craze.
00:34:45.800And that really fucking fueled how doctors would talk to me and what treatments they would offer me. And it was like a very frequent conversation of me being like, hey, I'm 24 and I have an entry level position at a nonprofit where I feel fortunate to have health coverage at all. No, I don't have 25 grand for a weight loss.
00:35:07.220right yeah but that still became a thing right amongst uh health care providers who we already
00:35:13.700know are more likely to think of fat patients as non-compliant as slovenly as unattractive as
00:35:19.920weak-willed as all of these things right like this becomes another reason for that group of people
00:35:26.660also to stop listening to fat people like it's going to get harder for me to get health care
00:35:32.180right that's part of what's about to happen this is this is why i wanted to go out of my way
00:35:37.120to, like, insufferably present the results of these trials as if they will hold up.
00:35:43.280Because even in a world in which that happens, that doesn't call anything into question about
00:36:28.460I'm going to read you the exclusion criteria.
00:36:31.740People were not able to participate in step one if they have a history of major depressive disorder, they have a diagnosis of a severe psychiatric disorder, they fill out the patient health questionnaire with a score of over 15.
00:36:48.980This is one of those questionnaires that has like, you know, I have feelings of hopelessness, like rank from like every day to like never.