Diabolical Lies - March 09, 2025


Hot Chicks, Wings, and the Liquidation Sale of America


Episode Stats


Length

45 minutes

Words per minute

166.92

Word count

7,548

Sentence count

473

Harmful content

Misogyny

19

sentences flagged

Toxicity

58

sentences flagged

Hate speech

24

sentences flagged


Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.320 Today's episode of Diabolical Lies was brought to you by Ronald Reagan's acting career,
00:00:06.140 the unflagging commitment of humanity's relentless love of boobs, NBC's team of 0.82
00:00:12.340 development executives who decided that a real estate nepo baby needed his own reality television 0.81
00:00:17.400 show in 2004, the 300 unused Photoshop licenses that Elon Musk canceled to fix the deficit, 0.98
00:00:24.960 and the reptiles in skin suits running the largest private equity firms in America.
00:00:30.000 Yee-haw!
00:00:31.380 Yee-haw.
00:00:33.140 Caroline, before we get started today, should we do a little bit of housekeeping about how
00:00:38.180 our paid subscribers are going to get to pick the topic of our upcoming episode?
00:00:44.140 Yeah, so we've spoken in the past about the process that we take to decide what topics
00:00:48.300 we're going to cover and how for each Diabolical Lies episode.
00:00:51.540 It is very intensive, and it usually involves a lot of conversations and chaotic nine-minute
00:00:57.420 voice memos between Katie and I.
00:00:58.920 And so we thought that from time to time we would bring you guys in on that fun
00:01:02.160 So I am about to get started on our next paid subscriber episode and we are going to let you guys choose what we're going to talk about
00:01:08.880 I have three pretty spicy topics that i'm interested in dissecting
00:01:13.400 For you know two plus hours the way that we like to do it
00:01:16.440 And so if you are a paid sub stack subscriber
00:01:19.100 You can click on this episode post and you will see an option to vote on the topic that you're most excited for us to cover
00:01:24.920 You'll also obviously have this post in your email
00:01:27.140 And now is a good time to remind everyone how the two different paid subscriber options work.
00:01:31.960 There is the Apple paid subscriber option, which you just subscribed to via the podcast app.
00:01:36.240 That gives you access to the audio only. And then if you want to join the community,
00:01:40.540 if you want to engage in the chats, if you want to see the comments, if you want to
00:01:43.920 watch our live AMAs, if you want to do all that jazz, and also from time to time,
00:01:49.340 choose these topics now, you are a paid Substack subscriber. That is a more expensive
00:01:54.040 subscription option for the obvious. You are getting more bang for your buck.
00:01:58.280 We're trying to formalize those distinctions moving forward. So if you're an Apple paid
00:02:01.880 subscriber, thank you so much. If you want to switch over to being a paid Substack subscriber,
00:02:06.860 we will happily help you do that. We will just ask that you pay basically the difference in
00:02:11.300 subscription cost. So we are so pumped to keep growing this community. It is kind of wild how
00:02:17.100 active our chat is on Substack. And I'm excited to see which topic you guys want us to cover next.
00:02:22.580 it's going to be Caliente. Yes, nobody can say that we are not a democratic podcast.
00:02:28.900 Okay, so, Caro, in the last episode, you asked us, what do we not need evidence to believe?
00:02:34.820 And I would like to offer a related but more specific framing for today's conversation,
00:02:40.720 which is, what does it mean to run something like a business in America today?
00:02:46.740 Ooh, I love that we are pulling a thread between my Lily Phillips episode and Finance in America. 0.83
00:02:54.460 It's very Enora-coded. 0.98
00:02:56.320 Let me introduce you to a different type of gangbang. It's called private equity.
00:02:59.640 Oh my god, perfect.
00:03:00.980 Tell me if you've ever heard one of the following ideas or sentiments expressed by somebody as
00:03:07.840 though it is just common sense, okay? We should run the government like a business.
00:03:12.520 Oh yeah. 1.00
00:03:13.380 Government needs to be downsized.
00:03:15.360 Oh yeah.
00:03:16.120 The government spends too much money?
00:03:18.160 Mm-hmm.
00:03:18.820 The government carries too much debt?
00:03:20.540 Yes.
00:03:21.100 The government is wasteful?
00:03:22.380 Yeah, big time, all of them.
00:03:23.760 So when you hear ideas like these, Caro, how do they strike you?
00:03:27.700 They strike me as very bipartisan.
00:03:30.160 Obviously, Democrats are more pro-government,
00:03:32.200 but I feel like as someone who doesn't understand finance at all,
00:03:35.860 I have theories about how the government spends our money,
00:03:39.060 but I feel like it's something that I would probably agree with,
00:03:43.180 even as someone who's progressive, which is always something interesting,
00:03:46.480 because I don't even understand it, but I think I've been told it so many times
00:03:49.240 that I'm like, yeah, of course, I'm sure the government wastes our money.
00:03:52.860 So today, we're going to talk about what it actually means to run something like a business,
00:03:58.740 the role of the businessman in the American psyche,
00:04:02.240 and why it is key to understanding what's happening right now.
00:04:07.280 And we're going to do all of this through the lens of the news of a recent bankruptcy filing.
00:04:13.180 So, Caro, did you know that Hooters is filing for bankruptcy?
00:04:17.780 I know because you have been yapping about it big time since it happened.
00:04:23.040 But it would not have crossed my radar otherwise.
00:04:26.100 Okay, cool. So, yes, the news came out recently that Hooters, the beloved juggy juggernaut of American fast casual dining, is filing for bankruptcy.
00:04:36.040 Caro, I want you to read the selection of headlines that I pulled from the last several years about Hooters.
00:04:42.040 So if you'll just tell us the year it was published, what it says, and who published it.
00:04:47.360 Okay. This is journalism, people.
00:04:50.680 2023. Fact check.
00:04:53.880 False claim Hooters is shutting down and rebranding to attract more millennials.
00:04:58.080 That's from USA Today.
00:04:59.620 2022. Is Hooters closing because millennials aren't into boobs? 0.52
00:05:04.180 That's from the New York Post.
00:05:06.080 2018. Hooters has a problem.
00:05:08.600 Are it sexist uniforms to blame? That's from Vox.
00:05:12.840 2017. Hooters is shutting down locations, re-strategizing after recent study says millennials aren't that into boobs. That's from Complex. 0.90
00:05:22.040 2017. Millennials have a new attitude about cleavage that's forcing breast-rot Hooters to close locations and change its strategy. That's the Independent. 1.00
00:05:31.580 And then another 2017, psychologically scarred millennials are killing countless industries.
00:05:38.760 That's also from The Independent.
00:05:40.520 And finally, thank God, our favorite source weighed in.
00:05:44.720 We've got one more here. 1.00
00:05:46.780 Oh, these chicks. 1.00
00:05:48.320 Always relevant. 1.00
00:05:49.500 They're always relevant.
00:05:50.760 Evie Magazine in December 2022. 0.95
00:05:53.840 Is Hooters really rebranding because millennials aren't that into boobs anymore?
00:05:57.980 Here's what we know so far. 0.60
00:05:59.980 Here's what we know so far.
00:06:02.140 Tell us what you know, ChatGPT.
00:06:04.640 This is the hard-hitting investigative journalism
00:06:07.140 that people pay $250 a year for.
00:06:09.700 Okay, here is a quote in the Evie piece
00:06:12.600 from author and conservative political activist Nick Adams.
00:06:16.220 That's how he describes himself,
00:06:17.880 not how I would describe him.
00:06:19.660 On Twitter, for a long time,
00:06:21.780 he had alpha male in parentheses after his name.
00:06:26.120 So, like, just to give you a sense.
00:06:27.760 Like his version of he, him, alpha, and male.
00:06:31.700 May I call you either or?
00:06:34.860 All right.
00:06:35.860 Dining at Hooters is a cornerstone of the American male experience. 0.85
00:06:40.080 When the woke feminists and the beta males attack Hooters,
00:06:43.920 they aren't just attacking a restaurant that employs beautiful women to serve cold beer and hot wings.
00:06:49.100 They're attacking the essence of American manhood.
00:06:53.020 Yeah, brother.
00:06:55.260 Oh, thoughts?
00:06:58.460 First of all, Riley and I love a good restaurant.
00:07:03.620 We don't love Hooters, but we have known to partake in Buffalo Wild Wings so often that a beloved family member gave us a gift certificate for Buffalo Wild Wings at Christmas.
00:07:14.420 I was at B-dubs with a couple of my friends, and they paid me $5 to eat an onion, and I did, and then I threw up in the parking lot.
00:07:22.920 So that's my B-dubs score.
00:07:23.760 Oh my God.
00:07:25.000 I'm right there with you, babe.
00:07:26.280 I don't know if I have an iron stomach or what, but I will say, I've mentioned before that Riley
00:07:31.300 and I lived on the road, like on and off for two years in an Airstream that he renovated.
00:07:35.040 And boy, are there food deserts in America. And so we spent a lot of time at chain restaurants
00:07:40.440 when we were driving around places. And we didn't end up going to a Hooters, but I do have a soft
00:07:44.000 spot in my heart for the highways of America, as that one girl said in our earlier episode.
00:07:50.240 Cars.
00:07:51.900 Cars, trash, litter on the side of the road.
00:07:54.220 All right. So, I mean, yeah, who do you suppose this nebulous they is? The woke feminists and the beta males are forcing Hooters into Chapter 11? I want us to pause here. How would you classify the story that has been unfolding in the media about what is happening to Hooters?
00:08:15.520 Is your question, how do we contextualize this with American media?
00:08:19.340 To me, as I looked at this, I was like, okay, so basically what you have here is a cultural explanation. It's that we feel differently about tits now. It's an attack on masculinity. Masculinity is at risk because these pussy soy boy millennials don't understand the value of a good mid-market fast casual chain.
00:08:37.480 Yeah, it's also interesting because when I think about the mall in my local hometown, there were probably 40 big American brands and they have since been consolidated to maybe 10 or 15. So I'm also kind of like, I don't know, it's hard for me to believe that Hooters is ending or shutting down because of woke feminism when a Buffalo Wild Wings, which is very alpha male coded in its own way, is doing just fine. 1.00
00:09:01.460 Well, that's because you have a brain, Caroline, so I'm going to need you to suspend that for a moment. Here's another analysis in the New Statesman, which is a more liberal publication.
00:09:14.280 I like the new statesman.
00:09:16.080 Hooters has all the trappings of a great institution. 0.97
00:09:18.680 Good food, low prices, attractive women.
00:09:22.100 The sudden closure of more than 40 branches of the chain in the U.S.
00:09:25.820 is perhaps one of the surest signs that America in 2024 occupies a different universe
00:09:31.000 to the one Hooters entered into in the 1980s, okay?
00:09:34.840 This looks like the beginning of the end of the American restaurant dream.
00:09:39.880 Rising food and labor costs are eroding the fast-casual dining sector's reputation for affordability.
00:09:46.240 Like many restaurants under pressure from current market conditions,
00:09:49.780 Hooters has made the difficult decision to close a select number of underperforming stores.
00:09:54.500 A company's statement read,
00:09:56.320 Fox News blamed its usual suspect.
00:09:59.440 Bidenomics hits Hooters.
00:10:02.000 The chain is truculent, arguing that it remains both resilient and, quote, highly relevant.
00:10:08.420 One conservative pundit joked that the Hooters in Gainesville, Florida, closed permanently today.
00:10:13.700 If that one can't survive Biden's economy, no one can.
00:10:17.840 Others think that the gimmick has simply played out.
00:10:20.180 That the boobs-in-your-face-slap-the-waitress-on-the-backside kind of restaurant experience just isn't that fun anymore.
00:10:27.700 The Gen Z and millennial social justice activists are quick to label more innocuous things as deplorable or problematic.
00:10:35.100 Hooters is hardly a fitting HQ for this HR revolution. 1.00
00:10:38.140 Or maybe, after 40 years, it turns out that America is just more of an ass guy. 1.00
00:10:42.440 That's fucking good. 1.00
00:10:44.720 So. 0.98
00:10:46.720 There's a lot here.
00:10:48.020 There's so much here. 0.72
00:10:49.000 So, like, where a right-wing or moderate source might point to millennials, their pesky feminism,
00:10:56.460 a more liberal source might mention those things, sure,
00:10:59.000 but it's also going to point to things like economic hardship or social justice
00:11:03.340 as having some explanatory power.
00:11:07.320 So you have your usual suspects. You have young people are more socially conscious than the old farts who enjoyed places like Hooters. You have market conditions are hard because of rising food and labor costs, which make fast casual dining less affordable. You have the idea that America is culturally different from the 1980s, and that's why restaurants like Hooters are struggling. 0.92
00:11:28.600 And there is a kernel of truth to all of this, but the problem is that none of this is even close to the real reason why Hooters is now declaring bankruptcy. 0.99
00:11:41.620 Oh, shit. 0.98
00:11:42.480 What is that reason, Caroline? 1.00
00:11:44.220 The answer will stun and amaze you, okay?
00:11:49.440 It's private equity.
00:11:51.300 Oh, no way.
00:11:53.660 Oh, my God.
00:11:55.000 Oh, my God.
00:11:56.060 Shock and awe gasp.
00:11:57.380 Yes.
00:11:57.600 I never would have guessed. Not private equity.
00:12:02.000 So when they declared, when Nick Adams or whatever his name is, 0.99
00:12:06.620 declared that the woke beta soy boys were to blame, he was right. 0.97
00:12:10.020 He just did not specify that it was the woke beta soy boys who run private equity firms.
00:12:16.120 Okay, so in order to really understand what's going on here, 0.85
00:12:19.620 we kind of have to do a primer on private equity.
00:12:22.500 So special shout out to the DOJ prosecutor who I have befriended against his will, who specializes in private equity, who taught me all of these things.
00:12:32.000 But first of all, Caroline, what do you know about how private equity works?
00:12:36.200 All right, this is where the mask comes off, folks.
00:12:42.140 I think that you chose this episode as a way to intellectually neuter me in front of our community.
00:12:47.860 Okay, what do I know about private equity?
00:12:50.060 My best description would be they buy companies, strip them for parts and basically take the profitable bits and then just like leave the carcass behind and move on to the next victim. Is that correct?
00:13:02.860 That's actually a great explanation. Yeah. So all I want to do now is add some color to like mechanically how that happens. Simply put, private equity firms make money with a relatively predictable playbook. So that's not to say that every single P.E. firm works this way or that every single P.E. institution in America is like doing this. But you do tend to see this pattern play out over and over again.
00:13:29.100 The process of private equity investment is you use a little bit of the firm's money,
00:13:35.980 you take some money from investors, and then you combine that money with a lot of debt,
00:13:41.520 and you use those funds to buy a company with the intention of selling it for more money later.
00:13:47.280 So you have three funding sources, okay? You have the firm's money, you have investors' money,
00:13:51.840 and you have debt. Prior to the 21st century, the less euphemistic name for this process,
00:13:59.100 was a leveraged buyout because you're using leverage or debt to acquire a company, but then
00:14:05.520 that company is who owns the debt. Like, they are the ones responsible for paying back the debt.
00:14:12.200 PE guys used to be called corporate raiders before we all got more, like, comfortable with our
00:14:17.760 economy being constantly raided. So if you've ever heard the term corporate raiders, that was almost
00:14:22.480 certainly referring to private equity. That's really interesting. That's a way more accurate
00:14:26.720 depiction of what's happening. So this part is very, very important that the company that they
00:14:31.720 are buying is the one that owns the debt. It's like the PE firm does not technically hold it.
00:14:37.440 So we'll get into kind of the nuances of that in a little bit. But the buyers, the private equity
00:14:42.120 firm, they then use the cash flow from the business's operations to service the debt that
00:14:47.800 they used to buy the company. So for example, if I used my own money and a bunch of debt to buy a
00:14:54.780 Competitor's Feminist Podcast. That would not be expensive.
00:15:01.140 So I'm going to borrow $50, okay? I would use their subscriber revenues to make the monthly
00:15:07.320 payments on the debt that I took out to buy them. So then slowly over time, I'm like increasing my
00:15:12.520 share of ownership as my equity becomes worth more and their subscriber revenue is paying down
00:15:18.380 the debt or the leverage that I had used to purchase them. Okay. There is a legitimate role
00:15:23.600 for finance and like for this process for debt in the economy, some businesses are very capital
00:15:29.760 intensive. Like you and I started a media company together called Mouthy Media. We are now the
00:15:33.980 co-owners of that media company. It owns this podcast that we produce. And we didn't need
00:15:39.260 capital or investors to do that because media is a very low capital expenditure business,
00:15:44.000 or it can be. But if we wanted to start Mouthy Airlines, we would have needed investment from
00:15:50.360 somewhere. Because when you get started with an airline, you need $100 million for a single plane.
00:15:55.640 Someone would have had to take a risk, invest in our vision, and that investment can come from
00:16:01.620 private investors who want to make a profit. It can come from government loans. It can come from
00:16:05.840 public markets. But the point is that providing capital, that sort of investment, debt financing,
00:16:11.620 whatever, it does play a necessary role in the economy that can be totally innocuous.
00:16:17.420 At issue here, though, is that in a modern economy, a disproportionately high number of private equity deals are just looting.
00:16:27.300 It's just stripping for parts.
00:16:31.400 I'm so upset.
00:16:33.820 This goes against every conventional piece of wisdom, right?
00:16:38.140 Why would you want to run a company that you have just purchased into the ground? 1.00
00:16:43.880 Maybe they've employed too many Black people and women, and we need to put them in their place and make this place America again. 1.00
00:16:52.540 They could have a wheelchair ramp in the front, and we definitely don't want those. 1.00
00:16:57.520 Am I getting close? 1.00
00:16:59.480 Yeah, I mean, yeah, frankly, yes.
00:17:02.120 You do this if a company is worth more to you dead than alive.
00:17:05.560 That's the simplest reason.
00:17:06.780 So to give you a sense of how often these deals go bad, 20% of large companies that are acquired through leveraged buyouts go bankrupt within a decade.
00:17:18.180 20%, that is a rate 10 times higher than the average, the 2% of comparable companies not acquired by PE firms that go bankrupt.
00:17:28.720 So basically what we're saying is like, of the large companies that are acquired by leveraged buyouts, one in five of them goes bankrupt within 10 years, as opposed to one in 50 that would go bankrupt if PE were not involved.
00:17:45.840 I see what you're saying. Okay.
00:17:46.880 You could make the case that, and this is a common defense, by the way, that PE firms often buy companies that might already be distressed.
00:17:54.700 So there is some selection bias of if you're only buying companies that you think you can get a good price on or whatever, like there might already be something wrong that's then going to cause a bankruptcy later.
00:18:03.760 But the body of research around this topic points to the fact pretty conclusively that P.E.'s extractive processes, this playbook that we're going to walk through today, tends to drive companies into bankruptcy.
00:18:17.180 And something that I don't think most people realize about Chapter 11 bankruptcy is that it does not mean you're going out of business.
00:18:23.380 It means you are getting out from under the debt you have taken on and restructuring.
00:18:27.960 All I think about with bankruptcy is Michael Scott going, I declare bankruptcy.
00:18:33.760 They're like, Michael, you can't just say it.
00:18:38.080 So bankruptcy actually tells you very little about a business beyond the fact that it just has too much debt.
00:18:43.960 Like, that's the only thing it can, like, really tell you for sure. 0.97
00:18:47.200 So at this point in my journey learning about private equity, I was like, how the fuck are they making money? 0.65
00:18:52.180 If we're only talking about debt, I actually don't understand how they're getting rich from this process. 0.93
00:18:58.820 But there are a lot of different ways that they make money on these deals.
00:19:02.720 One guaranteed way is by assessing fees to the companies that they buy.
00:19:08.700 So the first way comes in the form of something called transaction fees.
00:19:11.660 This is a fee that you get when the portfolio company executes a big deal or, like, sells off its assets.
00:19:17.900 This sort of creates an incentive to make big moves.
00:19:22.140 Like, typically, these firms will sell the real estate that these companies own so that they can get a big boost of money right away.
00:19:29.180 they take their transaction fee on that value,
00:19:31.360 and then they rent the locations back.
00:19:34.140 It'd be like, Caroline, if you sold your house
00:19:37.160 and then you had to pay me 2% or whatever of the value of the sale,
00:19:41.660 but then I said, okay, now we're going to actually rent your house.
00:19:44.320 So it's a short-term windfall because you can realize the value quickly,
00:19:49.100 collect your transaction fee of the deal,
00:19:50.720 but then you've introduced this longer-term liability in the form of rent.
00:19:53.700 There are also management fees,
00:19:56.300 which are purely fees that you just pay every quarter or every year to the PE firm simply
00:20:01.800 because the firm owns you and is, quote, managing you. So in the feminist podcast example, it would
00:20:07.120 be like if we bought someone else's feminist podcast for $25 in a Best Buy gift card. And
00:20:12.740 beyond loading them up with debt, we also charged them 2% of their company's value annually as a
00:20:19.620 management fee because, like, we're their managers now. So if they make $100,000 per year, some of
00:20:24.120 that money is going to be used to pay back the debt that we took out to buy them, but they're
00:20:27.540 also going to have to pay us $2,000 just because we own them now. Does that make sense?
00:20:32.300 Yeah, that comparison work. It's also what we do to other countries, right? We bomb them and then
00:20:37.620 we make them do all this nice stuff for us and then we like destroy all their shit. I feel like 1.00
00:20:42.260 this is correct for that feminist podcast analogy. I feel like it's also vaguely correct for Iraq.
00:20:47.460 this is so deeply american to me like of course this was where finance was going to end up 0.93
00:20:55.500 this feels so fucking chef's kiss patriotic i feel patriotic 0.93
00:21:00.120 slowly just start raising a flag waving it yes so typically the private equity firm only gets 0.98
00:21:08.860 to keep 20% of any profits of the company, but it gets to keep 100% of the fees. So that kind of
00:21:17.780 creates this soft incentive to extract money quickly from the business. And so what often
00:21:24.320 happens is they will assess these fees to their portfolio companies, and obviously this company
00:21:29.540 is already paying back debt, and the company will end up having to take out more debt in order to
00:21:36.240 service the fees, pay back the original debt, and just finance the ongoing operation of the
00:21:42.680 company. Because by the way, you still have to run the business while you are managing
00:21:47.660 all of these other expenses that are being enforced on you by the PE firm.
00:21:53.360 And is the PE firm, is this the PE firm? That's my subconscious. Is the PE firm,
00:21:57.500 like, is there outward facing claim similar to a PWC consultant where it's like, I'm just looking
00:22:03.420 for efficiencies. We're just trying to make them more efficient. Is that kind of what the outward
00:22:07.760 facing claim is? Yep, exactly. Okay. So this is the quintessential move, right? You basically
00:22:12.940 have a business that gets saddled with debt, saddled with interest costs, management fees,
00:22:17.860 transaction fees, other complex financialization as part of this deal. It just crumbles under its
00:22:23.500 own weight. It cannot both run the business and continue operating and generate all these returns
00:22:30.400 for its investors because the margins are just not there. So the firm owners might also look
00:22:36.100 for ways to cut costs quickly. This is the efficiency piece that you just raised. And
00:22:39.960 often this just means like, oh, we're going through a restructuring, which is a very nice
00:22:43.880 way of saying we're doing mass layoffs. We're going to reduce the employee wages and benefits
00:22:48.660 line item on this budget because we need, frankly, more money available to pay the fees and pay the
00:22:54.020 interest and all of these other elements of the financialization. And the wage workers at Hooters
00:22:58.780 are famously overpaid, so that would make sense.
00:23:03.620 So part of the reason PE firms are so infrequently held accountable
00:23:07.280 for driving businesses into the ground...
00:23:10.500 Is because America hates small businesses and claims otherwise?
00:23:16.400 There are two main reasons.
00:23:18.080 The first is the regulatory regime that attempts to regulate this industry
00:23:24.020 and regulate these deals.
00:23:25.880 Basically, you just have a very archaic structure that preceded these extremely complex financialized
00:23:33.020 transactions, and it's just rife with loopholes.
00:23:36.000 So it's basically just not set up for the level of complexity.
00:23:39.600 So if a company owned by a PE firm goes bankrupt or is embroiled in a lawsuit for negligence,
00:23:46.200 there are some famous cases of a PE-owned nursing homes that are horrifying.
00:23:51.020 there's like a decent chance that because of the legal structure and like how complicated
00:23:55.960 the holding companies and we own this subsidiary that owns this company that oh these are just
00:24:00.020 that's just part of our whatever portfolio like the fact that they set them up in this like
00:24:04.240 convoluted way the PE firm is going to be able to escape legal liability for all of it any bad
00:24:10.520 outcomes that are caused by the things that they do like they are not held accountable for them
00:24:14.780 because of this legal structure so I'm trying to get a handle on that is it because the legal
00:24:20.260 structure was created prior to the dawn of this industry? And so this industry was basically built
00:24:25.880 out of the loopholes that exist now? Or why is there such tension between those two things?
00:24:32.820 This existed prior to the laws that are regulating them or attempting to regulate them now,
00:24:38.440 but not in this form. I would say it's more of like the industry evolved to accommodate
00:24:43.180 these restrictions or these parameters that they're operating within, and it hasn't caught up.
00:24:49.300 Yeah. I mean, I feel like that's the same we're seeing now with, like, constitutional claims and our fucking government. But that's the conversation for another time. 0.98
00:24:57.540 Or for, like, in 45 minutes from now.
00:25:01.000 Yes.
00:25:01.960 But the second reason, and this is the one that I'm trying to address today, is that nobody knows it's happening. But we're going to come back to that.
00:25:11.220 So in conclusion, you have very short-term thinking because the intent is typically to
00:25:15.520 sell within five years. You have an incentive to assess as many fees as possible, to load these
00:25:21.480 companies with debt to help finance the whole charade. And you are not really concerned with
00:25:26.360 the long-term health of the business because you are going to sell it before any of it becomes
00:25:30.240 your problem to someone else who is going to do the exact same thing to it. Oh, so this is like,
00:25:36.120 I own a house, so I know this game. This is like loans passing on mortgages to each other.
00:25:41.220 There are real pyramid scheme parallels to be drawn here.
00:25:45.200 That's so interesting.
00:25:46.120 So if you own a Hooters, then it's not like you ever get out from under this.
00:25:50.020 You're just passed on to another firm, another investing firm.
00:25:53.920 Is that correct?
00:25:55.360 Exactly.
00:25:55.940 So what does this have to do with Hooters?
00:25:57.180 I'm so glad you asked.
00:25:59.200 So again, let's like recall the popular narrative, right?
00:26:02.220 Okay. 0.99
00:26:02.820 Proliferation of ass guys, soft soy boy millennials, underappreciation of fast casual dining experience. 1.00
00:26:09.940 We are going to hop in our time machines. 0.99
00:26:12.480 We're going to go back to April 1st, 1983, when Hooters was born in Clearwater, Florida.
00:26:19.160 To be a white man in the 1980s, I say this all the time.
00:26:23.120 Can I be a white man when we go back?
00:26:25.780 Let me be a white man in my 20s with a little bit of expendable income.
00:26:29.300 I will own a building in New York by the end of this.
00:26:34.980 Okay, so Hooters is founded by six businessmen who are basically exactly that.
00:26:39.620 They founded Hooters because they wanted a place they, quote, couldn't be kicked out of.
00:26:46.160 Oh, that's incredible.
00:26:48.520 That's exactly what I want from a Hooters origin story.
00:26:53.180 I find that endearing, which shows that I'm an American.
00:26:58.160 So the Hooters Six, as they were called, they were a painting contractor, a liquor salesman,
00:27:03.900 a retired service station owner
00:27:06.260 a real estate executive
00:27:08.020 a brick mason
00:27:09.140 and a partner in the other guy's painting business
00:27:12.020 one of them is literally named Uncle Billy
00:27:14.460 and they were just totally open about what was happening 1.00
00:27:17.420 they were like we want tits and ass 1.00
00:27:19.060 and we want to touch said 1.00
00:27:20.280 and we want it now
00:27:21.380 with wings on the side
00:27:23.200 yes
00:27:24.480 and what do you notice about this group
00:27:26.740 anything in particular about who these people are
00:27:30.120 they all sound working class 0.87
00:27:31.940 bingo
00:27:32.800 These are normal people who have worked normal jobs, who decided to go into business together. 0.94
00:27:40.900 Like, how fucking quaint is that? 0.77
00:27:42.860 Remember, we're in the 1980s. 0.97
00:27:45.820 Hooters becomes extremely successful.
00:27:48.760 Within a year, Uncle Billy had two-hour waits to get in to this restaurant.
00:27:54.920 The six of them basically sold the business within, like, a year to a guy named Hugh Connerty.
00:28:02.160 Wow.
00:28:03.580 And then Hugh Connerty basically forms this company called Neighborhood Restaurants, which later became Hooters of America.
00:28:11.720 And he embarks on this, like, development campaign.
00:28:15.080 He grows it from Clearwater to Tampa to Atlanta.
00:28:17.840 And then comes along this guy named Bob Brooks.
00:28:20.180 And Bob Brooks is the founder and owner of a company in Atlanta called Eastern Foods, which supplied food products to restaurants and grocery outlets.
00:28:26.920 And within a few years, Brooks and a few other investors basically buy it from Connerty and they build the company into this massive international business. So let's pause. That's how business used to work in America. Okay, you had people selling and buying companies. Yeah, you had investors. Yeah, there was inequality. You had people who just wanted to make money.
00:28:48.880 But they achieved that mostly by trying to sell a product that people wanted, in this case, tits and chicken.
00:28:56.980 And up until this point, you have people who are using their own money or investment capital to start businesses, buy them from one another, expand them, and continue to own them for more or less the long term.
00:29:09.200 I'm actually struck by how truly American dreamy it is. And I would really love to do some research. Of course, it's not still happening to this extent, but like, has that happened at all? Is there any business that has turned into a franchise in the last 20 years that has come from origins like this? Or is that just like actually not even functionally an option anymore?
00:29:33.580 We'd have to research like who started Pinkberry? Like, was it Blackstone Group?
00:29:39.200 Okay, so, this Brooks character and the Brooks family, they own Hooters for the next, like, 30 years. And then Brooks dies in 2006, and he bequeaths the business to his children. By this time, late 2000s, like, early 2010s, there were 430 Hooters restaurants in 38 states in 27 countries. They're everywhere.
00:30:03.060 And in 2011, five years after Brooks dies, the family sells Hooters to a group of private equity firms called HIG Capital, Chanticleer Holdings, and others. So this is from a 2012 Hooters press release.
00:30:18.980 So this was sold a number of times along the way. Do you have an idea of who made the greatest profit?
00:30:25.940 I do not. And actually, the fact that we don't know this information is kind of part of the problem.
00:30:32.360 Oh, okay. This is from the 2012 Hooters press release.
00:31:02.360 Call, president of Texas Wings, Inc., the largest Hooters franchisee in the United States.
00:31:08.080 So you basically have this group of investors, these private equity firms that are coming
00:31:11.400 together to buy the restaurant.
00:31:13.560 Cute, working together.
00:31:15.380 So cute, so quaint, very American.
00:31:17.760 I reach out to that contact at the DOJ and I'm like, hey, what do you think about this?
00:31:21.960 Like, I'm like sending him all this information and I'm like, anything in here that's red
00:31:26.040 flag for you or like ringing any bells.
00:31:28.040 And he was like, hey, look into HIG Capital more.
00:31:31.100 their involvement is a red flag because HIG has been at the center of a lot of controversy
00:31:36.820 because of their involvement in private prisons. This is so illustrative of how this process works
00:31:43.500 that I actually just want to spend some time on HIG specifically. So we're going to take a little
00:31:47.700 detour from the Hooters timeline. So what is HIG? HIG has $64 billion under management.
00:31:54.820 The owners, both of whom are worth $6.4 billion apiece, are named Tony Tamer and Sammy Nomne.
00:32:04.480 Caro, have you ever heard of Tony Tamer or Sammy Nomne?
00:32:08.120 No, but they sound like Tiger King characters. 0.96
00:32:12.500 They sound like losers, and I'm guessing that they are. 0.82
00:32:15.660 Yeah, and you've never heard of them. They're both billionaires. 0.99
00:32:19.020 Nominee, according to Forbes, gave $300,000 to Biden PACs in 2020.
00:32:25.800 Interesting.
00:32:26.900 So this is just to say, the billionaires that are actually pulling the strings in this country, 0.95
00:32:31.240 you have never fucking heard of them. 0.99
00:32:33.080 Dude. 0.99
00:32:33.820 So HIG owns businesses that are associated with private prisons.
00:32:36.980 They claim that these investments represent less than 1% of their managed funds.
00:32:42.100 But I will tell you, based on what I saw, those numbers do not shake out that way.
00:32:46.400 if you look at the values of the companies
00:32:48.660 and like their total AUM,
00:32:50.880 I was like, I don't actually think that that's true.
00:32:52.700 There's no real way to verify it as we're gonna learn,
00:32:55.460 but based on the information that is publicly available,
00:32:58.180 it doesn't quite make sense.
00:32:59.680 One of these companies is called WellPath,
00:33:01.700 which was a merger of two other companies
00:33:04.560 that had different names
00:33:06.000 that both had their own respective scandals,
00:33:08.860 and it is among the largest healthcare companies
00:33:11.720 serving U.S. prisons today.
00:33:13.880 So there is a private equity watchdog group,
00:33:16.160 the private equity stakeholder project that documented HIG's ownership of WellPath.
00:33:22.240 And this is what they found.
00:33:24.520 According to Bloomberg, HIG Capital's 2018 acquisition of Correct Care Solutions
00:33:29.840 was facilitated by $610 million in loans from Wall Street lenders.
00:33:35.320 Leverage for WellPath is expected to have increased by about 10.6x EBITDA,
00:33:41.080 which is a proxy for cash flow.
00:33:42.660 I don't know what that means, and I don't want to shame anyone else who doesn't know what that means.
00:33:46.160 So by the end of 2018, according to S&P, deals that go above 6x leverage are often considered aggressive.
00:33:53.600 And this is 10x, right?
00:33:55.100 So they're just, they're giving you a sense for like how much debt is being taken on to buy this business.
00:34:01.720 Okay.
00:34:02.180 One investor who asked not to be identified said he was put off by those financial terms as well as the negative publicity the company has received because of lawsuits.
00:34:11.300 There have been hundreds of suits involving Correct Care or its affiliates in the past five years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
00:34:19.240 Complaints against the company include prisoner conditions, medical malpractice, and wrongful death.
00:34:26.440 And wouldn't you know, so that was 2018 when they acquired them.
00:34:30.360 In November 2024, just a couple months ago, Bloomberg reports this about WellPath.
00:34:36.340 WellPath Holdings, Inc., one of the largest providers of health care services to prisons and jails across the U.S., has filed bankruptcy after failing to meet its debt obligations while grappling with high labor costs. 0.98
00:34:48.480 Dude, that's fucking dark. 0.98
00:34:51.520 So this is the pattern, right? 0.99
00:34:52.980 You're going to start to see this everywhere.
00:34:54.240 The other prominent prison company owned by HIG is called TKC Holdings, which owns subsidiaries, and those subsidiaries provide the food to jails, prisons, and immigration detention centers, so they're thrilled right now.
00:35:11.040 So TKC has been at the center of a lot of controversy because one of their subsidiaries,
00:35:16.900 Trinity Services Group, provided food to the prison system in Michigan. They found maggots,
00:35:22.900 they found mold, all sorts of shit in this food. It was rotten. It spurred full-blown prison riots. 0.99
00:35:29.800 So you would probably be like, damn, I guess those were pretty bad investments, right? Those 0.96
00:35:35.860 businesses seem pretty fucking shitty. How could they have made any money on this? 0.99
00:35:45.460 I just want to wake up. Wake up, Caroline. Wake up. It's 1980 and you're a white man in Florida.
00:35:52.300 Things are OK still. Run for president. You can still do it. Be Bernie. Find Bernie.
00:35:59.800 He's in his 40s somewhere.
00:36:03.300 Find Bernie.
00:36:04.840 Go north.
00:36:05.660 Go north.
00:36:09.840 You have time. 1.00
00:36:14.080 Wake up, bitch. 1.00
00:36:15.600 It's 2025. 1.00
00:36:17.860 I hate it here.
00:36:19.600 And that did not stop HIG from getting their ROI.
00:36:23.360 To date, HIG has collected $800 million in dividends that is code for fees from TKC over
00:36:33.260 the period of three years from 2017 to 2020. They have extracted such a tremendous amount of money
00:36:40.280 via their fee structure from this portfolio company. And in 2020, they tried to raise another
00:36:46.480 $1.6 billion in debt. Dude. So hopefully you can see the picture that I'm painting here. You don't
00:36:54.320 have to run an effective business to make a lot of money. You can sell products that are full of
00:36:59.700 maggots and mold, rotting food. It doesn't fucking matter because running an efficient business, 0.99
00:37:07.140 running an effective business is not how you make money doing business in the United States 0.97
00:37:12.120 anymore. Well, I was going to ask, is there any instance in which a private equity firm makes the
00:37:17.740 business better? Sure. Yeah. I mean, Barnes & Noble is kind of a good example of this. Barnes & Noble
00:37:22.980 was acquired by P.E. It does happen. Okay, that's good to know. But the bottom line is that there is
00:37:29.100 such a disproportionate amount of bullshit in our economy that can be traced back to this. Right. 0.99
00:37:35.660 So back to Hooters. So private equity firms typically try to get a return on investment
00:37:40.920 within five years. So in 2015, HIG Capital puts Hooters up for sale. This is four years after
00:37:48.180 they buy it, right? And at the time, they are pointing to the sale of TGI Fridays to a firm
00:37:53.700 called Sentinel Capital and another firm called Triartisan Capital as like a comparison point in
00:37:59.100 the news release that's announcing that they're seeking a buyer. It does not look like they found
00:38:04.340 one because another dispatch from this PE hub like wire site that I was trying to find info on
00:38:09.520 said that they called off the auction in August. So the tricky part of trying to piece together
00:38:15.900 histories like this and figure out who's profiting, who's involved, who's making money from this,
00:38:21.720 like, who are the actual players? How are they benefiting from this shit? Nobody knows that any 1.00
00:38:28.460 of this is happening or how it's happening because private companies do not have to file reports.
00:38:33.160 There is no 10K filing that we can look at to see, like, where's their revenue coming from?
00:38:38.140 How much debt do they have? Who owns that debt? What fees are they charging? There are no public
00:38:43.600 disclosure requirements like what public companies have to face. So we basically have to piece
00:38:49.000 together these histories from like what niche trade publications are reporting based on what
00:38:54.020 the firms themselves are willing to disclose or like what inside information like investigative
00:38:58.580 journalists can get by like talking to whistleblowers. But we don't have the level of
00:39:03.540 information about the people involved. That does not exist.
00:39:07.940 That's so interesting. I would be curious to know if any progressive politicians have wanted to
00:39:13.440 address this area of the industry just by introducing measures to Congress that would
00:39:18.240 require this to be more transparent. Like, I feel like it's like shocking to me that
00:39:23.220 major, major changes in American life are taking place in completely inaccessible ways to the
00:39:30.160 public. Yeah, we're going to talk about how we got here legally. So in 2017, they opened Hoots.
00:39:37.760 This is a fast casual spinoff where servers also include men. They do not wear the classic
00:39:42.980 Hooters outfits. It's called Hoots. It's a family friendly version. Bring back tits. Woke mind
00:39:49.520 virus. This is partially what spawns all of those annoying articles about millennials ruining boobs 1.00
00:39:56.580 for everybody. So that's 2017. Then in 2018, the news comes out that HIG is seeking a buyer 0.63
00:40:02.500 again. And finally, in 2019, it sells to Nord Bay Capital and Tri Artisan Capital Partners,
00:40:10.060 which is the group that they had mentioned in that original press release that like had bought
00:40:14.520 TGI Fridays. A publication called Eater in 2019 kind of reports retrospectively on the ownership
00:40:21.320 by H.I.G. and Chanticleer. You mean Chanticleer? Okay. The Hooters team cooked up this new
00:40:28.920 restaurant, Hoots, following a four-year period when the company closed 7% of its locations across
00:40:34.440 the country. A big part of the problem for the chain is that all of the details of that old
00:40:38.860 restaurant, from the name to the design of the dining rooms to the server uniforms, feel dated
00:40:44.300 now. It's a scenario where you have to rethink the whole thing. Restaurant branding expert Joseph
00:40:49.680 Sif Sazala recently told Vox. With its more casual service style, pared-down menu, and less
00:40:55.780 aggressive branding, Hoots seems geared at millennials who might not otherwise step foot
00:41:00.200 inside Hooters. I'm just imagining, like, you know, like, the quintessential millennial coffee 0.57
00:41:04.480 shop with, like, a sans-serif font outside, and it's, like, white inside with, like, a trickling
00:41:09.260 fountain, and there's, like, someone judging. I'm imagining, like, that smashed up with the
00:41:13.840 Hooters brand, and that's Hoots. All the waitresses have blue hair. 1.00
00:41:17.980 Exactly. But also their tits are showing because we're reaching across the aisle with hoots. 1.00
00:41:25.200 Did you catch the point in the beginning of that excerpt where they say they cook up this new restaurant, right, after a four-year period when the company closed 7% of its locations across the country? 0.98
00:41:38.960 The entire period in question, it was like basically from like when the PE firm bought the restaurant until the time they sold it.
00:41:47.180 That was the period in question.
00:41:49.100 I just was struck by kind of like the passivity of, oh, the company was selling off location.
00:41:54.780 It's like, oh, I wonder why.
00:41:56.860 What a fascinating detail.
00:41:58.660 I also, the, we're going to have a more casual service style.
00:42:03.400 We're going to have a pared down menu.
00:42:04.960 menu and they're positioning this is because millennials love being casual like I'm sorry 1.00
00:42:13.540 did you go in with a reservation with your wife all dressed up on Saturday night like
00:42:18.360 as casual as it get they slung wings at you in bras and underwear
00:42:24.320 like how how much more casual good restaurant possibly be
00:42:33.300 but to me this is too stuck up
00:42:37.360 exactly dude okay so you're you are exactly to me i'm like oh they're trying to like
00:42:45.140 sane wash basically in shitifying the experience like oh less food servers who like don't care
00:42:54.300 much. Like, they're trying to be like, oh, yeah, it's a branding choice. It's like, no, you're
00:42:58.200 just firing people. Like, you're just, like, cutting costs. You know what I'm also thinking
00:43:02.700 about right now is that we're obviously coming out of, like, what, a six-month-long period of
00:43:08.340 post-election analysis, right? And of course, there are so many conversations across the right
00:43:12.260 and the left of culture wars, right? And reading this about, like, this Hooters thing, I'm just
00:43:18.620 struck by how anything can be a culture war if you don't want to think critically,
00:43:23.160 and how almost anything that is branded a culture war topic is not
00:43:28.720 and is just something that you have decided to describe as a culture war thing
00:43:32.640 because you are not incentivized to explain what is actually going on.
00:43:36.440 But it just really strikes me how wild it is that this became a culture wars thing
00:43:41.720 and you can see the seeds of it in this kind of quote right here.
00:43:45.560 Well, and it's also like the Nick Adams quote where he's like the woke feminist. 1.00
00:43:49.740 It's like, yeah, I bet that goes so fucking hard if you're stupid. 1.00
00:43:52.800 Yeah, I agree. If I was unvaccinated, I would absolutely agree with that statement. 1.00
00:43:58.560 My bigger question when we're like assessing an article like this is like, okay, so is this true?
00:44:04.160 Are millennials not interested in Hooters anymore? Are millennials not into boobs? Like, 0.78
00:44:09.880 it almost doesn't matter because whether you believe that's true or not, you have to look
00:44:14.160 at the surrounding environment that these deals are taking place in. Please read from a trade
00:44:19.580 publication called Restaurant Dive. This is similar timeframe reporting on all this.
00:44:26.080 TriArtisan Capital is a bit on a spending spree as this transaction follows closely behind its
00:44:31.500 acquisition of P.F. Chang's. Its appetite of casual dining is curious, especially since the
00:44:37.140 segment has struggled with growth of late. Many private equity firms with a focus on consumer
00:44:42.080 brands have turned away from traditional retail and toward restaurants, since this segment is
00:44:47.100 doing better than struggling retail. TriArtisan has owned TGI Fridays alongside Sentinel Capital
00:44:53.240 since 2014, so it has some knowledge of the segment, but the new owners could have their
00:44:58.440 work cut out for them. So under conventional business ideology, that doesn't make any sense.
00:45:05.920 If you're operating under the assumption that businesses that are actively growing
00:45:09.880 and are good businesses would make good investments...